Southend vs Tamworth Prediction

Southend
3-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Tamworth
Roots Hall, Southend on Sea 15/09/2026
SouthendSouthend
3-1
Finished
TamworthTamworth

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.51
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseHighGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.51
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseHighGap+5.5%
Southend Rest
3 days
Tamworth Rest
3 days

Southend vs Tamworth: the result in context

Southend beat Tamworth 3-1 in the National League on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Southend tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 1.0 for Tamworth.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.51
X
16%4.20
2
16%4.90
Double Chance
1X
84%1.15
X2
32%2.27
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'J. Popoola INZ. Massiah-Edwards out
46'S. Kamara INL. Twamley out
46'A. Hartigan INS. Austin out
46'H. Cardwell INP. Omochere out
60'L. Chambers-ParillonAssist: D. Oldaker
68'P. OmochereAssist: K. McAdam
70'N. TshikunaAssist: T. McGlinchey
74'D. Creaney INJ. Hutchinson out
74'H. Hollis INJ. Rye out
74'R. Howley INO. Dyson out
78'L. Chambers-Parillon INO. Coker out
78'T. Bramble INT. Kurtaran out
82'S. Austin
85'K. Donnelly INB. Acquaye out
89'D. Oldaker

Team Comparison

SouthendSouthend
TamworthTamworth
1616Elo Rating 1478
1.80Attack 1.14
1.50Defense 2.00
36%Hit Rate 50%
20.0Shots per Game 8.0
8.0Shots on Target 2.0
9.0Corners per Game 1.0
1.0Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+138 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

SouthendSouthend
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TamworthTamworth
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

SouthendSouthend2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
TamworthTamworth1Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

National League20/12/2025
TamworthSouthend
21
National League16/08/2025
SouthendTamworth
20
National League22/02/2025
TamworthSouthend
11
National League26/10/2024
SouthendTamworth
20

Recent Form

SouthendSouthend
5W2D3L
12/09/2026
CarlisleSouthend
22
D
05/09/2026
SouthendYeovil Town
32
W
31/08/2026
WokingSouthend
11
D
28/08/2026
SouthendKidderminster Harriers
13
L
22/08/2026
Solihull MoorsSouthend
13
W
15/08/2026
SouthendScunthorpe
10
W
08/08/2026
AltrinchamSouthend
13
W
01/08/2026
SouthendAveley
40
W
25/07/2026
SouthendLeyton Orient
4151
L
22/07/2026
SouthendNorthampton
13
L
TamworthTamworth
3W2D5L
12/09/2026
Harrogate TownTamworth
31
L
09/09/2026
TamworthMiddlesbrough U21
13
L
05/09/2026
TamworthBoston United
22
D
31/08/2026
Yeovil TownTamworth
32
L
28/08/2026
TamworthWorthing
32
W
22/08/2026
FC Halifax TownTamworth
41
L
18/08/2026
TamworthNewcastle United U21
53
W
15/08/2026
TamworthAFC Fylde
12
L
08/08/2026
Boreham WoodTamworth
33
D
01/08/2026
AFC Telford UnitedTamworth
13
W

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood15132040:14+2641WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town15101432:21+1131LWWWW
3SouthendSouthend1585236:24+1229DDWWD
4Yeovil TownYeovil Town1584335:18+1728WLWWD
5WorthingWorthing1584332:22+1028DWWWD
6AltrinchamAltrincham1591522:20+228DWWLW
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1582527:23+426WLWLL
8BarrowBarrow1473425:18+724DWWWW
9CarlisleCarlisle1565428:21+723WWDWW
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1563626:20+621LDWWD
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1556416:14+221DLDDL
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1563617:21-421WLLDL
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1570817:23-621LLWLW
14WokingWoking1553724:24018LWLWL
15Forest GreenForest Green1353521:22-118DLDDL
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1553718:19-118LLLLL
17EastleighEastleigh1553718:24-618LWLLD
18TamworthTamworth1452725:31-617WLWWL
19WealdstoneWealdstone1543820:27-715LWLLD
20HartlepoolHartlepool15501015:23-815LWWLL
21Boston UnitedBoston United1543819:28-915WLLLD
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe14311018:28-1010LLLLW
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors15311117:39-2210WLLLW
24GatesheadGateshead1411129:33-244LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1540:1441
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1532:2131
3SouthendSouthend1536:2429
4Yeovil TownYeovil Town1535:1828
5WorthingWorthing1532:2228
6AltrinchamAltrincham1522:2028
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1527:2326
8BarrowBarrow1425:1824
9CarlisleCarlisle1528:2123
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1526:2021
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1516:1421
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1517:2121
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1517:2321
14WokingWoking1524:2418
15Forest GreenForest Green1321:2218
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1518:1918
17EastleighEastleigh1518:2418
18TamworthTamworth1425:3117
19WealdstoneWealdstone1520:2715
20HartlepoolHartlepool1515:2315
21Boston UnitedBoston United1519:2815
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1418:2810
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1517:3910
24GatesheadGateshead149:334
PromotionRelegation

About the Southend vs Tamworth forecast

The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Southend and Tamworth in the National League table

In the National League table, Southend are 3rd and Tamworth 18th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Southend 36-24, Tamworth 25-31. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.