Independência vs Guaporé Prediction

Independência
2-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Guaporé
14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.37
SignalSOLIDModel23%SurpriseHighGap-3.1%
Independência Rest
14 days
Guaporé Rest
14 days

Independência vs Guaporé: the result in context

Independência and Guaporé drew 2-2 in the Serie D on 14 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.67
X
28%3.17
2
42%2.33
Double Chance
1X
59%1.47
X2
70%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.56
No
50%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.12 = 2.26
Over 1.5
63%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.72
Over 3.5
19%2.78
Under 1.5
37%3.64
Under 2.5
62%1.98
Under 3.5
81%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'Igor Goularte
35'Watthimen
38'Ancelmo
90'Caique Gomes

Team Comparison

IndependênciaIndependência
GuaporéGuaporé
1532Elo Rating 1637
1.74Attack 1.00
1.74Defense 1.99
31%Hit Rate 19%

Game State Tendencies

IndependênciaIndependência
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GuaporéGuaporé
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

IndependênciaIndependência0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
GuaporéGuaporé1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie D04/04/2026
GuaporéIndependência
10

Recent Form

IndependênciaIndependência
4W2D4L
31/05/2026
HumaitáIndependência
04
W
24/05/2026
IndependênciaGalvez
31
W
17/05/2026
IndependênciaAraguaína
10
W
09/05/2026
Porto VelhoIndependência
21
L
03/05/2026
IndependênciaPorto Velho
11
D
26/04/2026
AraguaínaIndependência
11
D
19/04/2026
GalvezIndependência
21
L
12/04/2026
IndependênciaHumaitá
30
W
04/04/2026
GuaporéIndependência
10
L
06/03/2026
IndependênciaGalvez
12
L
GuaporéGuaporé
6W4D0L
31/05/2026
GuaporéAraguaína
32
W
24/05/2026
HumaitáGuaporé
04
W
17/05/2026
Porto VelhoGuaporé
00
D
10/05/2026
GuaporéGalvez
10
W
03/05/2026
GalvezGuaporé
33
D
26/04/2026
GuaporéPorto Velho
10
W
19/04/2026
GuaporéHumaitá
31
W
12/04/2026
AraguaínaGuaporé
11
D
04/04/2026
GuaporéIndependência
10
W
28/03/2026
GuaporéRondoniense
00
D

League Table

Serie D 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GuaporéGuaporé1064019:9+1022DWWDW
2Porto VelhoPorto Velho1053233:9+2418DWDDW
3AraguaínaAraguaína1053231:9+2218WLDLW
4IndependênciaIndependência1043317:10+715DWWWL
5GalvezGalvez1031614:31-1710LLLWL
6HumaitáHumaitá1000104:50-460DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GuaporéGuaporé1019:922
2Porto VelhoPorto Velho1033:918
3AraguaínaAraguaína1031:918
4IndependênciaIndependência1017:1015
5GalvezGalvez1014:3110
6HumaitáHumaitá104:500
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About the Independência vs Guaporé forecast

The forecasts for this Serie D match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independência and Guaporé in the Serie D table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Guaporé are 1st in the Serie D, 7 points ahead of Independência in 4th. League goal record so far: Independência 17-10, Guaporé 19-9. The full standings are on the Serie D Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Independência and Guaporé have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.