Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes Prediction

05/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-11.4%
Deportivo Paraguayo Rest
9 days
Mercedes Rest
9 days

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes: result, form and history

Deportivo Paraguayo and Mercedes drew 1-1 in the Primera C on 5 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Mercedes have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.78
X
31%2.81
2
44%2.01
Double Chance
1X
56%1.62
X2
75%1.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.31
No
61%1.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.01 = 2.04
Over 1.5
58%1.57
Over 2.5
32%2.78
Over 3.5
14%5.85
Under 1.5
42%2.20
Under 2.5
68%1.35
Under 3.5
86%1.07
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'L. Sanchez Olmos
79'R. Ortiz

Team Comparison

Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo
MercedesMercedes
1363Elo Rating 1485
0.92Attack 1.27
1.28Defense 2.54
17%Hit Rate 81%

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MercedesMercedes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo0Wins · 0%
Draws240%
MercedesMercedes3Wins · 60%
1.2Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera C06/06/2026
MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
00
Primera C03/10/2025
MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
20
Primera C26/09/2025
Deportivo ParaguayoMercedes
00
Primera C10/08/2024
MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
21
Primera C08/03/2024
Deportivo ParaguayoMercedes
01

Recent Form

Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo
4W3D3L
26/09/2026
Deportivo ParaguayoLugano
11
D
20/09/2026
Puerto NuevoDeportivo Paraguayo
23
W
12/09/2026
LujanDeportivo Paraguayo
30
L
06/09/2026
Deportivo ParaguayoLeandro N. Alem
41
W
29/08/2026
Defensores de CambaceresDeportivo Paraguayo
00
D
22/08/2026
Deportivo ParaguayoJuventud Unida
21
W
16/08/2026
Deportivo ParaguayoSportivo Barracas
01
L
10/08/2026
SacachispasDeportivo Paraguayo
20
L
04/08/2026
Deportivo ParaguayoCentral Ballester
00
D
31/07/2026
Deportivo ParaguayoArgentino Rosario
21
W

League Table

Primera C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BerazateguiBerazategui321312740:24+1651WLWDW
2SacachispasSacachispas321481033:26+750WDLLL
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur321212833:30+348WDWDD
4Centro EspañolCentro Español321211943:30+1347LWWLD
5MercedesMercedes321211931:24+747WDWWD
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas321114726:19+747WWDWL
7LuganoLugano321113835:29+646LLDDD
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida321291139:33+645LWDWL
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3210111130:36-641WLLLL
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres32991425:34-936LLLDW
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza327141121:26-535WWLDD
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo327111423:41-1832LDDWL
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem32871730:58-2831LLWLD
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario324151330:42-1227LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BerazateguiBerazategui3240:2451
2SacachispasSacachispas3233:2650
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur3233:3048
4Centro EspañolCentro Español3243:3047
5MercedesMercedes3231:2447
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas3226:1947
7LuganoLugano3235:2946
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida3239:3345
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3230:3641
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres3225:3436
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza3221:2635
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo3223:4132
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem3230:5831
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario3230:4227
PromotionRelegation

About the Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Paraguayo and Mercedes in the Primera C table

In the Primera C table, Mercedes are 5th and Deportivo Paraguayo 12th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Paraguayo 23-41, Mercedes 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.