Carlisle vs Southend Prediction

Carlisle
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Southend
Brunton Park, Carlisle 12/09/2026
CarlisleCarlisle
2-2
Finished
SouthendSouthend

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseHighGap-4.1%
Carlisle Rest
7 days
Southend Rest
7 days

Carlisle vs Southend: the result in context

Carlisle and Southend drew 2-2 in the National League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Carlisle have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Carlisle tend to win more corners, 11.0 a game to 9.0 for Southend.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.21
X
24%3.50
2
28%2.80
Double Chance
1X
72%1.36
X2
52%1.56
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'G. KellyAssist: D. Ajiboye
7'K. McAdam
43'V. Daley-Campbell
46'O. Coker INZ. Massiah-Edwards out
53'H. Cardwell
58'H. Cardwell INP. Omochere out
58'R. Colclough INJ. Popoola out
61'J. Williams INJ. Luamba out
62'L. Duru
65'D. Ajiboye INM. Obiero out
66'T. Jenks INS. Wearne out
70'D. Oldaker INS. Austin out
83'L. Chambers-ParillonAssist: P. Omochere
87'L. Duru INR. Linney out
87'H. Bunker INR. Galvin out
90+2'K. McAdam
90+3'L. Chambers-Parillon INH. Taylor out
90+4'P. Omochere
90+6'

Team Comparison

CarlisleCarlisle
SouthendSouthend
1618Elo Rating 1616
1.78Attack 1.80
2.34Defense 1.50
81%Hit Rate 36%
22.0Shots per Game 20.0
10.0Shots on Target 8.0
11.0Corners per Game 9.0
2.0Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CarlisleCarlisle
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
SouthendSouthend
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CarlisleCarlisle3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
SouthendSouthend0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

National League07/03/2026
CarlisleSouthend
22
National League08/11/2025
SouthendCarlisle
12
League Two03/04/2021
SouthendCarlisle
02
League Two19/09/2020
CarlisleSouthend
20

Recent Form

CarlisleCarlisle
4W2D4L
05/09/2026
Boreham WoodCarlisle
21
L
31/08/2026
CarlisleScunthorpe
42
W
28/08/2026
WealdstoneCarlisle
11
D
22/08/2026
CarlisleAFC Hornchurch
41
W
15/08/2026
Yeovil TownCarlisle
11
D
08/08/2026
CarlisleWorthing
23
L
01/08/2026
Derby County U21Carlisle
02
W
28/07/2026
CarlisleSalford City
02
L
21/07/2026
Darlington 1883Carlisle
24
W
03/05/2026
CarlisleBoreham Wood
1121
L
SouthendSouthend
5W2D3L
05/09/2026
SouthendYeovil Town
32
W
31/08/2026
WokingSouthend
11
D
28/08/2026
SouthendKidderminster Harriers
13
L
22/08/2026
Solihull MoorsSouthend
13
W
15/08/2026
SouthendScunthorpe
10
W
08/08/2026
AltrinchamSouthend
13
W
01/08/2026
SouthendAveley
40
W
25/07/2026
SouthendLeyton Orient
4151
L
22/07/2026
SouthendNorthampton
13
L
18/07/2026
SouthendWest Ham
11
D

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood15132040:14+2641WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town15101432:21+1131LWWWW
3SouthendSouthend1585236:24+1229DDWWD
4Yeovil TownYeovil Town1584335:18+1728WLWWD
5WorthingWorthing1584332:22+1028DWWWD
6AltrinchamAltrincham1591522:20+228DWWLW
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1582527:23+426WLWLL
8BarrowBarrow1473425:18+724DWWWW
9CarlisleCarlisle1565428:21+723WWDWW
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1563626:20+621LDWWD
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1556416:14+221DLDDL
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1563617:21-421WLLDL
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1570817:23-621LLWLW
14WokingWoking1553724:24018LWLWL
15Forest GreenForest Green1353521:22-118DLDDL
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1553718:19-118LLLLL
17EastleighEastleigh1553718:24-618LWLLD
18TamworthTamworth1452725:31-617WLWWL
19WealdstoneWealdstone1543820:27-715LWLLD
20HartlepoolHartlepool15501015:23-815LWWLL
21Boston UnitedBoston United1543819:28-915WLLLD
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe14311018:28-1010LLLLW
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors15311117:39-2210WLLLW
24GatesheadGateshead1411129:33-244LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1540:1441
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1532:2131
3SouthendSouthend1536:2429
4Yeovil TownYeovil Town1535:1828
5WorthingWorthing1532:2228
6AltrinchamAltrincham1522:2028
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1527:2326
8BarrowBarrow1425:1824
9CarlisleCarlisle1528:2123
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1526:2021
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1516:1421
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1517:2121
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1517:2321
14WokingWoking1524:2418
15Forest GreenForest Green1321:2218
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1518:1918
17EastleighEastleigh1518:2418
18TamworthTamworth1425:3117
19WealdstoneWealdstone1520:2715
20HartlepoolHartlepool1515:2315
21Boston UnitedBoston United1519:2815
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1418:2810
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1517:3910
24GatesheadGateshead149:334
PromotionRelegation

About the Carlisle vs Southend forecast

The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Carlisle and Southend in the National League table

In the National League table, Southend are 3rd and Carlisle 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Carlisle 28-21, Southend 36-24. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Carlisle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.