El Nacional vs Santo Domingo Prediction

Liga Pro Serie BEcuador Ecuador · Relegation Group - 8
El Nacional
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Santo Domingo
17/10/2026
El NacionalEl Nacional
1-2
Finished
Santo DomingoSanto Domingo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-10.8%
El Nacional Rest
9 days
Santo Domingo Rest
8 days

El Nacional vs Santo Domingo: the result in context

Santo Domingo beat El Nacional 2-1 in the Liga Pro Serie B on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.13
X
28%3.12
2
32%3.18
Double Chance
1X
68%1.26
X2
60%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.16 = 2.44
Over 1.5
69%1.31
Over 2.5
46%2.02
Over 3.5
27%3.50
Under 1.5
31%2.92
Under 2.5
54%1.68
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'
59'
68'

Team Comparison

El NacionalEl Nacional
Santo DomingoSanto Domingo
1332Elo Rating 1496
1.80Attack 2.18
1.13Defense 2.24
17%Hit Rate 61%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

El NacionalEl Nacional
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Santo DomingoSanto Domingo
  • Tied at half-time in 67% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

El NacionalEl Nacional1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Santo DomingoSanto Domingo1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Liga Pro Serie B18/09/2026
Santo DomingoEl Nacional
10
Liga Pro Serie B11/06/2026
El NacionalSanto Domingo
00
Liga Pro Serie B10/04/2026
Santo DomingoEl Nacional
11
Copa Ecuador04/09/2024
Santo DomingoEl Nacional
23

Recent Form

El NacionalEl Nacional
3W1D6L
07/10/2026
22 de JulioEl Nacional
25
W03/10/2026
LDU PortoviejoEl Nacional
32
L
26/09/2026
El NacionalCumbayá
03
L
18/09/2026
Santo DomingoEl Nacional
10
L
12/09/2026
El Nacional22 de Julio
30
W
05/09/2026
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
02
L
29/08/2026
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
30
L
20/08/2026
Ind. JuniorsEl Nacional
11
D
13/08/2026
El NacionalSan Antonio
01
L
06/08/2026
El Nacional9 de Octubre
10
W
Santo DomingoSanto Domingo
5W3D2L
08/10/2026
Santo DomingoLDU Portoviejo
22
D01/10/2026
CumbayáSanto Domingo
03
W27/09/2026
Santo DomingoGualaceo SC
01
L
18/09/2026
Santo DomingoEl Nacional
10
W
11/09/2026
LDU PortoviejoSanto Domingo
10
L
04/09/2026
Santo DomingoCumbayá
21
W
27/08/2026
22 de JulioSanto Domingo
03
W
22/08/2026
Santo DomingoCuniburo
00
D
13/08/2026
CumbayáSanto Domingo
33
D
06/08/2026
Atletico FCSanto Domingo
01
W

League Table

Liga Pro Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors22109328:16+1239DDWWW
2Atletico FCAtletico FC22911225:14+1138WDLWD
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre22910322:14+837DDLDW
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2297620:23-334LWLDD
5CuniburoCuniburo2287725:17+831DDWLL
6San AntonioSan Antonio22710524:21+331DWWWD
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2278719:16+329WDLLD
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo22610617:16+128DDWDL
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2276917:22-527WDDLW
10CumbayáCumbayá22511622:22026LDDDD
1122 de Julio22 de Julio22431510:31-2115LLLLL
12El NacionalEl Nacional22261415:32-1712DLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ind. JuniorsInd. Juniors2228:1639
2Atletico FCAtletico FC2225:1438
39 de Octubre9 de Octubre2222:1437
4Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsDeportivo Cuenca Juniors2220:2334
5CuniburoCuniburo2225:1731
6San AntonioSan Antonio2224:2131
7Gualaceo SCGualaceo SC2219:1629
8Santo DomingoSanto Domingo2217:1628
9LDU PortoviejoLDU Portoviejo2217:2227
10CumbayáCumbayá2222:2226
1122 de Julio22 de Julio2210:3115
12El NacionalEl Nacional2215:3212

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About the El Nacional vs Santo Domingo forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

El Nacional and Santo Domingo in the Liga Pro Serie B table

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, Santo Domingo are 8th and El Nacional 12th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: El Nacional 15-32, Santo Domingo 17-16. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.