Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres Prediction

05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Mercedes Rest
5 days
Defensores de Cambaceres Rest
6 days

Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres: the result in context

Defensores de Cambaceres beat Mercedes 3-0 in the Primera C on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 5 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.45
X
28%2.70
2
25%3.06
Double Chance
1X
75%1.29
X2
53%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.19
No
59%1.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 0.83 = 2.14
Over 1.5
63%1.57
Over 2.5
34%2.81
Over 3.5
16%5.60
Under 1.5
37%2.14
Under 2.5
66%1.36
Under 3.5
84%1.09
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'A. Meschini
20'R. Fernandez
74'T. Garcia

Team Comparison

MercedesMercedes
Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres
1475Elo Rating 1400
0.96Attack 0.14
2.34Defense 1.57
56%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

MercedesMercedes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

MercedesMercedes2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres2Wins · 40%
1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera C09/05/2026
Defensores de CambaceresMercedes
21
Primera C20/06/2025
Defensores de CambaceresMercedes
21
Primera C07/03/2025
MercedesDefensores de Cambaceres
10
Primera C20/07/2024
Defensores de CambaceresMercedes
00
Primera C17/02/2024
MercedesDefensores de Cambaceres
10

League Table

Primera C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BerazateguiBerazategui321312740:24+1651WLWDW
2SacachispasSacachispas321481033:26+750WDLLL
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur321212833:30+348WDWDD
4Centro EspañolCentro Español321211943:30+1347LWWLD
5MercedesMercedes321211931:24+747WDWWD
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas321114726:19+747WWDWL
7LuganoLugano321113835:29+646LLDDD
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida321291139:33+645LWDWL
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3210111130:36-641WLLLL
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres32991425:34-936LLLDW
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza327141121:26-535WWLDD
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo327111423:41-1832LDDWL
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem32871730:58-2831LLWLD
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario324151330:42-1227LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BerazateguiBerazategui3240:2451
2SacachispasSacachispas3233:2650
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur3233:3048
4Centro EspañolCentro Español3243:3047
5MercedesMercedes3231:2447
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas3226:1947
7LuganoLugano3235:2946
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida3239:3345
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3230:3641
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres3225:3436
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza3221:2635
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo3223:4132
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem3230:5831
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario3230:4227
PromotionRelegation

About the Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres forecast

The forecasts for this Primera C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mercedes and Defensores de Cambaceres in the Primera C table

In the Primera C table, Mercedes are 5th and Defensores de Cambaceres 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Mercedes 31-24, Defensores de Cambaceres 25-34. The full standings are on the Primera C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.