Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction

11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel32%SurpriseHighGap+12.6%
Caracas FC Rest
4 days
Deportivo La Guaira Rest
5 days

Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira: result, form and history

Deportivo La Guaira beat Caracas FC 2-1 in the Primera División on 10 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Deportivo La Guaira had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Caracas FC.

Deportivo La Guaira have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.00
X
28%3.00
2
42%2.34
Double Chance
1X
58%1.50
X2
70%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.95
No
44%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.46 = 2.72
Over 1.5
77%1.40
Over 2.5
51%2.30
Over 3.5
30%4.21
Under 1.5
23%2.63
Under 2.5
49%1.54
Under 3.5
70%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'J. CastellanosAssist: M. Gonzalez
22'Robert HernandezFoul
35'I. GudinoFoul
43'A. VillarrealAssist: W. Correa
46'R. Lezama INA. Herrera out
46'C. Larotonda INM. Vegas out
47'C. RojasFoul
55'S. Zeballos INJ. Gonzalez out
59'M. VegasFoul
62'M. Sulbaran INJ. Perdomo out
67'J. QuinteroSerious foul
71'J. Castellanos(Penalty)
74'R. IbarraFoul
75'F. Londono INA. Uribe out
75'L. Martinez INN. Hernandez out
75'J. Castellanos INJ. Correa out
75'Robert Hernandez INA. Figueroa out
76'J. De Santis INS. Gonzalez out
84'A. Villarreal INM. Marquez out
90+4'A. FigueroaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Caracas FCCaracas FC
Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira
1536Elo Rating 1537
1.17Attack 1.48
1.76Defense 1.40
44%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

Caracas FCCaracas FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Caracas FCCaracas FC2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira6Wins · 60%
1.7Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División14/02/2026
Deportivo La GuairaCaracas FC
20
Copa Venezuela28/08/2025
Deportivo La GuairaCaracas FC
10
Copa Venezuela21/08/2025
Caracas FCDeportivo La Guaira
01
Primera División24/07/2025
Caracas FCDeportivo La Guaira
03
CONMEBOL Sudamericana07/03/2025
Deportivo La GuairaCaracas FC
02
Primera División16/02/2025
Deportivo La GuairaCaracas FC
10
Primera División17/07/2024
Deportivo La GuairaCaracas FC
00
Primera División02/02/2024
Caracas FCDeportivo La Guaira
20
Primera División02/07/2023
Deportivo La GuairaCaracas FC
21
Primera División14/05/2023
Caracas FCDeportivo La Guaira
11

Recent Form

Caracas FCCaracas FC
2W4D4L
07/08/2026
Puerto CabelloCaracas FC
31
L
04/08/2026
Caracas FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
22
D
31/07/2026
Caracas FCSanta Fe
03
L
24/07/2026
Santa FeCaracas FC
20
L
24/06/2026
Caracas FCAragua FC
11
D
28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
13
L
22/05/2026
Racing ClubCaracas FC
22
D
06/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC
23
W
30/04/2026
Caracas FCRacing Club
11
D
25/04/2026
Caracas FCRayo Zuliano
21
W
Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira
2W4D4L
06/08/2026
Deportivo La GuairaMetropolitanos FC
12
L
01/08/2026
Monagas SCDeportivo La Guaira
12
W
31/05/2026
Deportivo La GuairaPuerto Cabello
02
L
28/05/2026
FluminenseDeportivo La Guaira
31
L
24/05/2026
Portuguesa FCDeportivo La Guaira
02
W
22/05/2026
Deportivo La GuairaIndepend. Rivadavia
24
L
16/05/2026
Deportivo La GuairaUCV
00
D
13/05/2026
UCVDeportivo La Guaira
11
D
09/05/2026
Deportivo La GuairaPortuguesa FC
11
D
07/05/2026
Deportivo La GuairaBolívar
11
D

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC26176347:21+2657LDD
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC26156547:29+1851DLW
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira26128637:24+1344WDW
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC261011538:24+1441WDD
5Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello261010635:26+940WDD
6Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC26912534:24+1039LWD
7UCVUCV26116937:35+239LDLWL
8Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC26107936:34+237LWWWL
9Caracas FCCaracas FC26711830:33-332LDD
10Monagas SCMonagas SC26851331:39-829LLL
11Zamora FCZamora FC26671326:41-1525DDDWW
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano26741531:52-2125LLLWD
13Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC26461623:46-2318LLLLL
14Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC26451723:47-2417DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC2647:2157
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC2647:2951
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira2637:2444
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC2638:2441
5Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello2635:2640
6Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC2634:2439
7UCVUCV2637:3539
8Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC2636:3437
9Caracas FCCaracas FC2630:3332
10Monagas SCMonagas SC2631:3929
11Zamora FCZamora FC2626:4125
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano2631:5225
13Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC2623:4618
14Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC2623:4717

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1376015:6+927WDW
2Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1374217:10+725LDD
3Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1373317:12+524DLW
4UCVUCV1372424:20+423LDLWL
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1355320:12+820LWD
6Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1362521:18+320LWWWL
7Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1347223:14+919WDD
8Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1345416:14+217WDD
9Zamora FCZamora FC1345414:14017DDDWW
10Caracas FCCaracas FC1336415:17-215LDD
11Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1342713:23-1014LLLWD
12Monagas SCMonagas SC1332814:22-811LLL
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC1323815:25-109DLWLL
14Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC130499:26-174LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1315:627
2Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1317:1025
3Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1317:1224
4UCVUCV1324:2023
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1320:1220
6Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1321:1820
7Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1323:1419
8Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1316:1417
9Zamora FCZamora FC1314:1417
10Caracas FCCaracas FC1315:1715
11Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1313:2314
12Monagas SCMonagas SC1314:2211
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC1315:259
14Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC139:264

Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello63128:7+110WDD
2Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC62227:8-18LWD
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira61415:507WDW
4UCVUCV61328:806LDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello68:710
2Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC67:88
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira65:57
4UCVUCV68:86

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC13102130:11+1932LDD
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1383230:17+1327DLW
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1365219:12+723WDD
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1364315:10+522WDD
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1347214:12+219LWD
6Monagas SCMonagas SC1353517:17018LLL
7Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1352622:18+417WDW
8Caracas FCCaracas FC1345415:16-117LDD
9Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1345415:16-117LWWWL
10UCVUCV1344513:15-216LDLWL
11Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC1342714:20-614LLLLL
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1332818:29-1111LLLWD
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC132298:22-148DLWLL
14Zamora FCZamora FC1322912:27-158DDDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1330:1132
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1330:1727
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1319:1223
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1315:1022
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1314:1219
6Monagas SCMonagas SC1317:1718
7Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1322:1817
8Caracas FCCaracas FC1315:1617
9Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1315:1617
10UCVUCV1313:1516
11Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC1314:2014
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1318:2911
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC138:228
14Zamora FCZamora FC1312:278

Primera Division: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Carabobo FCCarabobo FC32107:3+47WDD
2Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC30303:303LDD
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira30215:7-22WDW
4Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC30213:5-22LWD

Primera Division: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC33005:1+49DLW
2Caracas FCCaracas FC31024:5-13LDD
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello31022:3-13WDD
4Monagas SCMonagas SC31024:6-23LLL
PromotionRelegation

About the Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Caracas FC and Deportivo La Guaira in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Deportivo La Guaira are 3rd and Caracas FC 9th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Caracas FC 30-33, Deportivo La Guaira 37-24. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.