UCV vs Caracas FC Prediction

UCV
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Caracas FC
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas 15/08/2026
UCVUCV
0-1
Finished
Caracas FCCaracas FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
UCV Rest
5 days
Caracas FC Rest
4 days

UCV vs Caracas FC: result, form and history

Caracas FC beat UCV 1-0 in the Primera División on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.21
X
27%3.15
2
23%2.95
Double Chance
1X
77%1.33
X2
50%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.11 = 2.72
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.83
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.50
Under 2.5
47%1.90
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'J. S. Hernandez OchoaFoul
19'Robert HernandezAssist: L. Pagano
27'Robert HernandezFoul
31'M. CoveaFoul
45+2'S. Gonzalez(Penalty missed)
46'E. Mosquera INJ. Alegria out
46'J. S. Hernandez Ochoa INM. Ruiz out
46'A. Gonzalez INV. Rodriguez out
46'S. Sosa IND. De Sousa out
51'L. Pagano INN. Vaquer out
57'S. Gonzalez INI. Gudino out
57'M. Covea INJ. Uribe out
61'N. VaquerFoul
66'K. SilvaUnsportsmanlike conduct
67'R. RomoUnsportsmanlike conduct
71'J. UribeUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'W. Correa INR. Lezama out
76'A. Villarreal INM. Marquez out
82'F. Sole INR. Sarli out
90'J. Zapata(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

UCVUCV
Caracas FCCaracas FC
1520Elo Rating 1530
1.85Attack 1.73
1.25Defense 1.75
41%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

UCVUCV
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Caracas FCCaracas FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UCVUCV4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Caracas FCCaracas FC3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División22/02/2026
Caracas FCUCV
12
Primera División05/10/2025
Caracas FCUCV
15
Primera División27/04/2025
UCVCaracas FC
13
Primera División14/10/2024
UCVCaracas FC
13
Primera División15/04/2024
Caracas FCUCV
22
Primera División17/09/2023
Caracas FCUCV
00
Primera División26/02/2023
UCVCaracas FC
02
Primera División18/06/2022
UCVCaracas FC
10
Primera División29/05/2022
Caracas FCUCV
12
Primera División08/09/2021
UCVCaracas FC
11

Recent Form

UCVUCV
2W1D7L
10/08/2026
Metropolitanos FCUCV
21
L
05/08/2026
UCVMonagas SC
21
W
01/08/2026
Trujillanos FCUCV
20
L
29/07/2026
SantosUCV
42
L
22/07/2026
UCVSantos
14
L
30/05/2026
UCVPortuguesa FC
23
L
28/05/2026
Libertad AsuncionUCV
01
W
24/05/2026
Puerto CabelloUCV
21
L
20/05/2026
Rosario CentralUCV
40
L
16/05/2026
Deportivo La GuairaUCV
00
D
Caracas FCCaracas FC
1W4D5L
11/08/2026
Caracas FCDeportivo La Guaira
12
L
07/08/2026
Puerto CabelloCaracas FC
31
L
04/08/2026
Caracas FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
22
D
31/07/2026
Caracas FCSanta Fe
03
L
24/07/2026
Santa FeCaracas FC
20
L
24/06/2026
Caracas FCAragua FC
11
D
28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
13
L
22/05/2026
Racing ClubCaracas FC
22
D
06/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC
23
W
30/04/2026
Caracas FCRacing Club
11
D

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC26176347:21+2657DD
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC26156547:29+1851LW
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira26128637:24+1344DW
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC261011538:24+1441DD
5Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello261010635:26+940DD
6Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC26912534:24+1039WD
7UCVUCV26116937:35+239LDLWL
8Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC26107936:34+237LWWWL
9Caracas FCCaracas FC26711830:33-332DD
10Monagas SCMonagas SC26851331:39-829LL
11Zamora FCZamora FC26671326:41-1525DDDWW
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano26741531:52-2125LLLWD
13Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC26461623:46-2318LLLLL
14Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC26451723:47-2417DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC2647:2157
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC2647:2951
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira2637:2444
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC2638:2441
5Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello2635:2640
6Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC2634:2439
7UCVUCV2637:3539
8Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC2636:3437
9Caracas FCCaracas FC2630:3332
10Monagas SCMonagas SC2631:3929
11Zamora FCZamora FC2626:4125
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano2631:5225
13Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC2623:4618
14Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC2623:4717

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1376015:6+927DW
2Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1374217:10+725DD
3Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1373317:12+524LW
4UCVUCV1372424:20+423LDLWL
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1355320:12+820WD
6Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1362521:18+320LWWWL
7Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1347223:14+919DD
8Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1345416:14+217DD
9Zamora FCZamora FC1345414:14017DDDWW
10Caracas FCCaracas FC1336415:17-215DD
11Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1342713:23-1014LLLWD
12Monagas SCMonagas SC1332814:22-811LL
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC1323815:25-109DLWLL
14Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC130499:26-174LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1315:627
2Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1317:1025
3Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1317:1224
4UCVUCV1324:2023
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1320:1220
6Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1321:1820
7Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1323:1419
8Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1316:1417
9Zamora FCZamora FC1314:1417
10Caracas FCCaracas FC1315:1715
11Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1313:2314
12Monagas SCMonagas SC1314:2211
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC1315:259
14Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC139:264

Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello63128:7+110DD
2Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC62227:8-18WD
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira61415:507DW
4UCVUCV61328:806LDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello68:710
2Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC67:88
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira65:57
4UCVUCV68:86

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC13102130:11+1932DD
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1383230:17+1327LW
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1365219:12+723DD
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1364315:10+522DD
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1347214:12+219WD
6Monagas SCMonagas SC1353517:17018LL
7Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1352622:18+417DW
8Caracas FCCaracas FC1345415:16-117DD
9Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1345415:16-117LWWWL
10UCVUCV1344513:15-216LDLWL
11Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC1342714:20-614LLLLL
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1332818:29-1111LLLWD
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC132298:22-148DLWLL
14Zamora FCZamora FC1322912:27-158DDDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1330:1132
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1330:1727
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1319:1223
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1315:1022
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1314:1219
6Monagas SCMonagas SC1317:1718
7Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1322:1817
8Caracas FCCaracas FC1315:1617
9Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1315:1617
10UCVUCV1313:1516
11Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC1314:2014
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1318:2911
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC138:228
14Zamora FCZamora FC1312:278

Primera Division: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC22004:1+36LW
2Caracas FCCaracas FC21012:203DD
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello21012:203DD
4Monagas SCMonagas SC20021:4-30LL
PromotionRelegation

About the UCV vs Caracas FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

UCV and Caracas FC in the Primera División table

UCV and Caracas FC are close in the Primera División table, 7th and 9th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: UCV 37-35, Caracas FC 30-33. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Caracas FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.