Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol

Primera División

Uruguay · Clausura - 9

Deportivo Maldonado

3-0

Finished

HT 1-0

Central Espanol

Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado·Javier Feres 03/10/2026

Deportivo Maldonado

3-0

Finished

Central Espanol

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Partial

Match Importance

3.2 / 10

AI Best Pick

61%Trust

1X2

Home Win

1.57

SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%

Deportivo Maldonado Rest

6 days

Central Espanol Rest

6 days

Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol: the result in context

Deportivo Maldonado beat Central Espanol 3-0 in the Primera División on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Deportivo Maldonado had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Central Espanol.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result

60%1.57

22%3.80

18%5.00

Double Chance

83%1.13

40%2.23

Both Teams to Score

Yes

51%1.85

49%1.83

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.84 = 2.73

Over 1.5

73%1.25

Over 2.5

51%1.85

Over 3.5

30%3.13

Under 1.5

27%3.48

Under 2.5

49%1.90

Under 3.5

70%1.33

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'raul tarragona(Penalty missed)

13'Renato Cesar

59'Santiago Cartagena

61'raul tarragona INJ. Dellarossa out

65'Cayetano Bolzán

67'Guillermo gandolfo

68'Santiago Cartagena INLucas·Nunez out

68'Cayetano Bolzán IN Adrian Vila out

68'Camilo Mayada INLautaro Ibanez out

80'Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa INmaxiliano alis sequeira noble out

82'Lautaro Ibanez

86'Fernando Camarda

89'Lucas·Pino INMarcos Montiel out

89'David Maximiliano Gonzalez INfranco marino out

89'Franco Munoz INexequiel mereles out

90'maxiliano alis sequeira noble

Lineups

Deportivo Maldonado

4-3-1-2Coach: Gabriel Di Noia

Central Espanol

4-2-3-1Coach: A. Pacheco

25D. Segovia

4J. Martín Ginzo

2N. Fuica

42J. Fernández

22J. Ramos

18C. Mayada

8M. González

27G. Sosa

28S. Cartagena

9C. Bolzan

16R. César

12F. Pintado

17L. Fernández

2I. Rodriguez

14A. Villoldo

26N. Cesar

24G. Gandolfo

16I. Méndez

7F. Munoz

21L. Pino

10M. Aguilera

9R. Tarragona

Deportivo Maldonado Substitutes

23A. Vila68'for Cayetano Bolzán

1A. Freitas

15S. González

30L. Ibanez68'for Camilo Mayada82'

31F. Marino89'for David Maximiliano Gonzalez

29E. Mozzone

10A. M. Noble Sequeira80'for Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa90'

5L. Núñez68'for Santiago Cartagena

32H. Petryk

20S. Tormo

Central Espanol Substitutes

1E. Márquez

77E. Mereles89'for Franco Munoz

4M. Montiel89'for Lucas·Pino

15J. Pou

19Santiago Sequeira

25A. Madruga

3J. Dupont

20J. Dellarossa61'for raul tarragona

8F. Camarda86'

27F. Sosa

Match Stats

Deportivo MaldonadoCentral Espanol

58%Ball Possession42%

3Corner Kicks2

2Yellow Cards2

7Total Shots4

3Shots on Goal1

4Shots off Goal3

0Blocked Shots0

0Free Kicks0

Deportivo Maldonado

Central Espanol

1688Elo Rating 1441

2.73Attack 0.27

1.88Defense 0.21

66%Hit Rate 0%

6.6Shots per Game 5.5

4.0Shots on Target 2.2

5.8Corners per Game 4.3

2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+247 Elo

📊Home Overperforming

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo Maldonado

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 0.4 in first half)

Central Espanol

Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo Maldonado1Wins · 34%

Draws133%

Central Espanol

1Wins · 33%

1.7Avg Goals

33%Both teams scored1 of 3

33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

31/03/2026

Central Espanol

Deportivo Maldonado

19/08/2025

Central Espanol

Deportivo Maldonado

31/05/2025

Deportivo Maldonado

Central Espanol

Recent Form

27/09/2026

Atletico Torque

Deportivo Maldonado

24/09/2026

Cerro

Deportivo Maldonado

10/09/2026

Deportivo Maldonado

Wanderers

05/09/2026

Deportivo Maldonado

Wanderers

02/09/2026

Cerrito

Deportivo Maldonado

29/08/2026

Juventud

Deportivo Maldonado

22/08/2026

Deportivo Maldonado

Penarol

17/09/2026

Central Espanol

Oriental

13/09/2026

Cerro Largo

Central Espanol

09/09/2026

Racing Montevideo

Central Espanol

06/09/2026

Central Espanol

Defensor Sporting

02/09/2026

Central Espanol

Juventud

29/08/2026

Wanderers

Central Espanol

22/08/2026

Central Espanol

Juventud

16/08/2026

Penarol

Central Espanol

Referee Profile

Javier Feres107 matches

6.35Cards per match

6.10Yellow cards per match

0.25Red cards per match

25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Javier Feres6.35

Other referees6.02

6.35 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.02).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Penarol	35	19	9	7	52:28	+24	65	LDLWL
2	Deportivo Maldonado	35	18	9	8	54:32	+22	63	LDWWL
3	Atletico Torque	35	19	6	10	59:41	+18	63	WDLDL
4	Club Nacional	35	19	4	12	53:42	+11	61	LWLLW
5	Racing Montevideo	35	16	12	7	45:31	+14	60	WDWWW
6	Liverpool Montevideo	35	16	11	8	47:31	+16	59	DLWLD
7	Wanderers	35	14	9	12	42:44	-2	51	WLLLW
8	Albion FC	35	13	8	14	47:44	+3	47	WWWDD
9	Juventud	35	10	11	14	37:43	-6	41	DDWLL
10	Central Espanol	35	11	8	16	35:48	-13	41	WLDWW
11	Defensor Sporting	35	9	12	14	35:43	-8	39	WDWLD
12	Cerro Largo	35	9	10	16	33:41	-8	37	LLDDW
13	Boston River	35	10	7	18	34:47	-13	37	LWLWW
14	Cerro	35	10	7	18	29:53	-24	37	LDDWL
15	Progreso	35	10	5	20	31:49	-18	35	LWLLD
16	Danubio	35	6	14	15	29:45	-16	32	WDDDL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Penarol	35	52:28	65
2	Deportivo Maldonado	35	54:32	63
3	Atletico Torque	35	59:41	63
4	Club Nacional	35	53:42	61
5	Racing Montevideo	35	45:31	60
6	Liverpool Montevideo	35	47:31	59
7	Wanderers	35	42:44	51
8	Albion FC	35	47:44	47
9	Juventud	35	37:43	41
10	Central Espanol	35	35:48	41
11	Defensor Sporting	35	35:43	39
12	Cerro Largo	35	33:41	37
13	Boston River	35	34:47	37
14	Cerro	35	29:53	37
15	Progreso	35	31:49	35
16	Danubio	35	29:45	32

Primera: Promedios

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Penarol	72	43	15	14	118:62	+56	144	LDLWL
2	Club Nacional	72	43	14	15	129:75	+54	140	LWLLW
3	Deportivo Maldonado	35	18	9	8	54:32	+22	63	LDWWL
4	Liverpool Montevideo	72	34	22	16	98:68	+30	124	DLWLD
5	Racing Montevideo	72	30	23	19	84:69	+15	113	WDWWW
6	Atletico Torque	72	32	16	24	113:92	+21	112	WDLDL
7	Juventud	72	28	18	26	82:82	0	102	DDWLL
8	Defensor Sporting	72	27	19	26	77:81	-4	100	WDWLD
9	Albion FC	35	13	8	14	47:44	+3	47	WWWDD
10	Boston River	72	24	20	28	84:86	-2	92	LWLWW
11	Cerro Largo	72	21	23	28	74:82	-8	86	LLDDW
12	Central Espanol	35	11	8	16	35:48	-13	41	WLDWW
13	Cerro	72	22	18	32	62:95	-33	83	LDDWL
14	Wanderers	72	20	22	30	67:91	-24	82	WLLLW
15	Danubio	72	16	27	29	70:86	-16	75	WDDDL
16	Progreso	72	20	14	38	69:109	-40	74	LWLLD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Penarol	72	118:62	144
2	Club Nacional	72	129:75	140
3	Deportivo Maldonado	35	54:32	63
4	Liverpool Montevideo	72	98:68	124
5	Racing Montevideo	72	84:69	113
6	Atletico Torque	72	113:92	112
7	Juventud	72	82:82	102
8	Defensor Sporting	72	77:81	100
9	Albion FC	35	47:44	47
10	Boston River	72	84:86	92
11	Cerro Largo	72	74:82	86
12	Central Espanol	35	35:48	41
13	Cerro	72	62:95	83
14	Wanderers	72	67:91	82
15	Danubio	72	70:86	75
16	Progreso	72	69:109	74

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Penarol	7	5	1	1	12:3	+9	16	LDLWL
2	Cerro Largo	7	3	2	2	7:5	+2	11	LLDDW
3	Racing Montevideo	7	2	4	1	4:3	+1	10	WDWWW
4	Liverpool Montevideo	7	2	3	2	5:5	0	9	DLWLD
5	Central Espanol	7	2	3	2	4:4	0	9	WLDWW
6	Cerro	7	3	0	4	6:10	-4	9	LDDWL
7	Defensor Sporting	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6	WDWLD
8	Boston River	7	1	2	4	5:10	-5	5	LWLWW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Penarol	7	12:3	16
2	Cerro Largo	7	7:5	11
3	Racing Montevideo	7	4:3	10
4	Liverpool Montevideo	7	5:5	9
5	Central Espanol	7	4:4	9
6	Cerro	7	6:10	9
7	Defensor Sporting	7	6:9	6
8	Boston River	7	5:10	5

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Wanderers	7	4	3	0	12:4	+8	15	WLLLW
2	Club Nacional	7	4	1	2	8:8	0	13	LWLLW
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	12:6	+6	12	LDWWL
4	Atletico Torque	7	4	0	3	11:11	0	12	WDLDL
5	Juventud	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8	DDWLL
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	6:8	-2	6	WWWDD
7	Progreso	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6	LWLLD
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4	WDDDL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Wanderers	7	12:4	15
2	Club Nacional	7	8:8	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	12:6	12
4	Atletico Torque	7	11:11	12
5	Juventud	7	8:11	8
6	Albion FC	7	6:8	6
7	Progreso	7	6:11	6
8	Danubio	7	5:9	4

Primera: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Racing Montevideo	15	9	4	2	23:14	+9	31	WDWWW
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	9	2	4	24:16	+8	29	LDWWL
3	Albion FC	15	8	4	3	26:16	+10	28	WWWDD
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23:16	+7	27	LDLWL
5	Central Espanol	15	7	3	5	23:22	+1	24	WLDWW
6	Atletico Torque	15	6	5	4	22:16	+6	23	WDLDL
7	Club Nacional	15	7	1	7	26:21	+5	22	LWLLW
8	Defensor Sporting	15	5	6	4	13:11	+2	21	WDWLD
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	5	5	5	20:18	+2	20	DLWLD
10	Wanderers	15	6	2	7	16:21	-5	20	WLLLW
11	Danubio	15	4	6	5	17:21	-4	18	WDDDL
12	Cerro Largo	15	5	2	8	16:19	-3	17	LLDDW
13	Boston River	15	5	2	8	14:20	-6	17	LWLWW
14	Juventud	15	4	3	8	17:22	-5	15	DDWLL
15	Progreso	15	2	4	9	12:23	-11	10	LWLLD
16	Cerro	15	2	4	9	8:24	-16	10	LDDWL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	23:14	31
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	24:16	29
3	Albion FC	15	26:16	28
4	Penarol	15	23:16	27
5	Central Espanol	15	23:22	24
6	Atletico Torque	15	22:16	23
7	Club Nacional	15	26:21	22
8	Defensor Sporting	15	13:11	21
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	20:18	20
10	Wanderers	15	16:21	20
11	Danubio	15	17:21	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	16:19	17
13	Boston River	15	14:20	17
14	Juventud	15	17:22	15
15	Progreso	15	12:23	10
16	Cerro	15	8:24	10

Primera: Clausura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Liverpool Montevideo	13	9	3	1	22:8	+14	30	DLWLD
2	Atletico Torque	13	9	1	3	26:14	+12	28	WDLDL
3	Club Nacional	13	8	2	3	19:13	+6	26	LWLLW
4	Deportivo Maldonado	13	6	4	3	18:10	+8	22	LDWWL
5	Penarol	13	6	5	2	17:9	+8	22	LDLWL
6	Racing Montevideo	13	5	4	4	18:14	+4	19	WDWWW
7	Progreso	13	6	1	6	13:15	-2	19	LWLLD
8	Juventud	13	4	6	3	12:10	+2	18	DDWLL
9	Cerro	13	5	3	5	15:19	-4	18	LDDWL
10	Wanderers	13	4	4	5	14:19	-5	16	WLLLW
11	Boston River	13	4	3	6	15:17	-2	15	LWLWW
12	Albion FC	13	4	1	8	15:20	-5	13	WWWDD
13	Defensor Sporting	13	3	3	7	16:23	-7	12	WDWLD
14	Danubio	13	2	4	7	7:15	-8	10	WDDDL
15	Cerro Largo	13	1	6	6	10:17	-7	9	LLDDW
16	Central Espanol	13	2	2	9	8:22	-14	8	WLDWW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Liverpool Montevideo	13	22:8	30
2	Atletico Torque	13	26:14	28
3	Club Nacional	13	19:13	26
4	Deportivo Maldonado	13	18:10	22
5	Penarol	13	17:9	22
6	Racing Montevideo	13	18:14	19
7	Progreso	13	13:15	19
8	Juventud	13	12:10	18
9	Cerro	13	15:19	18
10	Wanderers	13	14:19	16
11	Boston River	13	15:17	15
12	Albion FC	13	15:20	13
13	Defensor Sporting	13	16:23	12
14	Danubio	13	7:15	10
15	Cerro Largo	13	10:17	9
16	Central Espanol	13	8:22	8

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About the Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Maldonado and Central Espanol in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd and Central Espanol 10th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Maldonado 54-32, Central Espanol 35-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol: the result in context

Match Forecasts

Match Events