Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas Prediction

Deportivo Cuenca
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Aucas
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca·B. L. Salazar 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.43
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.43
SignalHIGHModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
7 days
Aucas Rest
4 days

Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas: the result in context

Aucas beat Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 in the Liga Pro on 12 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Aucas had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Deportivo Cuenca.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Deportivo Cuenca tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.4 for Aucas.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.57
X
32%3.13
2
26%2.60
Double Chance
1X
74%1.43
X2
58%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.83
No
54%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.05 = 2.27
Over 1.5
64%1.36
Over 2.5
37%2.13
Over 3.5
19%3.77
Under 1.5
36%2.92
Under 2.5
63%1.66
Under 3.5
81%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'A. LopezOG
11'M. Piedra
33'B. Garcia
40'B. Garcia INR. Ibarra out
46'A. Lopez INJ. Chacon out
58'S. Tapiero
65'S. Porozo INR. Bolanos out
69'L. Mancinelli INM. Diaz out
69'G. Rivero INM. Klimowicz out
72'M. Maccari INJ. Mejia out
80'E. Preciado INT. Serpa out
80'P. Guzman INM. Vera out
89'D. Gonzalez
90+1'P. Boolsen
90+3'R. Quinonez

Lineups

Deportivo Cuenca
Coach: Fortunato Celico Jorge Cesar
Aucas
Coach: Norberto Araujo

Deportivo Cuenca Starting XI

1F. Ferrero
25A. Lopez4'46'replaced by J. Chacon
28P. Boolsen90+1'
18M. Piedra11'
53Y. H. Erique Villigua
30M. Maccari72'replaced by J. Mejia
8E. Vega
7L. Mancinelli69'replaced by M. Diaz
20B. Garcia33'40'replaced by R. Ibarra
49D. Gonzalez89'
11G. Rivero69'replaced by M. Klimowicz

Aucas Starting XI

13H. Piedra
37A. Zova
16L. Gustavino
2S. Morales
28R. Quinonez90+3'
14S. Tapiero58'
33S. Porozo65'replaced by R. Bolanos
21P. Guzman80'replaced by M. Vera
18A. Mena
10E. Preciado80'replaced by T. Serpa
29L. Arroyo

Deportivo Cuenca Substitutes

12E. Minda
19M. Diaz69'for L. Mancinelli
2I. Mosquera
14J. Chacon46'for A. Lopez
29M. Klimowicz69'for G. Rivero
10R. Ibarra40'for B. Garcia
37C. Arboleda
16J. Mejia72'for M. Maccari

Aucas Substitutes

1I. Chaves
5T. Serpa80'for E. Preciado
36N. Sotomayor
51A. Cortez
57M. Vera80'for P. Guzman
11R. Bolanos65'for S. Porozo

Team Comparison

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
AucasAucas
1488Elo Rating 1570
1.30Attack 0.83
2.46Defense 1.74
50%Hit Rate 0%
10.7Shots per Game 7.7
4.1Shots on Target 1.9
5.8Corners per Game 3.4
1.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
AucasAucas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
AucasAucas2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro08/03/2026
AucasDeportivo Cuenca
01
Liga Pro30/11/2025
AucasDeportivo Cuenca
21
Liga Pro26/10/2025
Deportivo CuencaAucas
12
Copa Ecuador11/09/2025
AucasDeportivo Cuenca
8191
Liga Pro22/06/2025
AucasDeportivo Cuenca
13
Liga Pro22/02/2025
Deportivo CuencaAucas
20
Liga Pro29/09/2024
AucasDeportivo Cuenca
14
Liga Pro13/04/2024
Deportivo CuencaAucas
33
Liga Pro04/11/2023
Deportivo CuencaAucas
00
Liga Pro28/05/2023
AucasDeportivo Cuenca
02

Recent Form

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
4W3D3L
05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
20
L
02/06/2026
La UniónDeportivo Cuenca
8070
L
31/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC
10
W
27/05/2026
SantosDeportivo Cuenca
30
L
24/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito
11
D
20/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Recoleta
22
D
16/05/2026
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca
01
W
09/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCDeportivo Cuenca
01
W
06/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaSan Lorenzo
00
D
02/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaTecnico Universitario
21
W
AucasAucas
6W2D2L
08/07/2026
AucasGuayaquil City FC
10
W
31/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCAucas
00
D
26/05/2026
AucasManta FC
31
W
21/05/2026
San AntonioAucas
03
W
17/05/2026
Barcelona SCAucas
30
L
09/05/2026
AucasUniversidad Catolica
21
W
02/05/2026
LibertadAucas
32
L
28/04/2026
AucasDelfin SC
10
W
23/04/2026
LDU de QuitoAucas
00
D
18/04/2026
Leones del NorteAucas
01
W

Referee Profile

B. L. Salazar4 matches analysed

4.55Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 59% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDLLD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744WLLDD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle33253575:35+4078DLWWW
2MacaraMacara34196947:35+1263WWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica341411953:31+2253DWLLW
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito341581137:29+853LDWWD
5AucasAucas341491136:37-151LDLLD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC331212938:28+1048WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3375:3578
2MacaraMacara3447:3563
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3453:3153
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3437:2953
5AucasAucas3436:3751
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3338:2848

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca341281430:39-944WWDDD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC349131239:46-740LDLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC341081642:50-838WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario341132033:46-1336WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC34981727:40-1335LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC34762122:49-2727LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3430:3944
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3439:4640
13Orense SCOrense SC3442:5038
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3433:4636
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3427:4035
16Manta FCManta FC3422:4927
PromotionRelegation

About the Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Cuenca and Aucas in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Aucas are 4th and Deportivo Cuenca 12th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Cuenca 25-37, Aucas 33-28. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.