Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Prediction

FAW ChampionshipWales Wales · South - 10
Caerau (Ely)
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Afan Lido
02/10/2026
Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
2-0
Finished
Afan LidoAfan Lido

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Caerau (Ely) Rest
6 days
Afan Lido Rest
7 days

Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido: result, form and history

Caerau (Ely) beat Afan Lido 2-0 in the FAW Championship on 2 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Caerau (Ely) had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Afan Lido.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.38
X
18%4.60
2
15%5.75
Double Chance
1X
85%1.09
X2
33%2.67
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

48'L. Harling
67'Z. Maher

Team Comparison

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
Afan LidoAfan Lido
1539Elo Rating 1384
1.89Attack 2.24
2.54Defense 1.01
77%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
📈BTTS Trend78% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Afan LidoAfan Lido
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)4Wins · 45%
Draws111%
Afan LidoAfan Lido4Wins · 44%
4.0Avg Goals
78%Both teams scored7 of 9
89%3+ goals8 of 9

Previous meetings

FAW Championship07/03/2026
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
41
FAW Championship31/10/2025
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
32
FAW Championship22/11/2024
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
30
FAW Championship07/09/2024
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
22
FAW Championship01/04/2024
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
32
Welsh Cup17/10/2023
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
41
FAW Championship08/08/2023
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
31
FAW Championship14/12/2019
Afan LidoCaerau (Ely)
21
FAW Championship24/08/2019
Caerau (Ely)Afan Lido
02

Recent Form

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
4W2D4L
26/09/2026
Cardiff DraconiansCaerau (Ely)
13
W
11/09/2026
Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC
30
W
31/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Treowen Stars
32
W
28/08/2026
Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)
31
L
21/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Swansea University
15
L
14/08/2026
Trethomas BluebirdsCaerau (Ely)
24
W
07/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Ynyshir Albions
11
D
01/08/2026
Carmarthen TownCaerau (Ely)
43
L
25/07/2026
Caerau (Ely)Barnstaple Town
44
D
21/07/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCCaerau (Ely)
21
L
Afan LidoAfan Lido
3W2D5L
25/09/2026
Afan LidoNewport City
00
D
11/09/2026
Pontypridd TownAfan Lido
01
W
04/09/2026
Baglan DragonsAfan Lido
21
L
31/08/2026
Afan LidoYnyshir Albions
00
D
28/08/2026
Trethomas BluebirdsAfan Lido
52
L
21/08/2026
Afan LidoPontardawe Town
10
W
14/08/2026
Carmarthen TownAfan Lido
31
L
07/08/2026
Afan LidoLlantwit Major
50
W
01/08/2026
Afan LidoAberystwyth Town
25
L
18/04/2026
Cardiff DraconiansAfan Lido
41
L

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1273232:21+1124WDDWL
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1071224:10+1422WLWDW
3Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1271423:20+322WLWWW
4Swansea UniversitySwansea University1063132:15+1721LDWDW
5Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1054119:11+819WWWDD
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1252512:13-117LDWLL
7Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1244424:21+316LWWLD
8Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1151520:21-116WLLLD
9Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1243524:26-215LLDLW
10Afan LidoAfan Lido1343621:24-315LWDLD
11Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1242615:21-614LWWLL
12Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1041517:18-113WDWWL
13Newport CityNewport City1033419:15+412WDLDD
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1033414:17-312WLDDL
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1132612:24-1211LWDLW
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC1302119:40-312LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1232:2124
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1024:1022
3Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1223:2022
4Swansea UniversitySwansea University1032:1521
5Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1019:1119
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1212:1317
7Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1224:2116
8Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1120:2116
9Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1224:2615
10Afan LidoAfan Lido1321:2415
11Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1215:2114
12Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1017:1813
13Newport CityNewport City1019:1512
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1014:1712
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1112:2411
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC139:402

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About the Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Caerau (Ely) and Afan Lido in the FAW Championship table

In the FAW Championship table, Caerau (Ely) are 3rd and Afan Lido 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Caerau (Ely) 23-20, Afan Lido 21-24. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.