Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Liga ProEcuador Ecuador · Regular Season - 19
Macara
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Mushuc Runa SC
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 14/07/2026
MacaraMacara
2-1
Finished
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.24
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
Macara Rest
3 days
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
3 days

Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC: the result in context

Macara beat Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 in the Liga Pro on 14 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Macara had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Mushuc Runa SC.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.02
X
25%3.20
2
24%3.50
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
49%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%1.84
No
63%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 0.64 = 2.13
Over 1.5
61%1.34
Over 2.5
35%2.08
Over 3.5
17%3.70
Under 1.5
39%3.00
Under 2.5
65%1.68
Under 3.5
83%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'T. MindaAssist: R. Carrillo
16'M. TelloAssist: M. Miranda
40'M. Ayala
45+1'Goal Disallowed - FoulM. Perea
46'J. Klinger INA. I. Campana out
53'S. Etchebarne
56'E. Davila
66'T. Minda INJ. Caicedo out
66'E. Davila INB. Corozo out
67'M. Miranda INJ. Estacio out
67'M. Ayala INJ. Mohor out
68'F. PosseAssist: M. Viera
72'R. Ibarra
77'R. Carrillo INE. Caicedo out
77'R. Ibarra INC. Angulo out
79'M. Tello INC. Caicedo out
85'F. Posse INL. Ferro out
85'J. Hernandez INR. Biojo out
87'J. Cazares
90+4'E. Caicedo(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

MacaraMacara
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
1689Elo Rating 1486
1.19Attack 1.23
2.38Defense 1.21
86%Hit Rate 0%
13.8Shots per Game 11.2
4.7Shots on Target 3.3
4.4Corners per Game 5.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+202 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MacaraMacara
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

MacaraMacara2Wins · 22%
Draws556%
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC2Wins · 22%
2.0Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Pro15/03/2026
Mushuc Runa SCMacara
00
Liga Pro23/08/2025
MacaraMushuc Runa SC
21
Liga Pro04/05/2025
Mushuc Runa SCMacara
43
Liga Pro03/11/2024
Mushuc Runa SCMacara
21
Liga Pro11/05/2024
MacaraMushuc Runa SC
00
Liga Pro04/09/2022
MacaraMushuc Runa SC
30
Liga Pro21/04/2022
Mushuc Runa SCMacara
00
Liga Pro21/08/2021
MacaraMushuc Runa SC
11
Liga Pro20/03/2021
Mushuc Runa SCMacara
00

Recent Form

MacaraMacara
4W4D2L
11/07/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioMacara
02
W05/07/2026
MacaraLDU de Quito
10
W
05/06/2026
Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsMacara
01
W
02/06/2026
Leones del NorteMacara
11
D
29/05/2026
America de CaliMacara
00
D
22/05/2026
MacaraAlianza Atletico
00
D
16/05/2026
MacaraIndependiente del Valle
03
L
11/05/2026
Manta FCMacara
01
W
07/05/2026
MacaraTigre
22
D
03/05/2026
MacaraOrense SC
12
L
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
2W2D6L
11/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
14
L
06/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaMushuc Runa SC
23
W
03/06/2026
Gualaceo SCMushuc Runa SC
10
L
31/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCAucas
00
D
23/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCGuayaquil City FC
22
D
17/05/2026
Leones del NorteMushuc Runa SC
31
L
12/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLDU de Quito
13
L
03/05/2026
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
10
L
25/04/2026
Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo Cuenca
41
W
23/04/2026
Barcelona SCMushuc Runa SC
21
L

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDLLD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744WLLDD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle33253575:35+4078DLWWW
2MacaraMacara34196947:35+1263WWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica341411953:31+2253DWLLW
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito341581137:29+853LDWWD
5AucasAucas341491136:37-151LDLLD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC331212938:28+1048WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3375:3578
2MacaraMacara3447:3563
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3453:3153
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3437:2953
5AucasAucas3436:3751
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3338:2848

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca341281430:39-944WWDDD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC349131239:46-740LDLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC341081642:50-838WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario341132033:46-1336WLLDW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC34981727:40-1335LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC34762122:49-2727LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3430:3944
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3439:4640
13Orense SCOrense SC3442:5038
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3433:4636
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3427:4035
16Manta FCManta FC3422:4927
PromotionRelegation

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About the Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Macara and Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Macara are 3rd and Mushuc Runa SC 11th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Macara 41-33, Mushuc Runa SC 35-38. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.