Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna Prediction

Ticha Stadium, Varna·Dragomir Draganov, Bulgaria 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Cherno More Varna Rest
6 days
Spartak Varna Rest
9 days

Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna: result, form and history

Spartak Varna beat Cherno More Varna 3-0 in the First League on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Dragomir Draganov averages 4.62 cards a game, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.72
X
27%3.40
2
14%4.80
Double Chance
1X
86%1.14
X2
41%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.00
No
48%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1 = 2.68
Over 1.5
75%1.36
Over 2.5
50%2.13
Over 3.5
27%3.80
Under 1.5
25%2.90
Under 2.5
50%1.65
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'G. Trifonov
22'B. Beyhan
33'A. Granchov
46'B. Beyhan INC. Sidney out
54'A. Granchov
57'G. Trifonov INA. Ivanov out
69'J. Tshitoku
72'A. Donchev INA. Todorov out
73'T. Silva IND. Valverde out
73'D. Yordanov INV. Oliveira out
83'V. Panayotov ING. Lazarov out
83'E. Tombak INE. Nyagolov out
83'M. Barandas INP. Andreev out
88'G. StojanovskiAssist: Jota Lopes
89'G. Stojanovski INT. Chunchukov out
89'Jota Lopes INR. Sousa out
90+4'R. Sousa

Lineups

Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Gjoko Hadzievski
Kristian Tomov81K. Tomov
Ertan Tombak50E. Tombak
Zhivko Atanasov3Z. Atanasov
Luciano Squadrone5L. Squadrone
Ventsislav Kerchev37V. Kerchev
Berk Beyhan29B. Beyhan
David Teles24D. Teles
Asen Donchev8A. Donchev
Vasil Panayotov71V. Panayotov
Miguel Barandas7M. Barandas
Aleksandar Kolev20A. Kolev
Plamen Iliev23P. Iliev
Deyan Lozev20D. Lozev
Angel Granchov44A. Granchov
Joey Tshitoku45J. Tshitoku
Boris Ivanov4B. Ivanov
Tsvetoslav Marinov17T. Marinov
Damian Yordanov8D. Yordanov
Jota Lopes10J. Lopes
Tomás Silva82T. Silva
Georg Stojanovski90G. Stojanovski
Georgi Trifonov99G. Trifonov

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

70Antoan Manasiev
13Emanuil Nyagolov83'for E. Tombak
93Georgi Ventsislavov
26João Bandaro
23Martin Banev
22Nikolay Petrov Kostadinov
14Aleksandar Todorov72'for A. Donchev
18Petar Andreev83'for M. Barandas
39Nikolay Zlatev
19Georgi Lazarov83'for V. Panayotov
77Celso Sidney46'for B. Beyhan

Spartak Varna Substitutes

1Pedro Victor
72Vasco Oliveira73'for D. Yordanov
76David Valverde Juan73'for T. Silva
6Ricardo Sousa89'for Jota Lopes90+4'
9Tsvetelin Chunchukov89'for G. Stojanovski
80Ángel Gomes Arevalo
11Boubacar Hanne
77Anton Ivanov57'for G. Trifonov

Team Comparison

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
1467Elo Rating 1451
1.26Attack 1.21
2.30Defense 0.39
46%Hit Rate 36%
9.4Shots per Game 10.9
3.8Shots on Target 3.4
3.0Corners per Game 4.6
3.9Cards per Game 1.8

Game State Tendencies

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • No tendency data available
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna3Wins · 50%
Draws350%
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna0Wins · 0%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

First League07/02/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
00
First League16/08/2025
Spartak VarnaCherno More Varna
13
First League08/03/2025
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
11
First League22/09/2024
Spartak VarnaCherno More Varna
02
First League07/05/2023
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
32
First League22/10/2022
Spartak VarnaCherno More Varna
00

Recent Form

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
4W4D2L
19/07/2026
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
11
D
11/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
11
D
08/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDobrudzha
22
D
08/07/2026
Farul ConstantaCherno More Varna
01
W
03/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Pleven
10
W
01/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
00
D
24/06/2026
Yantra 2019Cherno More Varna
01
W
25/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
23
L
16/05/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
50
L
12/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
W
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
4W4D2L
17/07/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
22
D
11/07/2026
Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
73
W
08/07/2026
Spartak VarnaNesebar
11
D
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
L
27/06/2026
Spartak VarnaDunav Ruse
00
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
W
18/05/2026
MontanaSpartak Varna
02
W
14/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaSpartak Varna
10
L
10/05/2026
Spartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
21
W
06/05/2026
Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
11
D

Referee Profile

Dragomir Draganov128 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dragomir Draganov4.62
Other referees5.24

4.62 cards a match, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1363418:19-121WDLDL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1333714:22-812WWLDD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1324710:22-1210LDLDD
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1322911:25-148LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1318:1921
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1314:2212
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1310:2210
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1311:258
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cherno More Varna and Spartak Varna in the First League table

Spartak Varna and Cherno More Varna are close in the First League table, 8th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Cherno More Varna 14-22, Spartak Varna 12-23. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.