Dender vs KRC Genk II Prediction

Dender
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
KRC Genk II
Stade Van Roy, Denderleeuw 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Dender Rest
15 days
KRC Genk II Rest
8 days

Dender vs KRC Genk II: result, form and history

Dender and KRC Genk II drew 1-1 in the Challenger Pro League on 1 Nov 2026. Dender had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for KRC Genk II.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.39
X
20%4.70
2
15%5.80
Double Chance
1X
85%1.08
X2
35%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 1.12 = 3.08
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
65%1.38
Over 3.5
44%1.96
Under 1.5
16%6.28
Under 2.5
35%2.85
Under 3.5
56%1.76
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Malcolm ViltardFoul
19'Penalty confirmedYaimar Medina
22'August De Wannemacker(Penalty)
38'Gerard VandeplasFoul
45+3'Djoully NzokoFoul
55'Adam NhailiAssist: Gerard Vandeplas
64'Yaimar Medina INChristian Akpan out
69'Card upgrade cancelledAugust De Wannemacker
72'Red card cancelledDjoully Nzoko
76'Penalty cancelledAdam Nhaili
80'Krzysztof Koton INKembo Diliwidi out
85'Bo De KerfFoul
87'Bo De Kerf INPedro Gomes out
90'Gerard Vandeplas INEmmanuel Mballa Amougou out
90+3'Kiyan Achahbar INJelle Driessen out
90+5'Jelle DriessenDissent
90+6'Djoully Nzoko INBrad Manguelle out

Lineups

Dender
5-4-1Coach: J. Silva
KRC Genk II
4-4-2Coach: I. de Camargo
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.60
J. Devriendt6.716J. Devriendt
M. Sambu7.070M. Sambu
I. Breugelmans6.422I. Breugelmans
K. Cools6.821K. Cools
B. Kerf6.36B. Kerf
M. Expérience7.523M. Expérience
K. Koton6.115K. Koton
N. Rôdes6.518N. Rôdes
M. Viltard6.224M. Viltard
A. Nhaili8.153A. Nhaili
G. Vandeplas6.614G. Vandeplas
E. Doucouré6.897E. Doucouré
M. Roganović6.625M. Roganović
C. Ravych6.95C. Ravych
A. Palacios6.534A. Palacios
Y. Medina6.719Y. Medina
D. Nzoko6.579D. Nzoko
N. Sattlberger6.324N. Sattlberger
I. Bangoura7.221I. Bangoura
K. Achahbar6.178K. Achahbar
J. Coenen6.466J. Coenen
A. De Wannemacker7.756A. De Wannemacker

Dender Substitutes

12Pedro Gomes87'for Bo De Kerf6.3
1L. Fortin
11K. Diliwidi80'for Krzysztof Koton6.4
60Oumar Balde
2C. Jullien
17P. Kestens
7E. Mballa Amougou90'for Gerard Vandeplas6.7
13M. Nkurunziza
8O. Szulc
9D. Toševski

KRC Genk II Substitutes

74Loïc Alvarez Fernandez
65C. Akpan64'for Yaimar Medina6.4
75P. Ogbeiwi
22Brad Ryan Manguelle90+6'for Djoully Nzoko6.3
59W. Kapers
54S. El Morabet
76J. Driessen90+3'for Kiyan Achahbar90+5'6.1
81Vic Debusschere
83J. De Groof

Match Stats

DenderKRC Genk II
44%Ball Possession56%
7Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots6
14Fouls7
1Goalkeeper Saves3
381Total Passes495
316Passes Accurate414
6Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

DenderDender
KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II
1560Elo Rating 1454
2.16Attack 0.81
2.46Defense 1.88
73%Hit Rate 14%
12.8Shots per Game 11.4
5.0Shots on Target 4.1
4.0Corners per Game 5.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+106 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DenderDender
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

DenderDender3Wins · 50%
Draws00%
KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II3Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Challenger Pro League11/02/2024
KRC Genk IIDender
21
Challenger Pro League01/10/2023
DenderKRC Genk II
13
Challenger Pro League07/04/2023
KRC Genk IIDender
04
Challenger Pro League31/03/2023
DenderKRC Genk II
10
Challenger Pro League24/01/2023
DenderKRC Genk II
01
Challenger Pro League30/09/2022
KRC Genk IIDender
02

Recent Form

DenderDender
7W0D3L
16/10/2026
Standard LiegeDender
20
L
09/10/2026
DenderClub Brugge II
30
W
26/09/2026
HoogstratenDender
06
W
20/09/2026
DenderPatro Eisden
10
W
11/09/2026
KAA Gent IIDender
01
W
04/09/2026
DenderSeraing United
20
W
29/08/2026
LiègeDender
12
W
22/08/2026
DenderBeerschot VA
20
W
14/08/2026
Sporting HasseltDender
10
L
02/08/2026
OudenaardeDender
50
L
KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II
3W3D4L
24/10/2026
KRC Genk IIClub Brugge II
00
D
11/10/2026
Patro EisdenKRC Genk II
10
L
19/09/2026
KRC Genk IISeraing United
22
D
12/09/2026
Excelsior VirtonKRC Genk II
30
L
05/09/2026
KRC Genk IISporting Hasselt
30
W
28/08/2026
Lokeren-TemseKRC Genk II
24
W
25/08/2026
KRC Genk IIMVV
60
W
23/08/2026
KRC Genk IILiège
23
L
19/08/2026
Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIKRC Genk II
22
D
15/08/2026
AS EupenKRC Genk II
41
L

League Table

Challenger Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA980123:7+1624WWWWW
2DenderDender861112:3+919DWWWW
3AS EupenAS Eupen750214:7+715LWWWW
4Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt850312:13-115WWLWL
5Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse841316:14+213LWDWL
6Patro EisdenPatro Eisden940514:15-112WWWLL
7Francs BorainsFrancs Borains74039:10-112LLWWW
8KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II832311:13-211WLWDL
9Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton731312:9+310LLDWL
10Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II823314:17-39LDLDD
11KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II923413:16-39DDLDL
12K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.72237:10-38LWLDD
13Seraing UnitedSeraing United922512:16-48WWLDL
14LiègeLiège912613:22-95LLLLD
15RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II70167:17-101LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA923:724
2DenderDender812:319
3AS EupenAS Eupen714:715
4Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt812:1315
5Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse816:1413
6Patro EisdenPatro Eisden914:1512
7Francs BorainsFrancs Borains79:1012
8KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II811:1311
9Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton712:910
10Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II814:179
11KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II913:169
12K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.77:108
13Seraing UnitedSeraing United912:168
14LiègeLiège913:225
15RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II77:171
PromotionRelegation

About the Dender vs KRC Genk II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dender and KRC Genk II in the Challenger Pro League table

In the Challenger Pro League table, Dender are 2nd and KRC Genk II 11th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Dender 12-3, KRC Genk II 13-16. The full standings are on the Challenger Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.