Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 1
Dordrecht
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Jong Ajax
M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht·T. Hardeman 07/08/2026
DordrechtDordrecht
2-1
Finished
Jong AjaxJong Ajax

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Dordrecht Rest
6 days
Jong Ajax Rest
21 days

Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax: result, form and history

Dordrecht beat Jong Ajax 2-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 7 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. Dordrecht tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.9 for Jong Ajax.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.54
X
19%4.50
2
24%4.92
Double Chance
1X
76%1.15
X2
43%2.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.53
No
36%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.27 = 3.06
Over 1.5
80%1.12
Over 2.5
59%1.44
Over 3.5
37%2.11
Under 1.5
20%5.50
Under 2.5
41%2.63
Under 3.5
63%1.68
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'P. NashAssist: M. Abdalla
6'M. VetkalAssist: D. Sits
14'A. OuarghiAssist: N. Venema
16'B. MpanzuFoul
56'A. OuarghiFoul
57'D. PugnoFoul
64'J. Johnson INT. Peters out
70'J. PinasFoul
72'Y. M'Bemba INL. Riccio out
72'A. Ouarghi INS. Gerardo-Felicia out
80'A. Lechkar INJ. van Aken out
80'S. de Falco INF. Zahouani out
80'M. Vetkal INR. van Asten out
80'E. Unuvar INJ. Simeon out
83'M. MuzunguFoul
87'J. Monserrate INL. Acheampong out
87'P. Nash INE. Mechrouh out
87'N. Venema INY. Younous out
88'F. ZahouaniFoul

Lineups

Dordrecht
4-2-3-1Coach: Paul Nuijten
Jong Ajax
4-3-3Coach: Dave Louiszoon
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.62
Calvin Raatsie7.51C. Raatsie
Adil Lechkar6.92A. Lechkar
Sem ValkC6.73S. Valk
Yannis M'Bemba6.715Y. M'Bemba
Beni Mpanzu6.95B. Mpanzu
Senne Vugts7.08S. Vugts
Jaden Pinas7.04J. Pinas
Nick Venema7.27N. Venema
Martin Vetkal7.221M. Vetkal
Ayoub Ouarghi8.210A. Ouarghi
Dario Sits7.277D. Sits
Joeri Heerkens6.91J. Heerkens
Avery Appiah6.52A. Appiah
Mylo van der LansC6.73M. van der Lans
Marvyn Muzungu6.24M. Muzungu
Sinclair de Falco6.25S. de Falco
Jinairo Johnson6.26J. Johnson
Jano Monserrate6.910J. Monserrate
Mohamed Abdalla7.58M. Abdalla
Emre Ünüvar6.07E. Ünüvar
Diego Pugno6.29D. Pugno
Pharrel Nash7.911P. Nash

Dordrecht Substitutes

29Siginho Gerardo7.0
6Lorenzo Riccio72'for Y. M'Bemba6.3
13Dean Hogervorst
28Tim Coremans
23Lucas Woudenberg
22Jurre van Aken80'for A. Lechkar6.6
18Robin van Asten80'for M. Vetkal6.2
20Lawson Sunderland
34Mohammed Kessrioui
17Yunus Younous87'for N. Venema

Jong Ajax Substitutes

16Tijn Peters64'for J. Johnson6.7
12Charlie Setford
23Leroy Frankel
15Fouad Zahouani80'for S. de Falco88'6.3
22Luuk Beekman
24Mark Verkuijl
20Damián van der Vaart
18Levi Acheampong87'for J. Monserrate
19Elias Mechrouch87'for P. Nash
21Paulo Da Silva
25Anass Moumane
17Jeshurun Simeon80'for E. Unuvar6.5

Match Stats

DordrechtJong Ajax
53%Ball Possession47%
8Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
17Fouls13
0Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves6
372Total Passes348
303Passes Accurate279
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

DordrechtDordrecht
Jong AjaxJong Ajax
1434Elo Rating 1433
1.33Attack 1.41
0.64Defense 0.53
19%Hit Rate 23%
13.6Shots per Game 18.4
3.5Shots on Target 6.8
6.9Corners per Game 4.9
2.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DordrechtDordrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
Jong AjaxJong Ajax
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DordrechtDordrecht4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Jong AjaxJong Ajax3Wins · 30%
3.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie20/02/2026
DordrechtJong Ajax
01
Eerste Divisie07/11/2025
Jong AjaxDordrecht
00
Eerste Divisie04/04/2025
DordrechtJong Ajax
30
Eerste Divisie30/09/2024
Jong AjaxDordrecht
01
Eerste Divisie29/01/2024
Jong AjaxDordrecht
22
Eerste Divisie20/10/2023
DordrechtJong Ajax
40
Eerste Divisie03/04/2023
Jong AjaxDordrecht
41
Eerste Divisie04/11/2022
DordrechtJong Ajax
34
Eerste Divisie11/03/2022
DordrechtJong Ajax
33
Eerste Divisie16/08/2021
Jong AjaxDordrecht
12

Recent Form

DordrechtDordrecht
4W1D5L
01/08/2026
DordrechtRSC Anderlecht II
02
L
25/07/2026
DordrechtAl Khaleej Saihat
22
D
18/07/2026
DordrechtLusail City
50
W
14/07/2026
DordrechtBorussia Dortmund II
41
W
11/07/2026
DordrechtExcelsior
02
L
04/07/2026
DordrechtFeyenoord
06
L
27/06/2026
DordrechtSchalke 04 II
30
W
24/04/2026
DordrechtWillem II
12
L
17/04/2026
Almere City FCDordrecht
41
L
12/04/2026
DordrechtADO Den Haag
10
W
Jong AjaxJong Ajax
3W0D7L
17/07/2026
Jong AZJong Ajax
30
L
24/04/2026
Jong AjaxJong Utrecht
02
L
17/04/2026
Jong PSV U21Jong Ajax
01
W
13/04/2026
Jong AjaxFC OSS
12
L
06/04/2026
VitesseJong Ajax
61
L
03/04/2026
ADO Den HaagJong Ajax
42
L
20/03/2026
Jong AjaxAlmere City FC
02
L
17/03/2026
VVV VenloJong Ajax
01
W
13/03/2026
Jong AjaxDen Bosch
32
W
06/03/2026
FC EindhovenJong Ajax
21
L

Referee Profile

T. Hardeman98 matches

3.52Cards per match
3.35Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

T. Hardeman3.52
Other referees3.49

3.52 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1391336:21+1528WWDWW
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1381427:13+1425WLLWW
5RodaRoda1374217:12+525WWWDL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1361630:22+819LWDWL
8VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ1352632:28+417LWDLW
10MVVMVV1352617:29-1217LDLLL
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
12WaalwijkWaalwijk1337322:19+316LDDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap1343617:27-1015WDLWD
15FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1333723:28-512WLLLD
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1332818:28-1011LLLLD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1336:2128
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1327:1325
5RodaRoda1317:1225
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1330:2219
8VitesseVitesse1216:1717
9Jong AZJong AZ1332:2817
10MVVMVV1317:2917
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
12WaalwijkWaalwijk1322:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap1317:2715
15FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1323:2812
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1318:2811
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522WLLWW
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WWDWW
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWWDL
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716LDLLL
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515LWDWL
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414LDDLD
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413LWDLW
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLLD
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011WDLWD
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39WLLLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1RodaRoda33007:4+39WWWDL
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo321010:7+37WWDWW
3EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
6Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
7Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
8FC VolendamFC Volendam31118:5+34LWDWL
9De GraafschapDe Graafschap31114:404WDLWD
10Jong AZJong AZ311110:1004LWDLW
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
12DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
13VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC31025:6-13WLLWW
15Helmond SportHelmond Sport31027:9-23WLLLD
16WaalwijkWaalwijk30213:4-12LDDLD
17FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
18MVVMVV30124:9-51LDLLL
19Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
20FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven30033:6-30LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1RodaRoda37:49
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo310:77
3EmmenEmmen24:16
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
6Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
7Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
8FC VolendamFC Volendam38:54
9De GraafschapDe Graafschap34:44
10Jong AZJong AZ310:104
11Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
12DordrechtDordrecht23:43
13VitesseVitesse21:23
14Almere City FCAlmere City FC35:63
15Helmond SportHelmond Sport37:93
16WaalwijkWaalwijk33:42
17FC OSSFC OSS24:51
18MVVMVV34:91
19Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80
20FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven33:60

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000WDLWD
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WWDWW
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLLD
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000WLLLD
8MVVMVV00000:000LDLLL
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000WLLWW
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000LWDWL
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000LDDLD
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWWDL
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000LWDLW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000WDLWD
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WWDWW
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLLD
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000WLLLD
8MVVMVV00000:000LDLLL
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000WLLWW
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000LWDWL
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000LDDLD
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWWDL
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000LWDLW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dordrecht and Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie table

Jong Ajax and Dordrecht are close in the Eerste Divisie table, 16th and 18th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Dordrecht 16-31, Jong Ajax 18-29. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.