Bulgaria vs Estonia Prediction

Bulgaria
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Estonia
Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv·Goga Kikacheishvili 29/09/2026
BulgariaBulgaria
0-0
Finished
EstoniaEstonia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseHighGap-15.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Bulgaria Rest
3 days
Estonia Rest
3 days

Bulgaria vs Estonia: result, form and history

Bulgaria and Estonia drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 29 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.75
X
26%3.40
2
30%5.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.18
X2
55%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.11
No
57%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.7 + 1.42 = 2.12
Over 1.5
69%1.40
Over 2.5
44%2.30
Over 3.5
25%4.33
Under 1.5
31%2.72
Under 2.5
56%1.62
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.6
Over 8.5
54%1.67
Over 9.5
44%2.13
Over 10.5
32%2.84
Under 8.5
46%2.10
Under 9.5
56%1.67
Under 10.5
68%1.38
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Dimitar VelkovskiFoul
37'Borislav TsonevFoul
45'karel mustmaa INMattias Männilaan out
45'Borislav Tsonev INAsen Chandarov out
45'Zdravko Dimitrov INKristiyan Balov out
45'Kristiyan Stoyanov INP. Panayotov out
48'Maksim PaskotsiFoul
58'Mattias Käit INMartin Miller out
58'Markus Soomets INKevor Palumets out
70'Marin Plamenov·Petkov INStanislav Ivanov out
73'Ivan Turitsov INYoan Stoyanov out
74'Robi Saarma INFrank Liivak out
89'Patrik KristalArgument
89'Kristian DimitrovArgument

Lineups

Bulgaria
4-3-3Coach: A. Dimitrov
Estonia
5-3-2Coach: J. Henn
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.56
D. Naumov6.91D. Naumov
I. Turitsov6.919I. Turitsov
K. Dimitrov6.65K. Dimitrov
S. Velkov7.013S. Velkov
D. Velkovski6.721D. Velkovski
I. Gruev6.64I. Gruev
K. Stoyanov6.222K. Stoyanov
B. Tsonev6.17B. Tsonev
M. Petkov6.716M. Petkov
L. Petkov6.320L. Petkov
Z. Dimitrov6.410Z. Dimitrov
K. Hein7.01K. Hein
R. Saarma6.77R. Saarma
M. Paskotši6.13M. Paskotši
E. Tõugjas6.95E. Tõugjas
K. Mets6.818K. Mets
M. Schjønning-Larsen6.219M. Schjønning-Larsen
M. Käit6.94M. Käit
M. Soomets6.48M. Soomets
M. Poom6.620M. Poom
P. Kristal6.414P. Kristal
Karel Mustmaa6.29K. Mustmaa

Bulgaria Substitutes

23A. Bozhev
18K. Balov45'for Zdravko Dimitrov6.9
14A. Chandarov45'for Borislav Tsonev6.5
3A. Hristov
9S. Ivanov70'for Marin Plamenov·Petkov6.5
8A. Kraev
17M. Minchev
12D. Mitov
15H. Petrov
2Y. Stoyanov73'for Ivan Turitsov6.8
6E. Tsenov
11P. Panayotov45'for Kristiyan Stoyanov7.1

Estonia Substitutes

12M. Igonen
2M. Kuusk
23F. Liivak74'for Robi Saarma6.6
21M. Männilaan45'for karel mustmaa6.6
17M. Miller58'for Mattias Käit6.5
10K. Palumets58'for Markus Soomets6.6
6R. Peetson
13J. Saliste
15M. Skvortsov
16J. Tamm
22K. Vallner
11M. Ainsalu

Match Stats

BulgariaEstonia
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box1
10Shots Outside Box5
9Blocked Shots2
9Fouls26
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
452Total Passes359
358Passes Accurate276
25Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

BulgariaBulgaria
EstoniaEstonia
1381Elo Rating 1475
0.99Attack 0.54
1.84Defense 2.83
41%Hit Rate 37%
11.2Shots per Game 10.7
4.0Shots on Target 4.8
3.3Corners per Game 4.7
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BulgariaBulgaria
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
EstoniaEstonia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Recent Form

BulgariaBulgaria
1W1D8L
26/09/2026
BulgariaLuxembourg
12
L
05/06/2026
MoldovaBulgaria
22
D
01/06/2026
BulgariaMontenegro
01
L
18/11/2025
BulgariaGeorgia
21
W
15/11/2025
TürkiyeBulgaria
20
L
14/10/2025
SpainBulgaria
40
L
11/10/2025
BulgariaTürkiye
16
L
07/09/2025
GeorgiaBulgaria
30
L
04/09/2025
BulgariaSpain
03
L
23/03/2025
Rep. Of IrelandBulgaria
21
L
EstoniaEstonia
3W2D5L
26/09/2026
IcelandEstonia
11
D
09/06/2026
EstoniaLithuania
10
W
06/06/2026
EstoniaFaroe Islands
10
W
13/11/2025
NorwayEstonia
41
L
14/10/2025
EstoniaMoldova
11
D
11/10/2025
EstoniaItaly
13
L
05/09/2025
ItalyEstonia
50
L
09/06/2025
EstoniaNorway
01
L
06/06/2025
EstoniaIsrael
13
L
25/03/2025
MoldovaEstonia
23
W

Referee Profile

Goga Kikacheishvili170 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Goga Kikacheishvili4.82
Other referees4.36

4.82 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IcelandIceland42207:1+68DWWD
2EstoniaEstonia41302:1+16DWDD
3BulgariaBulgaria41123:5-24WLDL
4LuxembourgLuxembourg41032:7-53LLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1IcelandIceland47:18
2EstoniaEstonia42:16
3BulgariaBulgaria43:54
4LuxembourgLuxembourg42:73
Promotion

About the Bulgaria vs Estonia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bulgaria and Estonia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Estonia are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 2 points ahead of Bulgaria in 3rd. League goal record so far: Bulgaria 3-5, Estonia 2-1. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bulgaria and Estonia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.