Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction

First LeagueBulgaria Bulgaria · Regular Season - 1
Septemvri Sofia
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Arda Kardzhali
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia·Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria 18/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
1-1
Finished
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel29%SurpriseHighGap+7.6%
Septemvri Sofia Rest
8 days
Arda Kardzhali Rest
8 days

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: result, form and history

Septemvri Sofia and Arda Kardzhali drew 1-1 in the First League on 18 Jul 2026. Septemvri Sofia had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Arda Kardzhali.

Arda Kardzhali have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Referee Ventsislav Mitrev averages 6.20 cards a game, 1.49 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.60
X
35%3.12
2
33%2.05
Double Chance
1X
67%1.67
X2
68%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.91
No
51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.49 = 2.76
Over 1.5
75%1.36
Over 2.5
51%2.17
Over 3.5
27%3.90
Under 1.5
25%2.88
Under 2.5
49%1.63
Under 3.5
73%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'B. Karagaren
24'P. Georgiev ING. Ivanov out
34'Y. Baurenski
40'D. Idowu
46'Z. A. Atanasov INA. Dzhamov out
53'S. Wade
55'K. Onasci
62'S. Vasilev INA. Kabov out
64'F. Herard INS. Stoichkov out
72'B. Karagaren
73'A. Vutov INV. Popov out
86'E. Ribeiro INA. Liberal out
87'D. Velkovski INB. Akandzha out
90+3'V. Lyubenov

Lineups

Septemvri Sofia
3-4-1-2Coach: Simao Freitas
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
Vladimir Ivanov12V. Ivanov
Martin Hristov4M. Hristov
Kubrat Onashchi13K. Onashchi
Sebas Wade3S. Wade
Zahari Atanasov24Z. Atanasov
Preslav Georgiev22P. Georgiev
Pedro Ferreira6P. Ferreira
Bozhidar Penchev8B. Penchev
Yoan Baurenski5Y. Baurenski
Frantzety Herard29F. Herard
Edney Ribeiro7E. Ribeiro
Anatoli Gospodinov1A. Gospodinov
Vyacheslav Velev21V. Velev
Adama Ardile Traoré88A. Ardile Traoré
Viktor Lyubenov5V. Lyubenov
Dimitar Velkovski35D. Velkovski
Lachezar Kotev80L. Kotev
Idowu David Akintola4I. David Akintola
Birsent Karagaren99B. Karagaren
Antonio Vutov39A. Vutov
Simeon Vasilev14S. Vasilev
Svetoslav Kovachev10S. Kovachev

Septemvri Sofia Substitutes

33Galin Ivanov24'for P. Georgiev
11Aleksandar Dzhamov46'for Z. A. Atanasov
28Stoyan Stoichkov64'for F. Herard
99André Liberal86'for E. Ribeiro
12Nikolay Krastev
20Bozhidar Tomovski
26Valentine Ozornwafor
23Borislav Stoichkov
30Viktor Dobrev
14Aleksandar Vutov
16Venislav Mihaylov

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

8Atanas Kabov62'for S. Vasilev
26Viktor Popov73'for A. Vutov
26Burak Akandzha87'for D. Velkovski
22Yanko Georgiev
24Martin Paskalev

Team Comparison

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
1394Elo Rating 1558
1.18Attack 1.18
0.70Defense 0.30
0%Hit Rate 27%
10.6Shots per Game 6.8
4.3Shots on Target 3.8
4.8Corners per Game 2.3
2.8Cards per Game 3.7

Game State Tendencies

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1Wins · 17%
Draws00%
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali5Wins · 83%
3.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

First League21/03/2026
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
14
First League20/10/2025
Arda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
01
First League07/04/2025
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
04
First League25/10/2024
Arda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
21
First League12/02/2023
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
01
First League01/08/2022
Arda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
32

Recent Form

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
6W2D2L
10/07/2026
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
10
L
07/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaHebar 1918
21
W
04/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaSlavia Sofia
23
L
01/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaVihren
20
W
27/06/2026
Septemvri SofiaMarek
30
W
28/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaYantra 2019
21
W
22/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaDobrudzha
11
D
18/05/2026
BeroeSeptemvri Sofia
01
W
14/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaSpartak Varna
10
W
10/05/2026
Botev VratsaSeptemvri Sofia
11
D
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
4W2D4L
10/07/2026
Botev VratsaArda Kardzhali
10
L
07/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliBeitar Jerusalem
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
01/07/2026
Rilski SportistArda Kardzhali
02
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
L
25/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
23
W
16/05/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Plovdiv
40
W
12/05/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
12
W
08/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
03/05/2026
Arda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
00
D

Referee Profile

Ventsislav Mitrev63 matches

6.20Cards per match
6.00Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ventsislav Mitrev6.20
Other referees4.71

6.20 cards a match, 1.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1192024:5+1929DWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1124:529
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
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About the Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Septemvri Sofia and Arda Kardzhali in the First League table

In the First League table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th and Septemvri Sofia 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Septemvri Sofia 10-23, Arda Kardzhali 16-18. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.