Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 12
Club Nacional
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Liverpool Montevideo
Gran Parque Central, Montevideo·Gustavo Tejera 25/10/2026
Club NacionalClub Nacional
0-1
Finished
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Club Nacional Rest
5 days
Liverpool Montevideo Rest
4 days

Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo: the result in context

Liverpool Montevideo beat Club Nacional 1-0 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Club Nacional tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.3 for Liverpool Montevideo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.95
X
28%3.31
2
23%3.63
Double Chance
1X
77%1.24
X2
51%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 0.95 = 2.78
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
49%1.94
Over 3.5
28%3.40
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
51%1.78
Under 3.5
72%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'Federico Martinez
34'Luciano Rodriguez INAgustín Rogel out
35'Santiago Milano Larrosa
36'tiziano correa
46'luciano gonzalez INMaximiliano Joaquin·Silvera Cabo out
56'Ramiro Matias Degregorio INDiego Romero Lanz out
61'Rubén Bentancourt
63'Camilo Cándido INTomas Viera out
70'Luciano Boggio
72'Tomas Viera
75'Diego Romero Lanz
76'Santiago Milano Larrosa INSantiago Laquidain out
77'tiziano correa INkevin martinez out
77'Luciano Boggio INalexander santos dos out
79'Nicolas Garayalde
84'Federico Martinez INRenzo Machado out
84'Lucas acosta INDiego Zabala out
84'Kevin Lewis INJoaquin Pintos out
90+1'Santiago strasorier
90+2'Maximiliano Gómez

Lineups

Club Nacional
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Carreño
Liverpool Montevideo
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Fossati
A. Martín Arias22A. Martín Arias
3737L. Rodriguez
S. Coates4S. Coates
F. Calvo5F. Calvo
G. Martirena15G. Martirena
L. Boggio6L. Boggio
L. Rodríguez23L. Rodríguez
C. Cándido21C. Cándido
L. Gonzalez39L. Gonzalez
M. Gómez9M. Gómez
T. Correa29T. Correa
M. Bernatene1M. Bernatene
S. Milano6S. Milano
S. Strasorier3S. Strasorier
A. Cayetano18A. Cayetano
R. Haller24R. Haller
N. Garayalde5N. Garayalde
Lucas Acosta Moreno16L. Acosta Moreno
K. Lewis34K. Lewis
R. Degregorio10R. Degregorio
F. Martínez7F. Martínez
R. Bentancourt19R. Bentancourt

Club Nacional Substitutes

32T. Viera63'for Camilo Cándido72'
11M. Silvera46'for luciano gonzalez
8S. Silva
2A. Rogel34'replaced by Luciano Rodriguez
7N. Rodríguez
31R. Martinez77'for tiziano correa
10A. Dos Santos77'for Luciano Boggio
40J. Bianchi
13E. Ancheta
36B. Zuculini

Liverpool Montevideo Substitutes

22D. Zabala84'for Lucas acosta
25M. Campaña
17Gonzalo de Mello
15S. Laquidaín76'for Santiago Milano Larrosa
9R. Machado84'for Federico Martinez
8M. Mir
29E. Olivera
4F. Perdomo
33Joaquin Pintos84'replaced by Kevin Lewis
27D. Romero56'for Ramiro Matias Degregorio75'

Match Stats

Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards5
11Total Shots4
2Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal2
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Club NacionalClub Nacional
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
1651Elo Rating 1641
1.72Attack 1.28
2.27Defense 2.55
73%Hit Rate 83%
9.9Shots per Game 7.7
3.4Shots on Target 3.9
6.4Corners per Game 4.3
3.6Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Club NacionalClub Nacional
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Club NacionalClub Nacional4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3Wins · 30%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura20/04/2026
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
13
Primera División - Apertura26/03/2025
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
22
Primera División - Apertura15/06/2024
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
21
Primera División - Apertura25/02/2024
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
11
Copa Uruguay06/02/2024
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
21
Primera División - Apertura23/06/2023
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
30
Primera División - Apertura06/02/2023
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
21
Super Copa30/01/2023
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
10
Primera División - Apertura22/02/2022
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
00
Primera División - Apertura15/08/2021
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
10

Recent Form

Club NacionalClub Nacional
8W2D0L
20/10/2026
Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
32
W
16/10/2026
Club NacionalRentistas
30
W
11/10/2026
Central EspanolClub Nacional
01
W
06/10/2026
Club NacionalAtletico Torque
20
W
26/09/2026
Cerro LargoClub Nacional
02
W20/09/2026
Club NacionalDefensor Sporting
32
W
16/09/2026
ProgresoClub Nacional
01
W
12/09/2026
WanderersClub Nacional
11
D
06/09/2026
Club NacionalJuventud
22
D
03/09/2026
CA River PlateClub Nacional
23
W
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
6W2D2L
21/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
10
W18/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoPenarol
10
W10/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoLiverpool Montevideo
11
D03/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoProgreso
32
W27/09/2026
Central EspanolLiverpool Montevideo
12
W
23/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoColón
30
W
21/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
00
D
15/09/2026
Atletico TorqueLiverpool Montevideo
31
L
07/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
10
W
02/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
01
L

Referee Profile

Gustavo Tejera160 matches

4.98Cards per match
4.79Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gustavo Tejera4.98
Other referees5.35

4.98 cards a match, 0.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.35).

Cards come from 84 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol35199752:28+2465LDLWL
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado35189854:32+2263LDWWL
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque351961059:41+1863WDLDL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional351941253:42+1161LWLLW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo351612745:31+1460WDWWW
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo351611847:31+1659DLWLD
7WanderersWanderers351491242:44-251WLLLW
8Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
9JuventudJuventud3510111437:43-641DDWLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting359121435:43-839WDWLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo359101633:41-837LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River351071834:47-1337LWLWW
14CerroCerro351071829:53-2437LDDWL
15ProgresoProgreso351052031:49-1835LWLLD
16DanubioDanubio356141529:45-1632WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3552:2865
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3554:3263
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3559:4163
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3553:4261
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3545:3160
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3547:3159
7WanderersWanderers3542:4451
8Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
9JuventudJuventud3537:4341
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3535:4339
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo3533:4137
13Boston RiverBoston River3534:4737
14CerroCerro3529:5337
15ProgresoProgreso3531:4935
16DanubioDanubio3529:4532

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol72431514118:62+56144LDLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72431415129:75+54140LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado35189854:32+2263LDWWL
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7234221698:68+30124DLWLD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7230231984:69+15113WDWWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72321624113:92+21112WDLDL
7JuventudJuventud7228182682:820102DDWLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7227192677:81-4100WDWLD
9Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
10Boston RiverBoston River7224202884:86-292LWLWW
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7221232874:82-886LLDDW
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
13CerroCerro7222183262:95-3383LDDWL
14WanderersWanderers7220223067:91-2482WLLLW
15DanubioDanubio7216272970:86-1675WDDDL
16ProgresoProgreso7220143869:109-4074LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol72118:62144
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72129:75140
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3554:3263
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7298:68124
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7284:69113
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72113:92112
7JuventudJuventud7282:82102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7277:81100
9Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
10Boston RiverBoston River7284:8692
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7274:8286
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
13CerroCerro7262:9583
14WanderersWanderers7267:9182
15DanubioDanubio7270:8675
16ProgresoProgreso7269:10974

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916LDLWL
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LLDDW
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110WDWWW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509DLWLD
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409WLDWW
6CerroCerro73046:10-49LDDWL
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36WDWLD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55LWLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol712:316
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo77:511
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo74:310
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo75:59
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol74:49
6CerroCerro76:109
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:96
8Boston RiverBoston River75:105

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815WLLLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612LDWWL
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012WDLDL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DDWLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWWDD
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56LWLLD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931WDWWW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829LDWWL
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWWDD
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727LDLWL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124WLDWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623WDLDL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LWLLW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221WDWLD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DLWLD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520WLLLW
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418WDDDL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617LWLWW
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DDWLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110LWLLD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LDDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1393122:8+1430DLWLD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1391326:14+1228WDLDL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1382319:13+626LWLLW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1364318:10+822LDWWL
5PenarolPenarol1365217:9+822LDLWL
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1354418:14+419WDWWW
7ProgresoProgreso1361613:15-219LWLLD
8JuventudJuventud1346312:10+218DDWLL
9CerroCerro1353515:19-418LDDWL
10WanderersWanderers1344514:19-516WLLLW
11Boston RiverBoston River1343615:17-215LWLWW
12Albion FCAlbion FC1341815:20-513WWWDD
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1333716:23-712WDWLD
14DanubioDanubio132477:15-810WDDDL
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1316610:17-79LLDDW
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol132298:22-148WLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1322:830
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1326:1428
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1319:1326
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1318:1022
5PenarolPenarol1317:922
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1318:1419
7ProgresoProgreso1313:1519
8JuventudJuventud1312:1018
9CerroCerro1315:1918
10WanderersWanderers1314:1916
11Boston RiverBoston River1315:1715
12Albion FCAlbion FC1315:2013
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1316:2312
14DanubioDanubio137:1510
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1310:179
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol138:228
PromotionRelegation

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About the Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club Nacional and Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División table

Club Nacional and Liverpool Montevideo are close in the Primera División table, 4th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Club Nacional 53-42, Liverpool Montevideo 47-31. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Club Nacional have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.