Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos Prediction

Estadio Carlos Sacaan 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel32%SurpriseHighGap+8.6%
Ituzaingó Rest
6 days
Villa San Carlos Rest
6 days

Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos: the result in context

Villa San Carlos beat Ituzaingó 3-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ituzaingó have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.74
X
34%2.88
2
26%2.51
Double Chance
1X
74%1.44
X2
60%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.00
No
62%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 0.85 = 2.02
Over 1.5
55%1.47
Over 2.5
30%2.40
Over 3.5
14%4.45
Under 1.5
45%2.49
Under 2.5
70%1.47
Under 3.5
86%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Adrian lugones
20'Lautaro Mena
30'kevin pavia
39'Adrian lugones INFausto Ferrante out
57'Segundo Gras INIván Dimitri Regules out
61'felipe guallama INaugusto ponton out
67'Ezequiel melillo
72'Simon Canete
76'Ezequiel melillo
77'Mauro Aguirre INFranco Luppino out
78'Iván Dimitri Regules
80'kevin pavia INfrancisco cairo out
80'Ezequiel melillo INSantino Fabi out
81'Ezequiel melillo
83'Lautaro Mena

Team Comparison

ItuzaingóItuzaingó
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
1309Elo Rating 1490
0.99Attack 0.99
1.16Defense 1.68
0%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ItuzaingóItuzaingó
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

ItuzaingóItuzaingó3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos1Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana22/02/2026
Villa San CarlosItuzaingó
31
Primera B Metropolitana05/08/2023
Villa San CarlosItuzaingó
11
Primera B Metropolitana08/04/2023
ItuzaingóVilla San Carlos
10
Primera B Metropolitana03/07/2022
Villa San CarlosItuzaingó
12
Primera B Metropolitana09/03/2022
ItuzaingóVilla San Carlos
20

Recent Form

ItuzaingóItuzaingó
1W2D7L
27/06/2026
Deportivo ArmenioItuzaingó
21
L
20/06/2026
ItuzaingóLiniers
11
D
13/06/2026
FlandriaItuzaingó
32
L
05/06/2026
ItuzaingóReal Pilar
20
W
01/06/2026
Argentino QuilmesItuzaingó
20
L
27/05/2026
ItuzaingóDeportivo Laferrere
02
L
23/05/2026
ItuzaingóUAI Urquiza
11
D
16/05/2026
Defensores UnidosItuzaingó
21
L
09/05/2026
ItuzaingóVilla Dalmine
02
L
05/05/2026
ComunicacionesItuzaingó
32
L
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
0W6D4L
28/06/2026
LiniersVilla San Carlos
11
D
20/06/2026
Real PilarVilla San Carlos
11
D
13/06/2026
Villa San CarlosUAI Urquiza
00
D
06/06/2026
Villa DalmineVilla San Carlos
00
D
31/05/2026
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
02
L
26/05/2026
Deportivo CamionerosVilla San Carlos
30
L
22/05/2026
Arsenal SarandiVilla San Carlos
22
D
16/05/2026
Villa San CarlosArgentino de Merlo
00
D
09/05/2026
Talleres RemediosVilla San Carlos
10
L
02/05/2026
Villa San CarlosDeportivo Laferrere
02
L

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas42249969:33+3681LWDWL
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi422114756:28+2877DWDWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4220121048:33+1572WLDWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4220111146:27+1971LWLDL
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4219131050:35+1570WLWDL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4218141040:28+1268LWLDL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4218121245:41+466DWDLW
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4217121343:40+363DLDDW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4215151240:35+560WLDDD
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4215141351:53-259DWWDW
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4212151541:46-551DLWLW
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4212151543:49-651LLDLW
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4213111839:45-650WWLLL
14FlandriaFlandria4213101940:50-1049DWWWD
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4211161540:55-1549DLWDD
16LiniersLiniers4211151636:43-748WLDDW
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4210171533:41-847LWLDD
18Dock SudDock Sud4211141742:51-947LLLLL
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4210161635:41-646DWDLD
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4210161626:38-1246WLDWD
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza428211328:38-1045WWDWW
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó421142728:69-4117LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4269:3381
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4256:2877
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4248:3372
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4246:2771
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4250:3570
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4240:2868
7Real PilarReal Pilar4245:4166
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4243:4063
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4240:3560
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4251:5359
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4241:4651
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4243:4951
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4239:4550
14FlandriaFlandria4240:5049
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4240:5549
16LiniersLiniers4236:4348
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4233:4147
18Dock SudDock Sud4242:5147
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4235:4146
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4226:3846
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4228:3845
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4228:6917
PromotionRelegation

About the Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ituzaingó and Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Villa San Carlos are 11th and Ituzaingó 22nd, 34 points apart. League goal record so far: Ituzaingó 28-69, Villa San Carlos 41-46. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.