Chelyabinsk vs Ska-khabarovsk Prediction

First LeagueRussia Russia · Regular Season - 1
Chelyabinsk
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Ska-khabarovsk
Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk·M. Cheremnykh 13/07/2026
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
3-1
Finished
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+8.3%
Chelyabinsk Rest
9 days
Ska-khabarovsk Rest
8 days

Chelyabinsk vs Ska-khabarovsk: result, form and history

Chelyabinsk beat Ska-khabarovsk 3-1 in the First League on 13 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee M. Cheremnykh is among the more lenient referees we track, at 3.5 cards a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%1.78
X
29%3.45
2
31%4.40
Double Chance
1X
69%1.18
X2
60%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.88
No
56%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.30
Over 2.5
38%2.06
Over 3.5
18%3.34
Under 1.5
36%2.97
Under 2.5
62%1.76
Under 3.5
82%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Aleksey Berdnikov
45+1'Mikheil Gorelishvili
50'Nikolay Pridava INKonstantin Kertanov out
50'Baba N'Diaye INMatvey Urvantsev out
56'Ramazan Gadzimuradov
59'Dmitriy Markitesov INSadyg Bagiev out
59'Jacobo Alcalde Tellado INVladislav Bragin out
67'Ramazan Gadzimuradov
68'Mikheil Gorelishvili INVadim Vshivkov out
68'Danila Yanov INIgor Shkolik out
68'David Shavlokhov INEgor Noskov out
87'Ramazan Gadzimuradov INDenis Pokotylo out

Lineups

Chelyabinsk
Coach: Roman Pilipchuk
Ska-khabarovsk
Coach: Mikhail Semenov

Chelyabinsk Starting XI

31Mark Pereverzev
91Ruslan Baytukov
24Nikolay Pridava50'replaced by Konstantin Kertanov
50Vitaliy Lystsov
21Aleksey Berdnikov24'
6Sergey Makarov
77Denis Samoilov
10Ramazan Gadzimuradov56'67'87'replaced by Denis Pokotylo
17Baba N'Diaye50'replaced by Matvey Urvantsev
70Garrik Levin
7Ilya Safronov

Ska-khabarovsk Starting XI

16Vitaliy Botnar
61Matvey Uzhgin
3Konstantin Pliev
4David Shavlokhov68'replaced by Egor Noskov
29Aleksandr Mukhin
13Danila Yanov68'replaced by Igor Shkolik
8Dmitriy Markitesov59'replaced by Sadyg Bagiev
5Eldar Bliev
24Mikheil Gorelishvili45+1'68'replaced by Vadim Vshivkov
50Stepan Glotov
9Jacobo Alcalde Tellado59'replaced by Vladislav Bragin

Chelyabinsk Substitutes

18Konstantin Kertanov50'for Nikolay Pridava
29Matvey Urvantsev50'for Baba N'Diaye
33Denis Pokotylo87'for Ramazan Gadzimuradov
93Ilya Tuseev
44Igor Rusyaev
72Aleksandr Bem
55Bogdan Rogochiy
55Georgiy Borisov

Ska-khabarovsk Substitutes

66Sadyg Bagiev59'for Dmitriy Markitesov
14Vladislav Bragin59'for Jacobo Alcalde Tellado
91Egor Noskov68'for David Shavlokhov
20Igor Shkolik68'for Danila Yanov
54Vadim Vshivkov68'for Mikheil Gorelishvili
73Mikhail Shtepa
82Demyan Ilyev

Match Stats

ChelyabinskSka-khabarovsk
44%Ball Possession56%
6Corner Kicks10
8Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal4

Team Comparison

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
1425Elo Rating 1427
1.30Attack 1.92
1.07Defense 2.04
17%Hit Rate 46%
7.4Shots per Game 8.5
4.9Shots on Target 3.4
6.3Corners per Game 3.9
1.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

First League11/04/2026
ChelyabinskSka-khabarovsk
22
First League14/09/2025
Ska-khabarovskChelyabinsk
11

Recent Form

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
1W5D4L
04/07/2026
UralChelyabinsk
11
D
16/05/2026
ChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl
22
D
08/05/2026
Rodina MoskvaChelyabinsk
20
L
02/05/2026
ChelyabinskFK Neftekhimik
20
W
26/04/2026
ChelyabinskUral
12
L
22/04/2026
Arsenal TulaChelyabinsk
00
D
17/04/2026
EniseyChelyabinsk
30
L
11/04/2026
ChelyabinskSka-khabarovsk
22
D
03/04/2026
ChelyabinskChernomorets
11
D
29/03/2026
ChaykaChelyabinsk
21
L
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
2W4D4L
04/07/2026
Ska-khabarovskVeles
22
D
30/06/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
42
L
16/05/2026
Ska-khabarovskFK Neftekhimik
20
W
08/05/2026
FakelSka-khabarovsk
00
D
03/05/2026
Ska-khabarovskFC UFA
30
W
26/04/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
30
L
22/04/2026
Spartak KostromaSka-khabarovsk
30
L
18/04/2026
Ska-khabarovskRotor Volgograd
12
L
11/04/2026
ChelyabinskSka-khabarovsk
22
D
05/04/2026
Ska-khabarovskVolga Ulyanovsk
11
D

Referee Profile

M. Cheremnykh28 matches analysed

3.48Cards per match
3.43Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 4% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

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About the Chelyabinsk vs Ska-khabarovsk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chelyabinsk and Ska-khabarovsk in the First League table

In the First League table, Chelyabinsk are 12th and Ska-khabarovsk 16th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Chelyabinsk 21-26, Ska-khabarovsk 20-28. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ska-khabarovsk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Chelyabinsk and Ska-khabarovsk have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.