Emelec vs Barcelona SC Prediction

Emelec
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Barcelona SC
Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil·O. Contreras 13/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.49
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Emelec Rest
7 days
Barcelona SC Rest
7 days

Emelec vs Barcelona SC: result, form and history

Emelec and Barcelona SC drew 0-0 in the Liga Pro on 13 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.83
X
32%2.90
2
33%2.57
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
65%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.06
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.18 = 2.51
Over 1.5
68%1.49
Over 2.5
44%2.54
Over 3.5
23%4.88
Under 1.5
32%2.45
Under 2.5
56%1.48
Under 3.5
77%1.15
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'
41'C. A. Farias Acosta
45'J. Intriago
46'K. Caidedo IND. Benedetto out
46'L. Cano INH. Villalba out
58'J. Wila ING. Vallecilla out
58'J. Perlaza INE. Mideros out
72'F. Pizzini INJ. Cevallos out
72'L. Fragozo INJ. Ruiz out
80'J. Contreras
84'L. Klimowicz INJ. Neris out
84'J. R. Quinonez Ruiz INJ. Medina out
87'E. Mendoza
90+1'G. Napoli INB. Tobar out

Lineups

Emelec
Coach: Cristian Nasuti
Barcelona SC
Coach: Alejandro Farias Acosta Cesar

Emelec Starting XI

12P. Ortiz
14R. Caicedo
27F. Leon
51S. Valencia
3I. Guerrico
6V. Griffith
8G. Napoli90+1'replaced by B. Tobar
10F. Pizzini72'replaced by J. Cevallos
5A. Mina
15L. Fragozo72'replaced by J. Ruiz
7L. Klimowicz84'replaced by J. Neris

Barcelona SC Starting XI

1J. Contreras80'
18B. Carabali
33J. Baez
14A. Rangel
15J. Perlaza58'replaced by E. Mideros
32M. Lugo
35J. Intriago45'
16L. Cano46'replaced by H. Villalba
28J. R. Quinonez Ruiz84'replaced by J. Medina
51J. Wila58'replaced by G. Vallecilla
63K. Caidedo46'replaced by D. Benedetto

Emelec Substitutes

1M. Valero
17J. Ayovi
9J. Neris84'for L. Klimowicz
21J. Cevallos72'for F. Pizzini
19J. Ruiz72'for L. Fragozo
2A. Leguizamon
16S. Quintero
4E. Segura
30A. Mina
24A. Viteri
28B. Tobar90+1'for G. Napoli
18M. Carabali

Barcelona SC Substitutes

22J. Cevallos
27W. Vargas
70M. Mejia
17D. Gaspar
9D. Benedetto46'for K. Caidedo
21H. Villalba46'for L. Cano
26B. Castillo
4G. Vallecilla58'for J. Wila
25R. Perlaza
50J. Garcia
29J. Medina84'for J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
7E. Mideros58'for J. Perlaza

Team Comparison

EmelecEmelec
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
1504Elo Rating 1551
1.60Attack 1.14
1.49Defense 1.50
41%Hit Rate 14%
15.3Shots per Game 10.3
4.8Shots on Target 3.6
5.6Corners per Game 6.4
2.9Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

EmelecEmelec
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EmelecEmelec2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC5Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro07/03/2026
Barcelona SCEmelec
10
Liga Pro15/09/2025
EmelecBarcelona SC
04
Liga Pro19/05/2025
Barcelona SCEmelec
20
Liga Pro21/10/2024
Barcelona SCEmelec
21
Liga Pro29/04/2024
EmelecBarcelona SC
11
Liga Pro13/11/2023
EmelecBarcelona SC
00
Liga Pro04/06/2023
Barcelona SCEmelec
13
Liga Pro19/09/2022
EmelecBarcelona SC
13
Liga Pro12/05/2022
Barcelona SCEmelec
11
Liga Pro25/10/2021
EmelecBarcelona SC
21
Clásico del AstilleroFull head-to-head record

Recent Form

EmelecEmelec
3W3D4L
06/07/2026
Delfin SCEmelec
11
D
01/06/2026
EmelecUniversidad Catolica
10
W
20/05/2026
Daquilema FCEmelec
10090
L
18/05/2026
Manta FCEmelec
00
D
10/05/2026
EmelecLibertad
11
D
04/05/2026
Leones del NorteEmelec
20
L
26/04/2026
EmelecLDU de Quito
10
W
22/04/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioEmelec
01
W
18/04/2026
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
13
L
13/04/2026
AucasEmelec
20
L
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
5W1D4L
05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
20
W
02/06/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioBarcelona SC
10
L
29/05/2026
CruzeiroBarcelona SC
40
L
25/05/2026
Delfin SCBarcelona SC
12
W
22/05/2026
U. CatolicaBarcelona SC
20
L
17/05/2026
Barcelona SCAucas
30
W
12/05/2026
InsutecBarcelona SC
24
W
10/05/2026
Independiente del ValleBarcelona SC
10
L
06/05/2026
Barcelona SCBoca Juniors
10
W
03/05/2026
Barcelona SCManta FC
11
D

Referee Profile

O. Contreras82 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

O. Contreras5.40
Other referees5.09

5.40 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDLLD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744WLLDD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle33253575:35+4078DLWWW
2MacaraMacara34196947:35+1263WWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica341411953:31+2253DWLLW
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito341581137:29+853LDWWD
5AucasAucas341491136:37-151LDLLD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC331212938:28+1048WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3375:3578
2MacaraMacara3447:3563
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3453:3153
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3437:2953
5AucasAucas3436:3751
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3338:2848

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad341481243:39+450LWWWL
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3412101238:43-546WLWDW
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3411101337:40-343WLLDL
10EmelecEmelec341191431:41-1042LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3443:3950
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3438:4346
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3437:4043
10EmelecEmelec3431:4142
PromotionRelegation

About the Emelec vs Barcelona SC forecast

As a derby, this Liga Pro meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Emelec and Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Barcelona SC are 6th and Emelec 10th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Emelec 25-34, Barcelona SC 32-25. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.