Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica Prediction

Liga ProEcuador Ecuador · Regular Season - 20
Deportivo Cuenca
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Universidad Catolica
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca 18/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
0-2
Finished
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
2 days
Universidad Catolica Rest
2 days

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica: the result in context

Universidad Catolica beat Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 in the Liga Pro on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Universidad Catolica have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Deportivo Cuenca tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.3 for Universidad Catolica.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.90
X
30%3.20
2
28%2.34
Double Chance
1X
72%1.50
X2
58%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.80
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.08 = 2.33
Over 1.5
64%1.33
Over 2.5
39%2.10
Over 3.5
21%3.58
Under 1.5
36%3.10
Under 2.5
61%1.70
Under 3.5
79%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'M. AlonsoAssist: F. Martinez
46'Y. H. Erique Villigua INC. Arboleda out
46'J. Chacon INM. Maccari out
50'M. Alonso
54'D. Gonzalez INM. Diaz out
55'F. MartinezFoul
64'M. Alonso INE. Valencia out
64'M. Diaz INL. Moreno out
65'F. Martinez INJ. Chala out
69'M. Klimowicz INR. Ibarra out
69'E. Vega INJ. Mejia out
81'J. Fajardo INB. Palacios out
89'E. Mejia INA. Rodriguez out

Team Comparison

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
1488Elo Rating 1623
1.30Attack 0.91
2.46Defense 2.10
50%Hit Rate 37%
10.7Shots per Game 8.9
4.1Shots on Target 1.7
5.8Corners per Game 3.3
1.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica7Wins · 70%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro17/03/2026
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
10
Liga Pro28/09/2025
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
21
Liga Pro01/06/2025
Deportivo CuencaUniversidad Catolica
31
Liga Pro18/08/2024
Deportivo CuencaUniversidad Catolica
12
Liga Pro17/03/2024
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
33
Liga Pro07/10/2023
Deportivo CuencaUniversidad Catolica
23
Liga Pro06/05/2023
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
10
Liga Pro07/08/2022
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
02
Liga Pro22/03/2022
Deportivo CuencaUniversidad Catolica
02
Liga Pro02/10/2021
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
32

Recent Form

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
3W3D4L
16/07/2026
Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca
11
D
12/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaAucas
01
L
05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
20
L
02/06/2026
La UniónDeportivo Cuenca
8070
L
31/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC
10
W
27/05/2026
SantosDeportivo Cuenca
30
L
24/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito
11
D
20/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Recoleta
22
D
16/05/2026
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca
01
W
09/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCDeportivo Cuenca
01
W
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
3W1D6L
16/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
10
W
11/07/2026
Leones del NorteUniversidad Catolica
10
L
06/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaMushuc Runa SC
23
L
01/06/2026
EmelecUniversidad Catolica
10
L
29/05/2026
El NacionalUniversidad Catolica
14
W
23/05/2026
Orense SCUniversidad Catolica
12
W
16/05/2026
Universidad CatolicaDelfin SC
22
D
14/05/2026
Universidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
03
L
09/05/2026
AucasUniversidad Catolica
21
L
01/05/2026
Universidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
23
L

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDLLD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744WLLDD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle33253575:35+4078DLWWW
2MacaraMacara34196947:35+1263WWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica341411953:31+2253DWLLW
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito341581137:29+853LDWWD
5AucasAucas341491136:37-151LDLLD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC331212938:28+1048WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3375:3578
2MacaraMacara3447:3563
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3453:3153
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3437:2953
5AucasAucas3436:3751
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3338:2848

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca341281430:39-944WWDDD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC349131239:46-740LDLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC341081642:50-838WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario341132033:46-1336WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC34981727:40-1335LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC34762122:49-2727LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3430:3944
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3439:4640
13Orense SCOrense SC3442:5038
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3433:4636
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3427:4035
16Manta FCManta FC3422:4927
PromotionRelegation

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About the Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Cuenca and Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Universidad Catolica are 2nd and Deportivo Cuenca 12th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Cuenca 25-37, Universidad Catolica 51-27. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.