UCV vs Santos Prediction

UCV
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Santos
Estadio Misael Delgado, Valencia·Gery Vargas, Bolivia 22/07/2026
UCVUCV
1-4
Finished
SantosSantos

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
UCV Rest
52 days
Santos Rest
5 days

UCV vs Santos: the result in context

Santos beat UCV 4-1 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%4.20
X
34%3.40
2
37%1.86
Double Chance
1X
63%1.86
X2
72%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%1.91
No
57%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.06 = 2.45
Over 1.5
69%1.33
Over 2.5
38%2.10
Over 3.5
18%3.80
Under 1.5
31%3.10
Under 2.5
62%1.71
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.7
Over 8.5
55%1.57
Over 9.5
44%1.93
Over 10.5
33%2.45
Under 8.5
45%2.20
Under 9.5
56%1.76
Under 10.5
67%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 3 = 5.8
Over 3.5
83%1.14
Over 4.5
69%1.40
Under 3.5
17%4.00
Under 4.5
31%2.55

Match Events

22'F. SoleHolding
22'Gabriel MeninoTripping
35'Gabriel Bontempo
46'K. Silva INM. Ruiz out
57'Gabriel MeninoAssist: C. Oliva
64'W. Lugo INS. Sosa out
67'Thaciano
70'Gabriel Bontempo INS. Pierri out
72'Y. Cumana IND. Carrillo out
72'F. Sole INV. Rodriguez out
72'A. Granko IND. De Sousa out
73'S. SosaRoughing
77'B. Rollheiser INJ. Robinho out
77'Thaciano INRony out
77'Miguelito INMoises out
79'Lucas Verissimo INA. Frias out
84'Rony
86'G. EscobarFoul
87'M. RuizAssist: D. De Sousa

Lineups

UCV
4-4-1-1Coach: Ignacio Sasso Pacheco Daniel
Santos
4-2-3-1Coach: Cuca
Avg rating6.36
Avg rating6.97
Giancarlo Schiavone6.21G. Schiavone
Kendrys SilvaC6.72K. Silva
Edwin Peraza5.513E. Peraza
Gonzalo Mottes6.56G. Mottes
Yohan Cumana6.024Y. Cumana
Alexander Granko6.247A. Granko
Alexander Gonzalez6.230A. Gonzalez
Francisco Solé6.55F. Solé
Edwin Mosquera6.27E. Mosquera
1111W. Lugo
Juan Camilo Zapata6.98J. Camilo Zapata
Gabriel Brazão7.077G. Brazão
Gabriel Menino8.325G. Menino
Lucas VeríssimoC7.24L. Veríssimo
João Paulo Ananias7.226J. Paulo Ananias
Gonzalo Escobar6.331G. Escobar
Gabriel Bontempo7.349G. Bontempo
Christian Oliva8.028C. Oliva
Miguelito6.330Miguelito
Benjamín Rollheiser6.932B. Rollheiser
Álvaro Barreal7.222Á. Barreal
Thaciano6.316Thaciano

UCV Substitutes

12Carlos González
3Steven Pabon
28Maicol Ruiz46'for K. Silva87'7.0
27Daniel Carrillo72'for Y. Cumana6.5
4Williams Velásquez
34Kevin Guzman
21Vicente Rodríguez72'for F. Sole6.3
16Daniel De Sousa72'for A. Granko6.5
36Cristhian Andrade
18Roberto Sarli
10Samuel Sosa64'replaced by W. Lugo73'6.3
33Carlos Colmenares

Santos Substitutes

1Diogenes
79João Pedro
98Adonis Frías79'for Lucas Verissimo6.5
14Luan Peres
57Nadson
37Davizinho
81Samuel Mendes70'for Gabriel Bontempo6.9
11Rony77'for Thaciano84'7.5
7Robinho Júnior77'for B. Rollheiser6.7
21Moisés77'for Miguelito5.9

Match Stats

UCVSantos
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
9Fouls6
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
338Total Passes534
266Passes Accurate469
79%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

UCVUCV
SantosSantos
1520Elo Rating 1774
1.85Attack 1.77
1.25Defense 1.58
41%Hit Rate 58%
-Shots per Game 12.9
-Shots on Target 4.0
-Corners per Game 3.7
-Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

UCVUCV
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SantosSantos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Recent Form

UCVUCV
3W3D4L
30/05/2026
UCVPortuguesa FC
23
L
28/05/2026
Libertad AsuncionUCV
01
W
24/05/2026
Puerto CabelloUCV
21
L
20/05/2026
Rosario CentralUCV
40
L
16/05/2026
Deportivo La GuairaUCV
00
D
13/05/2026
UCVDeportivo La Guaira
11
D
10/05/2026
UCVPuerto Cabello
31
W
06/05/2026
UCVIndependiente del Valle
20
W
03/05/2026
Portuguesa FCUCV
11
D
29/04/2026
UCVRosario Central
03
L
SantosSantos
4W3D3L
17/07/2026
BotafogoSantos
21
L
31/05/2026
SantosVitoria
31
W
27/05/2026
SantosDeportivo Cuenca
30
W
24/05/2026
GremioSantos
32
L
21/05/2026
SantosSan Lorenzo
22
D
17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
03
L
14/05/2026
CoritibaSantos
02
W
10/05/2026
SantosRB Bragantino
20
W
06/05/2026
Deportivo RecoletaSantos
11
D
02/05/2026
PalmeirasSantos
11
D

Referee Profile

Gery Vargas59 matches

5.37Cards per match
5.24Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gery Vargas5.37
Other referees5.32

5.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.32).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta61506:5+18WDDDD
2SantosSantos61418:6+27WDDDD
3San LorenzoSan Lorenzo61416:5+17LDDDW
4Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca61323:7-46LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta66:58
2SantosSantos68:67
3San LorenzoSan Lorenzo66:57
4Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca63:76
Promotion

About the UCV vs Santos forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

UCV and Santos have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.