Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction

Primera B MetropolitanaArgentina Argentina · Regular Season - 29
Deportivo Merlo
0-4
Finished
HT 0-3
Sportivo Italiano
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires 09/08/2026
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
0-4
Finished
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+6.3%
Deportivo Merlo Rest
6 days
Sportivo Italiano Rest
7 days

Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano: the result in context

Sportivo Italiano beat Deportivo Merlo 4-0 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sportivo Italiano had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Deportivo Merlo.

Sportivo Italiano have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.67
X
36%2.78
2
35%2.70
Double Chance
1X
65%1.37
X2
71%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.20
No
57%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.93 + 1.06 = 1.99
Over 1.5
59%1.58
Over 2.5
30%2.74
Over 3.5
14%5.50
Under 1.5
41%2.17
Under 2.5
70%1.35
Under 3.5
86%1.08
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'M. Guzman
15'M. Guzman
20'F. Molina
60'F. Molina INF. Gomez out
60'K. Gimenez INT. Hirigoyen out
65'A. Velasco INL. Alfieri out
65'R. Hernandez INA. M. Paez out
65'C. Gugenheim INJ. E. Da Rosa out
69'E. Quinteros IND. Cabrera out
73'E. Merzario
75'L. Guzman INR. Fortino out
75'L. Laborda INA. Guerra out
79'M. Guzman
83'M. Guzman INP. Caceres out

Team Comparison

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
1419Elo Rating 1560
0.65Attack 1.00
2.17Defense 1.59
23%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo0Wins · 0%
Draws120%
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4Wins · 80%
2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana29/03/2026
Sportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
21
Primera B Metropolitana20/09/2025
Sportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
10
Primera B Metropolitana04/05/2025
Deportivo MerloSportivo Italiano
12
Primera B Metropolitana20/07/2024
Deportivo MerloSportivo Italiano
11
Primera B Metropolitana02/03/2024
Sportivo ItalianoDeportivo Merlo
10

Recent Form

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
1W4D5L
02/08/2026
San Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
11
D
26/07/2026
Deportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
12
L
18/07/2026
LiniersDeportivo Merlo
11
D15/07/2026
Deportivo MerloReal Pilar
32
W10/07/2026
UAI UrquizaDeportivo Merlo
00
D04/07/2026
Deportivo MerloVilla Dalmine
12
L27/06/2026
ExcursionistasDeportivo Merlo
50
L
21/06/2026
Arsenal SarandiDeportivo Merlo
42
L
15/06/2026
Deportivo MerloArgentino de Merlo
22
D
06/06/2026
Talleres RemediosDeportivo Merlo
20
L
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
4W4D2L
01/08/2026
Sportivo ItalianoDeportivo Camioneros
11
D
25/07/2026
ItuzaingóSportivo Italiano
00
D
18/07/2026
San Martín BurzacoSportivo Italiano
12
W
14/07/2026
Sportivo ItalianoVilla San Carlos
10
W
10/07/2026
LiniersSportivo Italiano
01
W
05/07/2026
Sportivo ItalianoReal Pilar
11
D28/06/2026
UAI UrquizaSportivo Italiano
00
D20/06/2026
Villa DalmineSportivo Italiano
21
L13/06/2026
Sportivo ItalianoExcursionistas
01
L
06/06/2026
Arsenal SarandiSportivo Italiano
13
W

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas42249969:33+3681LWDWL
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi422114756:28+2877DWDWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4220121048:33+1572WLDWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4220111146:27+1971LWLDL
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4219131050:35+1570WLWDL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4218141040:28+1268LWLDL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4218121245:41+466DWDLW
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4217121343:40+363DLDDW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4215151240:35+560WLDDD
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4215141351:53-259DWWDW
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4212151541:46-551DLWLW
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4212151543:49-651LLDLW
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4213111839:45-650WWLLL
14FlandriaFlandria4213101940:50-1049DWWWD
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4211161540:55-1549DLWDD
16LiniersLiniers4211151636:43-748WLDDW
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4210171533:41-847LWLDD
18Dock SudDock Sud4211141742:51-947LLLLL
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4210161635:41-646DWDLD
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4210161626:38-1246WLDWD
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza428211328:38-1045WWDWW
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó421142728:69-4117LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4269:3381
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4256:2877
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4248:3372
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4246:2771
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4250:3570
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4240:2868
7Real PilarReal Pilar4245:4166
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4243:4063
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4240:3560
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4251:5359
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4241:4651
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4243:4951
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4239:4550
14FlandriaFlandria4240:5049
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4240:5549
16LiniersLiniers4236:4348
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4233:4147
18Dock SudDock Sud4242:5147
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4235:4146
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4226:3846
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4228:3845
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4228:6917
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About the Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Merlo and Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd and Deportivo Merlo 15th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Merlo 40-55, Sportivo Italiano 48-33. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.