Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction

26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-8.9%
Cardiff Draconians Rest
14 days
Caerau (Ely) Rest
14 days

Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely): result, form and history

Caerau (Ely) beat Cardiff Draconians 3-1 in the FAW Championship on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.30
X
22%3.90
2
53%1.83
Double Chance
1X
47%1.81
X2
75%1.26
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'L. Harling
9'L. Bishop(Penalty missed)
50'L. Harling
89'J. Bahumaid
90+4'S. Cawley(Penalty)
90+5'C. Indjai

Team Comparison

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians
Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
1435Elo Rating 1539
1.65Attack 1.89
0.98Defense 2.54
23%Hit Rate 77%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)2Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

FAW Championship02/01/2026
Caerau (Ely)Cardiff Draconians
21
FAW Championship16/08/2025
Cardiff DraconiansCaerau (Ely)
01

Recent Form

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians
4W3D3L
12/09/2026
Cardiff DraconiansBaglan Dragons
21
W
22/08/2026
Cardiff Draconiansllanelli AFC
42
W
15/08/2026
Cardiff DraconiansPontypridd Town
14
L
07/08/2026
Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
00
D
01/08/2026
Ynyshir AlbionsCardiff Draconians
10
L
18/04/2026
Cardiff DraconiansAfan Lido
41
W
11/04/2026
Cardiff DraconiansPontypridd Town
22
D
04/04/2026
Trethomas BluebirdsCardiff Draconians
44
D
28/03/2026
Cardiff DraconiansNewport City
01
L
24/03/2026
Cardiff DraconiansYnyshir Albions
41
W
Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)
3W2D5L
11/09/2026
Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC
30
W
31/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Treowen Stars
32
W
28/08/2026
Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)
31
L
21/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Swansea University
15
L
14/08/2026
Trethomas BluebirdsCaerau (Ely)
24
W
07/08/2026
Caerau (Ely)Ynyshir Albions
11
D
01/08/2026
Carmarthen TownCaerau (Ely)
43
L
25/07/2026
Caerau (Ely)Barnstaple Town
44
D
21/07/2026
Haverfordwest County AFCCaerau (Ely)
21
L
11/07/2026
Evesham UnitedCaerau (Ely)
20
L

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1273232:21+1124WDDWL
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1071224:10+1422WLWDW
3Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1271423:20+322WLWWW
4Swansea UniversitySwansea University1063132:15+1721LDWDW
5Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1054119:11+819WWWDD
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1252512:13-117LDWLL
7Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1244424:21+316LWWLD
8Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1151520:21-116WLLLD
9Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1243524:26-215LLDLW
10Afan LidoAfan Lido1343621:24-315LWDLD
11Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1242615:21-614LWWLL
12Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1041517:18-113WDWWL
13Newport CityNewport City1033419:15+412WDLDD
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1033414:17-312WLDDL
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1132612:24-1211LWDLW
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC1302119:40-312LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1232:2124
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1024:1022
3Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1223:2022
4Swansea UniversitySwansea University1032:1521
5Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1019:1119
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1212:1317
7Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1224:2116
8Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1120:2116
9Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1224:2615
10Afan LidoAfan Lido1321:2415
11Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1215:2114
12Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1017:1813
13Newport CityNewport City1019:1512
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1014:1712
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1112:2411
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC139:402

About the Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely) forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cardiff Draconians and Caerau (Ely) in the FAW Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Caerau (Ely) are 3rd in the FAW Championship, while Cardiff Draconians sit 14th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Cardiff Draconians 14-17, Caerau (Ely) 23-20. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cardiff Draconians and Caerau (Ely) have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.