Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueWorld World · Qualifying Round 2
Cup
Celje
2-2
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 1-1PEN 4-1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Arena Z’dezele, Celje·Joey Kooij, Netherlands 28/07/2026
CeljeCelje
2-2
After Penalties
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.52
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Celje Rest
5 days
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Rest
5 days

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: result, form and history

Celje beat Egnatia Rrogozhinë on penalties (4-1) after a 2-2 draw in the UEFA Champions League on 28 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Egnatia Rrogozhinë had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Celje.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.44
X
24%4.71
2
26%6.10
Double Chance
1X
74%1.10
X2
50%2.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.75
No
50%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.53 = 3.15
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
55%1.57
Over 3.5
31%2.38
Under 1.5
23%4.67
Under 2.5
45%2.36
Under 3.5
69%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'D. HrkaOG
34'M. Kvesic
60'D. Adjessa INI. Gruda out
60'A. Yago INE. Ndreca out
68'P. DanielTripping
69'M. Avdyli INR. Pozeg out
69'M. Zabukovnik INY. Dukuly out
73'Y. DukulyRoughing
81'Fernando MedeirosDiving
81'P. Sirvys INA. Dionkou out
81'A. Kucys INA. Kotnik out
82'K. Loukili INN. Ajetovikj out
89'P. Daniel INI. Calusic out
90+1'I. GrudaTripping
90+3'G. JaimeDelay of game

Extra Time1 - 1

97'M. Kvesic(Penalty)
98'E. Sota ING. Smajli out
98'A. Kryeziu INJ. Montenegro out
100'A. DionkouRoughing
105+3'M. Kvesic IND. Vuklisevic out
114'G. Smajli
115'A. TutyskinasTripping
116'G. Jaime INA. Aleksi out

Penalty Shootout4 - 1

1S. Seslar(Penalty)
1E. Bitri(Penalty missed)
2A. Tutyskinas(Penalty)
2A. Xhemajli(Penalty)
3Y. Dukuly(Penalty)
3E. Ndreca(Penalty missed)
4I. Calusic(Penalty)

Lineups

Celje
4-3-3Coach: Vitor Campelos
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3-5-2Coach: Nevil Dede
Žan-Luk Leban1Ž. Leban
Pijus Širvys2P. Širvys
Darko Hrka4D. Hrka
Artemijus Tutyškinas6A. Tutyškinas
Leonardo Koutris33L. Koutris
Mario Kvesić8M. Kvesić
Papa Daniel13P. Daniel
Mark Zabukovnik19M. Zabukovnik
Svit Sešlar10S. Sešlar
Armandas Kučys47A. Kučys
Milot Avdyli11M. Avdyli
Mario Dajsinani98M. Dajsinani
Eljon Sota28E. Sota
Eneo Bitri33E. Bitri
Arbenit Xhemajli19A. Xhemajli
Guillem Jaime22G. Jaime
Karim Loukili20K. Loukili
Altin Kryeziu17A. Kryeziu
Fernando Medeiros7F. Medeiros
Andrey Yago29A. Yago
Daniel Adjessa2D. Adjessa
Alessandro Albanese10A. Albanese

Celje Substitutes

91Yaya Dukuly69'for M. Zabukovnik73'
94Rudi Požeg Vancaš69'for M. Avdyli
20Alpha Diounkou81'for P. Sirvys100'
17Andrej Kotnik81'replaced by A. Kucys
27Ivan Ćalušić89'for P. Daniel
3Damjan Vuklišević105+3'for M. Kvesic
12Luka Kolar
23Žiga Frelih
7Florjan Jevsenak
25Veton Tusha
77Matic Ivanšek
99Matej Poplatnik

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Substitutes

16Edison Ndreca60'for A. Yago
77Ildi Gruda60'for D. Adjessa90+1'
24Numan Ajetovikj82'for K. Loukili
55Geralb Smajli98'for E. Sota114'
99Jurguens Montenegro98'for A. Kryeziu
12Bruno Puja
1Levan Tandilashvili
6Albano Aleksi116'for G. Jaime

Team Comparison

CeljeCelje
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
1624Elo Rating 1664
1.12Attack 1.33
1.92Defense 2.04
23%Hit Rate 44%
10.3Shots per Game 12.6
2.6Shots on Target 6.2
2.4Corners per Game 3.2
2.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals

Game State Tendencies

CeljeCelje
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CeljeCelje0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë0Wins · 0%
6.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

UEFA Champions League22/07/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
33

Recent Form

CeljeCelje
4W3D3L
22/07/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
33
D
17/07/2026
CeljeMura
22
D
08/07/2026
CeljeMTK Budapest
43
W
04/07/2026
CeljeCukaricki
11
D
01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
01
L
27/06/2026
CeljeShkendija
10
W
22/05/2026
PrimorjeCelje
04
W
16/05/2026
CeljeKoper
12
L
02/05/2026
CeljeBravo
23
L
26/04/2026
CeljeAluminij
50
W
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
6W2D2L
22/07/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
33
D15/07/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëPetrocub
61
W
08/07/2026
PetrocubEgnatia Rrogozhinë
11
D
27/06/2026
FC BotosaniEgnatia Rrogozhinë
13
W
31/05/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëDinamo Tirana
20
W
23/05/2026
Vllaznia ShkodërEgnatia Rrogozhinë
12
W
17/05/2026
AF ElbasaniEgnatia Rrogozhinë
04
W
13/05/2026
Dinamo TiranaEgnatia Rrogozhinë
32
L
10/05/2026
Teuta DurrësEgnatia Rrogozhinë
32
L
06/05/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëPartizani
20
W

Referee Profile

Joey Kooij157 matches

3.34Cards per match
3.21Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joey Kooij3.34
Other referees3.27

3.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 145 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded

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About the Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhinë have met only 1 time recently, with 6.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.