Merthyr Town vs Marine Prediction

Merthyr Town
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Marine
Penydarren Park 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseHighGap-6.6%
Merthyr Town Rest
3 days
Marine Rest
7 days

Merthyr Town vs Marine: result, form and history

Marine beat Merthyr Town 2-1 in the National League - North on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.87
X
25%3.60
2
26%3.50
Double Chance
1X
75%1.25
X2
51%1.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'G. Newell
67'J. Evans
90'F. Sinclair-Smith

Team Comparison

Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
MarineMarine
1477Elo Rating 1539
0.73Attack 1.34
0.86Defense 2.23
0%Hit Rate 50%
-Shots per Game 10.0
-Shots on Target 3.0
-Corners per Game 2.0
-Cards per Game 2.0

Game State Tendencies

Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MarineMarine
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
MarineMarine1Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

National League - North14/04/2026
MarineMerthyr Town
13
National League - North19/08/2025
Merthyr TownMarine
13

Recent Form

Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
2W5D3L
22/09/2026
Truro CityMerthyr Town
20
L
19/09/2026
Merthyr TownTruro City
11
D
12/09/2026
Scarborough AthleticMerthyr Town
00
D
08/09/2026
ChesterMerthyr Town
01
W
05/09/2026
Merthyr TownMacclesfield
21
W
31/08/2026
BuxtonMerthyr Town
21
L
29/08/2026
Merthyr TownChorley
11
D
22/08/2026
South ShieldsMerthyr Town
11
D
18/08/2026
Merthyr TownAFC Telford United
22
D
15/08/2026
Spennymoor TownMerthyr Town
21
L
MarineMarine
4W0D6L
19/09/2026
MarineRadcliffe
32
W
12/09/2026
MarineDarlington 1883
21
W
08/09/2026
South ShieldsMarine
21
L
05/09/2026
MarineWorksop Town
01
L
31/08/2026
Harborough TownMarine
21
L
29/08/2026
MarineRadcliffe
20
W
22/08/2026
King's Lynn TownMarine
14
W
18/08/2026
MarineChorley
02
L
15/08/2026
HerefordMarine
10
L
08/08/2026
MarineMacclesfield
01
L

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oxford CityOxford City1383225:8+1727WDWDW
2HerefordHereford1382324:8+1626LWLDW
3South ShieldsSouth Shields1382322:18+426WWLLW
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1273218:11+724LWWDD
5ChesterChester1372417:13+423WLWWL
6BuxtonBuxton1472526:23+323WWDLL
7Bedford TownBedford Town1371517:16+122WWLDL
8Hednesford TownHednesford Town1463523:20+321LWWWW
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1463522:21+121LDDWW
10MorecambeMorecambe1362519:12+720WWLDW
11ChorleyChorley1362523:21+220WLWWL
12Worksop TownWorksop Town1462620:20020WDDWL
13Hebburn TownHebburn Town1354418:23-519DLLDW
14Spalding UnitedSpalding United1353516:13+318DLLLW
15MarineMarine1351715:15016LDWWW
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1344512:16-416LDWLD
17AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1444614:20-616WDWLL
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1444617:26-916DLLWW
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1343619:18+115LWLDD
20Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1436515:19-415LLDDL
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1450916:24-815LWWWL
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831432917:25-811LWLDD
23SouthportSouthport1324713:23-1010DLLDL
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1314812:27-157LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Oxford CityOxford City1325:827
2HerefordHereford1324:826
3South ShieldsSouth Shields1322:1826
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1218:1124
5ChesterChester1317:1323
6BuxtonBuxton1426:2323
7Bedford TownBedford Town1317:1622
8Hednesford TownHednesford Town1423:2021
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1422:2121
10MorecambeMorecambe1319:1220
11ChorleyChorley1323:2120
12Worksop TownWorksop Town1420:2020
13Hebburn TownHebburn Town1318:2319
14Spalding UnitedSpalding United1316:1318
15MarineMarine1315:1516
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1312:1616
17AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1414:2016
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1417:2616
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1319:1815
20Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1415:1915
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1416:2415
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831417:2511
23SouthportSouthport1313:2310
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1312:277
PromotionRelegation

About the Merthyr Town vs Marine forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Merthyr Town and Marine in the National League - North table

In the National League - North table, Marine are 15th and Merthyr Town 20th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Merthyr Town 15-19, Marine 15-15. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Merthyr Town and Marine have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.