Ecuador vs Curaçao Prediction

Ecuador
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Curaçao
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City·Ma Ning, China 21/06/2026
EcuadorEcuador
0-0
Finished
CuraçaoCuraçao

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.54
SignalHIGHModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+13.4%
Ecuador Rest
6 days
Curaçao Rest
6 days

Ecuador vs Curaçao: the result in context

Ecuador and Curaçao drew 0-0 in the World Cup on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Ma Ning averages 4.43 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.17
X
20%7.75
2
20%16.75
Double Chance
1X
80%1.02
X2
40%5.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.65
No
48%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.1 = 2.60
Over 1.5
73%1.17
Over 2.5
46%1.57
Over 3.5
26%2.45
Under 1.5
27%4.75
Under 2.5
54%2.35
Under 3.5
74%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
54%1.83
Over 9.5
45%2.32
Over 10.5
33%3.13
Under 8.5
46%1.93
Under 9.5
55%1.55
Under 10.5
67%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 3.9
Over 3.5
59%2.13
Over 4.5
34%3.25
Under 3.5
41%1.64
Under 4.5
66%1.30

Match Events

38'J. AlcivarTripping
39'L. BacunaFoul
46'J. Alcivar INK. Rodriguez out
53'J. BacunaFoul
56'L. ComenenciaRoughing
70'P. Estupinan INN. Angulo out
75'J. GaariRoughing
75'J. Bacuna INK. Gorre out
76'D. Fonville INR. van Eijma out
76'T. Chong INJ. Margaritha out
83'A. Franco INA. Preciado out
83'J. Locadia ING. Kastaneer out
84'L. Comenencia ING. Roemeratoe out
89'J. Yeboah INJ. Caicedo out
90+1'G. KastaneerRoughing

Lineups

Ecuador
3-1-4-2Coach: Sebastian Beccacece
Curaçao
5-4-1Coach: Dick Advocaat
Avg rating7.19
Avg rating6.99
Hernán Galíndez8.01H. Galíndez
Alan Franco7.221A. Franco
Willian Pacho7.56W. Pacho
Piero Hincapié7.33P. Hincapié
Jordy Alcivar6.75J. Alcivar
John Yeboah7.39J. Yeboah
Pedro Vite7.915P. Vite
Moisés Caicedo8.323M. Caicedo
Pervis Estupiñán6.77P. Estupiñán
Gonzalo Plata7.319G. Plata
Enner ValenciaC6.713E. Valencia
Eloy Room10.01E. Room
Joshua Brenet7.520J. Brenet
Jurien Gaari6.73J. Gaari
Armando Obispo7.318A. Obispo
Sherel Constancio Floranus7.75S. Constancio Floranus
Deveron Fonville6.924D. Fonville
Tahith Chong6.921T. Chong
Livano Comenencia6.58L. Comenencia
Leandro BacunaC6.310L. Bacuna
Juninho Bacuna6.67J. Bacuna
Jürgen Locadia6.59J. Locadia

Ecuador Substitutes

11Kevin Rodriguez46'for J. Alcivar6.3
20Nilson Angulo70'for P. Estupinan6.9
17Ángelo Preciado83'for A. Franco6.6
16Jordy Caicedo89'for J. Yeboah
12Moisés Ramírez
22Gonzalo Valle
26Yaimar Medina
4Joel Ordóñez
25Jackson Porozo
2Félix Torres
10Kendry Páez
18Denil Castillo
24Jeremy Arevalo
8Anthony Valencia
14Alan Minda

Curaçao Substitutes

14Kenji Gorré75'for J. Bacuna6.5
4Roshon van Eijma76'for D. Fonville6.9
16Jearl Margaritha76'for T. Chong6.2
19Gervane Kastaneer83'for J. Locadia90+1'6.7
6Godfried Roemeratoe84'for L. Comenencia6.6
25Tyrick Bodak
26Trevor Iriving Doornbusch
2Shurandy Sambo
23Riechedly Bazoer
15Ar'Jany Martha
13Tyrese Noslin
11Jeremy Antonisse
22Kevin Felida
17Brandley Kuwas
12Sontje Hansen

Match Stats

EcuadorCuraçao
75%Ball Possession25%
9Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards5
27Total Shots10
15Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
21Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls10
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves15
644Total Passes227
581Passes Accurate159
90%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

EcuadorEcuador
CuraçaoCuraçao
1658Elo Rating 1526
0.60Attack 2.33
2.18Defense 1.76
17%Hit Rate 59%
11.5Shots per Game 19.6
4.4Shots on Target 7.5
6.1Corners per Game 6.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EcuadorEcuador
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CuraçaoCuraçao
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

EcuadorEcuador
5W4D1L
15/06/2026
Ivory CoastEcuador
10
L
07/06/2026
EcuadorGuatemala
30
W
31/05/2026
EcuadorSaudi Arabia
21
W
10/09/2025
EcuadorArgentina
10
W
05/09/2025
ParaguayEcuador
00
D
11/06/2025
PeruEcuador
00
D
06/06/2025
EcuadorBrazil
00
D
26/03/2025
ChileEcuador
00
D
21/03/2025
EcuadorVenezuela
21
W
20/11/2024
ColombiaEcuador
01
W
CuraçaoCuraçao
4W3D3L
14/06/2026
GermanyCuraçao
71
L
07/06/2026
CuraçaoAruba
40
W
30/05/2026
ScotlandCuraçao
41
L
19/11/2025
JamaicaCuraçao
00
D
14/11/2025
BermudaCuraçao
07
W
15/10/2025
CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
11
D
11/10/2025
CuraçaoJamaica
20
W
10/09/2025
CuraçaoBermuda
32
W
06/09/2025
Trinidad and TobagoCuraçao
00
D
25/06/2025
HondurasCuraçao
21
L

Referee Profile

Ma Ning114 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ma Ning4.43
Other referees3.75

4.43 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).

Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group E

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GermanyGermany320110:4+66LWW
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast32014:2+26WLW
3EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
4CuraçaoCuraçao30121:9-81LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GermanyGermany310:46
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast34:26
3EcuadorEcuador32:24
4CuraçaoCuraçao31:91

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Ecuador vs Curaçao forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ecuador and Curaçao in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ecuador are 3rd in the World Cup, 3 points ahead of Curaçao in 4th. League goal record so far: Ecuador 2-2, Curaçao 1-9. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Ecuador and Curaçao have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.