Ceilândia vs Luverdense Prediction

Ceilândia
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Luverdense
20/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseHighGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalHIGHModel28%SurpriseHighGap+9.6%
Ceilândia Rest
12 days
Luverdense Rest
12 days

Ceilândia vs Luverdense: result, form and history

Luverdense beat Ceilândia 2-1 in the Serie D on 20 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.60
X
28%2.70
2
24%2.85
Double Chance
1X
76%1.34
X2
52%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.09
No
49%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 0.97 = 2.50
Over 1.5
68%1.49
Over 2.5
43%2.62
Over 3.5
23%5.00
Under 1.5
32%2.33
Under 2.5
57%1.41
Under 3.5
77%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Pedro Bortoluzo
15'Marquinho
46'D. Borges

Team Comparison

CeilândiaCeilândia
LuverdenseLuverdense
1542Elo Rating 1549
1.28Attack 0.58
1.63Defense 1.78
14%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

CeilândiaCeilândia
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LuverdenseLuverdense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CeilândiaCeilândia1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
LuverdenseLuverdense0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie D05/07/2025
CeilândiaLuverdense
10
Serie D10/05/2025
LuverdenseCeilândia
22

Recent Form

CeilândiaCeilândia
3W3D4L
07/06/2026
MixtoCeilândia
11
D
30/05/2026
CeilândiaGoiatuba EC
11
D
23/05/2026
União RondonópolisCeilândia
23
W
17/05/2026
Capital BrasiliaCeilândia
21
L
09/05/2026
CeilândiaCEOV Operário
01
L
03/05/2026
CEOV OperárioCeilândia
01
W
25/04/2026
CeilândiaCapital Brasilia
12
L
18/04/2026
CeilândiaUnião Rondonópolis
10
W
11/04/2026
Goiatuba ECCeilândia
10
L
05/04/2026
CeilândiaMixto
00
D
LuverdenseLuverdense
4W3D3L
07/06/2026
LuverdenseInhumas
40
W
31/05/2026
BrasilienseLuverdense
11
D
24/05/2026
LuverdenseAparecidense
10
W
17/05/2026
Primavera MGLuverdense
10
L
09/05/2026
LuverdenseGama
12
L
03/05/2026
GamaLuverdense
40
L
25/04/2026
LuverdensePrimavera MG
11
D
18/04/2026
AparecidenseLuverdense
01
W
11/04/2026
LuverdenseBrasiliense
00
D
04/04/2026
InhumasLuverdense
12
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GamaGama1082023:6+1726DWWWW
2LuverdenseLuverdense1043311:10+115WDWLL
3BrasilienseBrasiliense1035211:10+114WDWLL
4AparecidenseAparecidense1034313:12+113DDLDW
5Primavera MGPrimavera MG1033410:13-312LDLWW
6InhumasInhumas100193:20-171LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GamaGama1023:626
2LuverdenseLuverdense1011:1015
3BrasilienseBrasiliense1011:1014
4AparecidenseAparecidense1013:1213
5Primavera MGPrimavera MG1010:1312
6InhumasInhumas103:201

Group 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia1072116:6+1023WWDWW
2Goiatuba ECGoiatuba EC1054113:7+619WDDLD
3CeilândiaCeilândia103349:10-112DDWLL
4MixtoMixto1026210:9+112DDDWL
5União RondonópolisUnião Rondonópolis1023511:18-79LDLWD
6CEOV OperárioCEOV Operário101277:16-95LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia1016:623
2Goiatuba ECGoiatuba EC1013:719
3CeilândiaCeilândia109:1012
4MixtoMixto1010:912
5União RondonópolisUnião Rondonópolis1011:189
6CEOV OperárioCEOV Operário107:165
Promotion

About the Ceilândia vs Luverdense forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ceilândia and Luverdense have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.