Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine Prediction

Primera B MetropolitanaArgentina Argentina · Regular Season - 23
Deportivo Merlo
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Villa Dalmine
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires 04/07/2026
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
1-2
Finished
Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel29%SurpriseHighGap+8.1%
Deportivo Merlo Rest
7 days
Villa Dalmine Rest
7 days

Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine: result, form and history

Villa Dalmine beat Deportivo Merlo 2-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Deportivo Merlo have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.93
X
30%2.62
2
37%2.60
Double Chance
1X
63%1.40
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.27
No
51%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.19 = 2.31
Over 1.5
64%1.65
Over 2.5
37%2.88
Over 3.5
19%5.53
Under 1.5
36%2.11
Under 2.5
63%1.35
Under 3.5
81%1.08
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'J. E. Da Rosa
20'N. Agorreca
30'M. Solis
35'R. Hernandez
59'R. Hernandez INC. Gugenheim out
63'M. Nizzo INT. Ponzo out
63'M. Solis INM. Morales out
66'S. Prim
72'T. Ponzo
75'J. E. Da Rosa INE. Quinteros out
76'G. Ojeda IND. Cabrera out
81'C. Gugenheim
82'D. Maguicha INA. Diaz out
82'F. Benitez INA. M. Paez out
85'M. Zurita INE. Ramon out
85'V. Gargiulo INM. Britos out
86'M. Morales INV. Carlucci out
90+8'L. Gamba

Lineups

Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Coach: Ariel Fuscaldo

Deportivo Merlo Starting XI

8F. Benítez
7J. Da Rosa14'75'for E. Quinteros
2L. Figueredo
10I. Sandoval
5G. Ojeda76'for D. Cabrera

Villa Dalmine Starting XI

6N. Agorreca20'
4L. Gamba90+8'
2M. Zurita85'for E. Ramon
9G. Torres

Deportivo Merlo Substitutes

Villa Dalmine Substitutes

20P. Oro

Team Comparison

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine
1419Elo Rating 1519
0.65Attack 0.46
2.17Defense 1.79
23%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine1Wins · 20%
1.2Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 5
0%3+ goals0 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana22/02/2026
Villa DalmineDeportivo Merlo
01
Primera B Metropolitana03/08/2025
Deportivo MerloVilla Dalmine
00
Primera B Metropolitana15/03/2025
Villa DalmineDeportivo Merlo
02
Primera B Metropolitana28/09/2024
Villa DalmineDeportivo Merlo
20
Primera B Metropolitana12/05/2024
Deportivo MerloVilla Dalmine
10

Recent Form

Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
4W2D4L
27/06/2026
ExcursionistasDeportivo Merlo
50
L
21/06/2026
Arsenal SarandiDeportivo Merlo
42
L
15/06/2026
Deportivo MerloArgentino de Merlo
22
D
06/06/2026
Talleres RemediosDeportivo Merlo
20
L
03/06/2026
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Laferrere
21
W
27/05/2026
Deportivo MerloLiniers
00
D
23/05/2026
Brown DE AdrogueDeportivo Merlo
01
W
17/05/2026
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Armenio
32
W
09/05/2026
FlandriaDeportivo Merlo
20
L
03/05/2026
Deportivo MerloArgentino Quilmes
10
W
Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine
4W3D3L
27/06/2026
Villa DalmineDeportivo Camioneros
01
L
20/06/2026
Villa DalmineSportivo Italiano
21
W13/06/2026
San Martín BurzacoVilla Dalmine
02
W
06/06/2026
Villa DalmineVilla San Carlos
00
D
31/05/2026
LiniersVilla Dalmine
10
L
27/05/2026
Defensores UnidosVilla Dalmine
21
L
23/05/2026
Villa DalmineReal Pilar
11
D
16/05/2026
UAI UrquizaVilla Dalmine
00
D
09/05/2026
ItuzaingóVilla Dalmine
02
W
02/05/2026
Villa DalmineExcursionistas
10
W

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas41249868:31+3781WDWLW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi412113755:27+2876WDWLW
3Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4120111046:26+2071WLDLW
4Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4119121047:33+1469LDWWW
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine411814940:27+1368WLDLD
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4118131048:34+1467LWDLL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4118111244:40+465WDLWL
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4117111342:39+362LDDWW
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4115131350:52-258WWDWL
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4114151239:35+457LDDDD
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4112151441:46-551LDLWL
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4112141540:45-550LWLWW
13FlandriaFlandria411391939:49-1048WWWDL
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4111151539:54-1548LWDDL
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4112111837:44-747WLLLL
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4110171433:40-747WLDDD
17Dock SudDock Sud4111141641:49-847LLLLW
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4110151634:40-645WDLDW
19LiniersLiniers4110151634:43-945LDDWL
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue419161625:38-1343LDWDW
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza417211325:36-1142WDWWD
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó411142628:67-3917LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4168:3181
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4155:2776
3Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4146:2671
4Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4147:3369
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4140:2768
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4148:3467
7Real PilarReal Pilar4144:4065
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4142:3962
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4150:5258
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4139:3557
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4141:4651
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4140:4550
13FlandriaFlandria4139:4948
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4139:5448
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4137:4447
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4133:4047
17Dock SudDock Sud4141:4947
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4134:4045
19LiniersLiniers4134:4345
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4125:3843
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4125:3642
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4128:6717
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About the Deportivo Merlo vs Villa Dalmine forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Merlo and Villa Dalmine in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Villa Dalmine are 5th and Deportivo Merlo 14th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Merlo 39-54, Villa Dalmine 40-27. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.