Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 12
Deportivo Maldonado
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Danubio
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado·Jose Burgos 25/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
2-1
Finished
DanubioDanubio

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Deportivo Maldonado Rest
4 days
Danubio Rest
6 days

Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: the result in context

Deportivo Maldonado beat Danubio 2-1 in the Primera División on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Deportivo Maldonado tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.7 for Danubio.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.88
X
25%3.32
2
21%3.85
Double Chance
1X
79%1.21
X2
46%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.87 = 2.76
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
49%1.95
Over 3.5
28%3.34
Under 1.5
27%3.30
Under 2.5
51%1.78
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'Bautista PereiraAssist: Bautista Euclides Tomatis
28'Bautista Pereira
46'Sebastian Tormo INLautaro Ibanez out
46'Juan Martin·Ginzo
60'Santiago Cartagena
63'J. Millán
70'Enzo Cabrera INMaicol·Ferreira out
74'Juan Martin·Ginzo INGuillermo López Matturo out
74'Lautaro Ibanez INGonzalo Sebastián Sosa out
77'Bautista Pereira INemiliano figueroa out
82'Lucas·Nunez INJoaquín Fernández out
86'J. Millán INSebastián Rodriguez out
86'Mateo peralta INCristhian Andres Tizon Correa out
86'Bautista Euclides Tomatis INIvo costantino out
90+4'Renato Cesar

Lineups

Deportivo Maldonado
3-4-3Coach: Gabriel Di Noia
Danubio
4-3-1-2Coach: L. Rocco
A. Freitas1A. Freitas
N. Fuica2N. Fuica
Juan Martín Ginzo4J. Martín Ginzo
F. Tealde19F. Tealde
L. Núñez5L. Núñez
Santiago Ramírez17S. Ramírez
S. Cartagena28S. Cartagena
S. Tormo20S. Tormo
A. M. Noble Sequeira10A. M. Noble Sequeira
C. Tabó14C. Tabó
R. César16R. César
M. Goicoechea1M. Goicoechea
M. Rinaldi4M. Rinaldi
M. Brasil19M. Brasil
G. Rodriguez3G. Rodriguez
L. Sosa6L. Sosa
E. Femia28E. Femia
J. Millán5J. Millán
M. Peralta10M. Peralta
Bautista Pereira14B. Pereira
B. Tomatis77B. Tomatis
E. Cabrera7E. Cabrera

Deportivo Maldonado Substitutes

42J. Fernández82'for Lucas·Nunez
34N. Forastiero
15S. González
30L. Ibanez46'for Sebastian Tormo74'for Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa
11G. López74'for Juan Martin·Ginzo
31F. Marino
29E. Mozzone
32H. Petryk
27G. Sosa74'replaced by Lautaro Ibanez
23A. Vila

Danubio Substitutes

2E. Velázquez
80C. Tizón86'for Mateo peralta
8S. Rodríguez86'for J. Millán
32K. Martínez
33D. Garcia
15E. Figueroa77'for Bautista Pereira
20M. Ferreira70'for Enzo Cabrera
30S. Fernández
27I. Costantino86'for Bautista Euclides Tomatis
25Felipe Cabrera

Match Stats

Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal8
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
DanubioDanubio
1688Elo Rating 1528
2.73Attack 2.23
1.88Defense 2.40
66%Hit Rate 63%
6.6Shots per Game 8.1
4.0Shots on Target 2.7
5.8Corners per Game 3.7
2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
DanubioDanubio
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
DanubioDanubio2Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura18/05/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
31
Primera División - Apertura19/04/2026
DanubioDeportivo Maldonado
11
Primera División - Apertura03/06/2024
DanubioDeportivo Maldonado
11
Primera División - Apertura25/03/2023
DanubioDeportivo Maldonado
40
Primera División - Apertura15/02/2022
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
12

Recent Form

Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
7W1D2L
20/10/2026
Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
32
L15/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
41
W10/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoLiverpool Montevideo
11
D03/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoCentral Espanol
30
W27/09/2026
Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
02
W
24/09/2026
CerroDeportivo Maldonado
12
W
19/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo
20
W13/09/2026
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
10
L
10/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
41
W
05/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
20
W
DanubioDanubio
3W3D4L
18/10/2026
DanubioCentral Espanol
10
W
15/10/2026
Central EspanolDanubio
06
W
09/10/2026
Atletico TorqueDanubio
10
L04/10/2026
DanubioCerro Largo
21
W27/09/2026
Defensor SportingDanubio
10
L
24/09/2026
DanubioPenarol
11
D
20/09/2026
DanubioWanderers
11
D13/09/2026
JuventudDanubio
11
D
05/09/2026
DanubioPenarol
04
L
02/09/2026
Atletico TorqueDanubio
20
L

Referee Profile

Jose Burgos30 matches

5.27Cards per match
5.20Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Burgos5.27
Other referees5.37

5.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.37).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol35199752:28+2465LDLWL
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque351961059:41+1863WDLDL
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Club NacionalClub Nacional351941253:42+1161LWLLW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo351612745:31+1460WDWWW
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo351611847:31+1659DLWLD
7WanderersWanderers351491242:44-251WLLLW
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3510111437:43-641DDWLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting359121435:43-839WDWLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo359101633:41-837LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River351071834:47-1337LWLWW
14CerroCerro351071829:53-2437LDDWL
15ProgresoProgreso351052031:49-1835LWLLD
16DanubioDanubio356141529:45-1632WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3552:2865
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3559:4163
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3553:4261
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3545:3160
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3547:3159
7WanderersWanderers3542:4451
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3537:4341
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3535:4339
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo3533:4137
13Boston RiverBoston River3534:4737
14CerroCerro3529:5337
15ProgresoProgreso3531:4935
16DanubioDanubio3529:4532

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol72431514118:62+56144LDLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72431415129:75+54140LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7234221698:68+30124DLWLD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7230231984:69+15113WDWWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72321624113:92+21112WDLDL
7JuventudJuventud7228182682:820102DDWLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7227192677:81-4100WDWLD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7224202884:86-292LWLWW
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7221232874:82-886LLDDW
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
13CerroCerro7222183262:95-3383LDDWL
14WanderersWanderers7220223067:91-2482WLLLW
15DanubioDanubio7216272970:86-1675WDDDL
16ProgresoProgreso7220143869:109-4074LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol72118:62144
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72129:75140
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7298:68124
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7284:69113
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72113:92112
7JuventudJuventud7282:82102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7277:81100
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7284:8692
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7274:8286
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
13CerroCerro7262:9583
14WanderersWanderers7267:9182
15DanubioDanubio7270:8675
16ProgresoProgreso7269:10974

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815WLLLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012WDLDL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DDWLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56LWLLD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931WDWWW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727LDLWL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124WLDWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623WDLDL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LWLLW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221WDWLD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DLWLD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520WLLLW
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418WDDDL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617LWLWW
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DDWLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110LWLLD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LDDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1393122:8+1430DLWLD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1391326:14+1228WDLDL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1382319:13+626LWLLW
4PenarolPenarol1365217:9+822LDLWL
5Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1354418:14+419WDWWW
7ProgresoProgreso1361613:15-219LWLLD
8JuventudJuventud1346312:10+218DDWLL
9CerroCerro1353515:19-418LDDWL
10WanderersWanderers1344514:19-516WLLLW
11Boston RiverBoston River1343615:17-215LWLWW
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1333716:23-712WDWLD
14DanubioDanubio132477:15-810WDDDL
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1316610:17-79LLDDW
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol132298:22-148WLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1322:830
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1326:1428
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1319:1326
4PenarolPenarol1317:922
5Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1318:1419
7ProgresoProgreso1313:1519
8JuventudJuventud1312:1018
9CerroCerro1315:1918
10WanderersWanderers1314:1916
11Boston RiverBoston River1315:1715
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1316:2312
14DanubioDanubio137:1510
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1310:179
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol138:228
PromotionRelegation

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About the Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: Deportivo Maldonado are 3rd in the Primera División, while Danubio sit 16th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: Deportivo Maldonado 54-32, Danubio 29-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Danubio have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.