Chester vs Bedford Town Prediction

Chester
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bedford Town
Deva Stadium, Chester 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-9.9%
Chester Rest
7 days
Bedford Town Rest
3 days

Chester vs Bedford Town: the result in context

Chester beat Bedford Town 1-0 in the National League - North on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.55
X
24%4.00
2
23%4.90
Double Chance
1X
77%1.12
X2
47%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.71
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.33 = 2.91
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.60
Under 1.5
22%4.15
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

89'K. Moore

Team Comparison

ChesterChester
Bedford TownBedford Town
1578Elo Rating 1576
1.69Attack 0.92
1.24Defense 2.44
61%Hit Rate 50%
-Shots per Game 5.8
-Shots on Target 1.5
-Corners per Game 4.6
-Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals

Game State Tendencies

ChesterChester
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bedford TownBedford Town
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ChesterChester1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Bedford TownBedford Town1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

National League - North07/02/2026
Bedford TownChester
12
National League - North25/10/2025
ChesterBedford Town
12

Recent Form

ChesterChester
4W2D4L
03/10/2026
Spennymoor TownChester
41
L
26/09/2026
ChesterWorksop Town
41
W
19/09/2026
Lower BreckChester
12
W
12/09/2026
BuxtonChester
31
L
08/09/2026
ChesterMerthyr Town
01
L
05/09/2026
Hebburn TownChester
11
D
31/08/2026
ChesterMorecambe
01
L
29/08/2026
HerefordChester
11
D
22/08/2026
ChesterSpalding United
10
W
18/08/2026
Darlington 1883Chester
01
W
Bedford TownBedford Town
6W2D2L
06/10/2026
Wingate & FinchleyBedford Town
13
W
03/10/2026
Bedford TownWingate & Finchley
22
D
26/09/2026
Bedford TownHereford
11
D
19/09/2026
Bedford TownKing's Lynn Town
21
W
12/09/2026
Spalding UnitedBedford Town
21
L
08/09/2026
Worksop TownBedford Town
12
W
05/09/2026
Bedford TownRadcliffe
10
W
31/08/2026
AFC Telford UnitedBedford Town
01
W
29/08/2026
Bedford TownSpennymoor Town
31
W
22/08/2026
SouthportBedford Town
41
L

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South ShieldsSouth Shields1492325:19+629WWWLL
2Oxford CityOxford City1483326:11+1527LWDWD
3MacclesfieldMacclesfield1383221:11+1027WLWWD
4HerefordHereford1482424:11+1326LLWLD
5BuxtonBuxton1582530:25+526WWWDL
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1573525:21+424WLDDW
7Hednesford TownHednesford Town1573524:20+424WLWWW
8MorecambeMorecambe1472521:12+923WWWLD
9ChesterChester1472517:14+323LWLWW
10Bedford TownBedford Town1471617:19-222LWWLD
11Spalding UnitedSpalding United1463519:15+421WDLLL
12ChorleyChorley1462623:23020LWLWW
13Worksop TownWorksop Town1562720:21-120LWDDW
14Hebburn TownHebburn Town1455419:24-520DDLLD
15AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1554616:21-519WWDWL
16Brackley TownBrackley Town1554618:26-819WDLLW
17Harborough TownHarborough Town1445513:17-417DLDWL
18MarineMarine1451817:19-216LLDWW
19Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1537518:22-416DLLDD
20RadcliffeRadcliffe1551919:27-816DLWWW
21Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1443719:20-115LLWLD
22Darlington 1883Darlington 188315321019:28-911LLWLD
23SouthportSouthport1424814:25-1110LDLLD
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1424814:27-1310WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1South ShieldsSouth Shields1425:1929
2Oxford CityOxford City1426:1127
3MacclesfieldMacclesfield1321:1127
4HerefordHereford1424:1126
5BuxtonBuxton1530:2526
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1525:2124
7Hednesford TownHednesford Town1524:2024
8MorecambeMorecambe1421:1223
9ChesterChester1417:1423
10Bedford TownBedford Town1417:1922
11Spalding UnitedSpalding United1419:1521
12ChorleyChorley1423:2320
13Worksop TownWorksop Town1520:2120
14Hebburn TownHebburn Town1419:2420
15AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1516:2119
16Brackley TownBrackley Town1518:2619
17Harborough TownHarborough Town1413:1717
18MarineMarine1417:1916
19Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1518:2216
20RadcliffeRadcliffe1519:2716
21Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1419:2015
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831519:2811
23SouthportSouthport1414:2510
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1414:2710
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About the Chester vs Bedford Town forecast

The forecasts for this National League - North match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chester and Bedford Town in the National League - North table

Chester and Bedford Town are close in the National League - North table, 9th and 10th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Chester 17-14, Bedford Town 17-19. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chester and Bedford Town have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.