Türkiye vs Paraguay Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 2
Cup
Türkiye
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Paraguay
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara·Iván Barton, El Salvador 20/06/2026
TürkiyeTürkiye
0-1
Finished
ParaguayParaguay

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+2.9%
Türkiye Rest
5 days
Paraguay Rest
7 days

Türkiye vs Paraguay: the result in context

Paraguay beat Türkiye 1-0 in the World Cup on 20 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Türkiye had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Paraguay.

Referee Iván Barton averages 3.88 cards a game, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.05
X
32%3.40
2
17%3.77
Double Chance
1X
83%1.25
X2
49%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.94 = 2.57
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.10
Over 3.5
25%3.67
Under 1.5
27%3.20
Under 2.5
55%1.76
Under 3.5
75%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 2.8 = 9.2
Over 8.5
53%1.67
Over 9.5
44%2.10
Over 10.5
33%2.76
Under 8.5
47%2.09
Under 9.5
56%1.67
Under 10.5
67%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.51
Over 4.5
34%2.02
Under 3.5
43%2.45
Under 4.5
66%1.73

Match Events

2'M. GalarzaAssist: J. Enciso
4'M. GalarzaTripping
45+3'M. AlmironUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'I. Pitta IND. Bobadilla out
46'K. Akturkoglu INB. Yilmaz out
60'I. Yuksek INC. Uzun out
60'Y. Akgun IND. Gul out
63'V. Montella
67'D. Gomez ING. Velazquez out
70'F. Kadioglu INE. Elmali out
71'E. ElmaliRoughing
81'J. Caceres INA. Maidana out
86'A. Bardakci INO. Kokcu out
90+2'J. Enciso ING. Avalos out
90+2'M. Galarza INJ. Canale out

Lineups

Türkiye
4-2-3-1Coach: Vincenzo Montella
Paraguay
4-4-2Coach: Gustavo Alfaro
Avg rating6.88
Avg rating7.11
Uğurcan Çakır6.223U. Çakır
Mert Müldür6.918M. Müldür
Merih Demiral6.73M. Demiral
Abdülkerim Bardakcı8.014A. Bardakcı
Ferdi Kadıoğlu6.920F. Kadıoğlu
İsmail Yüksek6.916İ. Yüksek
Hakan ÇalhanoğluC7.710H. Çalhanoğlu
Yunus Akgün6.219Y. Akgün
Arda Güler7.78A. Güler
Kenan Yıldız7.211K. Yıldız
Kerem Aktürkoğlu6.77K. Aktürkoğlu
Orlando Gill7.612O. Gill
Juan Cáceres8.34J. Cáceres
Gustavo GómezC7.515G. Gómez
Omar Alderete7.23O. Alderete
Junior Alonso7.26J. Alonso
Miguel Almirón5.910M. Almirón
Andrés Cubas6.914A. Cubas
Diego Gómez6.98D. Gómez
Matías Galarza7.623M. Galarza
Isidro Pitta5.925I. Pitta
Julio Enciso7.719J. Enciso

Türkiye Substitutes

21Barış Alper Yılmaz46'for K. Akturkoglu6.7
26Can Uzun60'for I. Yuksek6.6
9Deniz Gül60'for Y. Akgun6.2
13Eren Elmalı70'for F. Kadioglu71'6.6
6Orkun Kökçü86'for A. Bardakci6.9
12Altay Bayındır
1Mert Günok
22Kaan Ayhan
15Ozan Kabak
25Samet Akaydın
2Zeki Çelik
4Çağlar Söyüncü
24Oğuz Aydın
5Salih Özcan
17İrfan Can Kahveci

Paraguay Substitutes

16Damián Bobadilla46'for I. Pitta7.2
2Gustavo Velázquez67'for D. Gomez7.0
26Alexandro Maidana81'for J. Caceres6.6
13José Canale90+2'for M. Galarza
21Gabriel Ávalos90+2'for J. Enciso
22Gastón Olveira
1Roberto Fernández
5Fabián Balbuena
11Mauricio
20Braian Ojeda
24Gustavo Caballero
17Alejandro Romero
7Ramón Sosa
9Antonio Sanabria
18Alex Arce

Match Stats

TürkiyeParaguay
79%Ball Possession21%
12Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
32Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal2
15Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box3
16Shots Outside Box4
12Blocked Shots2
14Fouls15
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
629Total Passes178
559Passes Accurate96
89%Pass Accuracy54%

Team Comparison

TürkiyeTürkiye
ParaguayParaguay
1630Elo Rating 1599
0.89Attack 0.54
0.28Defense 1.94
14%Hit Rate 17%
15.2Shots per Game 6.7
4.7Shots on Target 1.8
5.9Corners per Game 1.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TürkiyeTürkiye
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ParaguayParaguay
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)

Recent Form

TürkiyeTürkiye
7W1D2L
14/06/2026
AustraliaTürkiye
20
L
07/06/2026
VenezuelaTürkiye
12
W
01/06/2026
TürkiyeFYR Macedonia
40
W
31/03/2026
KosovoTürkiye
01
W
26/03/2026
TürkiyeRomania
10
W
18/11/2025
SpainTürkiye
22
D
15/11/2025
TürkiyeBulgaria
20
W
14/10/2025
TürkiyeGeorgia
41
W
11/10/2025
BulgariaTürkiye
16
W
07/09/2025
TürkiyeSpain
06
L
ParaguayParaguay
5W3D2L
13/06/2026
USAParaguay
41
L
06/06/2026
ParaguayNicaragua
40
W
10/09/2025
PeruParaguay
01
W
05/09/2025
ParaguayEcuador
00
D
11/06/2025
BrazilParaguay
10
L
06/06/2025
ParaguayUruguay
20
W
26/03/2025
ColombiaParaguay
22
D
21/03/2025
ParaguayChile
10
W
19/11/2024
BoliviaParaguay
22
D
15/11/2024
ParaguayArgentina
21
W

Referee Profile

Iván Barton17 matches

3.88Cards per match
3.53Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Iván Barton3.88
Other referees3.31

3.88 cards a match, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.31).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group D

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1USAUSA32018:4+46LWW
2AustraliaAustralia31112:204DLW
3ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
4TürkiyeTürkiye31023:5-23WLL
#TeamMPGPts
1USAUSA38:46
2AustraliaAustralia32:24
3ParaguayParaguay32:44
4TürkiyeTürkiye33:53

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

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About the Türkiye vs Paraguay forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Türkiye and Paraguay in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Paraguay are 3rd in the World Cup, 1 point ahead of Türkiye in 4th. League goal record so far: Türkiye 3-5, Paraguay 2-4. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Türkiye and Paraguay have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.