Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction

Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus·Felix Bickel 16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.27
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Energie Cottbus Rest
6 days
1. FC Nürnberg Rest
5 days

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg: the result in context

Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 1-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 16 Oct 2026. 1. FC Nürnberg had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Energie Cottbus.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.60
X
24%4.25
2
49%1.80
Double Chance
1X
51%1.95
X2
73%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.33
No
33%3.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.32 = 2.77
Over 1.5
84%1.07
Over 2.5
66%1.30
Over 3.5
46%1.80
Under 1.5
16%7.47
Under 2.5
34%3.30
Under 3.5
54%1.95
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 5.2 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.26
Over 9.5
59%1.50
Over 10.5
48%1.84
Under 8.5
30%3.20
Under 9.5
41%2.37
Under 10.5
52%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.3 = 4.9
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

33'Mohamed Alì Zoma INWilliam Bøving out
34'Adam MarkhievFoul
45+1'Henry RorigFoul
56'Justin ButlerAssist: Leonardo Bittencourt
61'Alexios KalogeropoulosDissent
65'Leon Guwara INfousseny doumbia out
65'Leonardo Bittencourt INDominik Pelivan out
65'Rayan Ghrieb INRafael Lubach out
66'Alexios Kalogeropoulos INStyopa Mkrtchyan out
68'Tolcay CigerciFoul
79'Styopa MkrtchyanAssist: Eric Porstner
80'Henry Rorig INChristian Kinsombi out
80'Justin Butler INDmytro Bogdanov out
82'King Samuel Manu INTim Campulka out
90+1'Christian KinsombiFoul

Lineups

Energie Cottbus
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Wollitz
1. FC Nürnberg
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Klose
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.81
M. Lotka7.01M. Lotka
H. Rorig6.33H. Rorig
K. Manu7.12K. Manu
Luca Erlein7.221L. Erlein
L. Guwara6.425L. Guwara
L. Bittencourt7.732L. Bittencourt
Lukas Michelbrink6.68L. Michelbrink
T. Ciğerci6.710T. Ciğerci
L. Copado6.89L. Copado
M. Hannemann6.511M. Hannemann
J. Butler7.431J. Butler
J. Reichert7.41J. Reichert
T. Janisch6.732T. Janisch
A. Kalogeropoulos6.84A. Kalogeropoulos
F. Otto7.220F. Otto
E. Porstner7.141E. Porstner
A. Marhiev6.66A. Marhiev
J. Fernandez6.48J. Fernandez
R. Ghrieb6.57R. Ghrieb
J. Justvan6.510J. Justvan
M. Zoma6.123M. Zoma
P. Scobel6.419P. Scobel

Energie Cottbus Substitutes

7C. Kinsombi80'for Henry Rorig90+1'6.3
13Dmytro Bohdanov80'for Justin Butler6.8
4T. Campulka82'for King Samuel Manu6.7
23Fousseny Doumbia65'for Leon Guwara6.6
6J. Hofmann
16R. Malone
5D. Pelivan65'for Leonardo Bittencourt6.5
29K. Kratzsch
19J. Boziaris

1. FC Nürnberg Substitutes

13Robin Lisewski
18Rafael Lubach65'for Rayan Ghrieb6.6
21G. Masouras
5S. Mkrtchyan66'for Alexios Kalogeropoulos79'8.0
28Can Yaha Moustfa
9S. Haugen
14andrea ceresoli
11W. Bøving33'for Mohamed Alì Zoma7.0
35M. Kornwachs Barjuan

Match Stats

Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
38%Ball Possession62%
2Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots19
5Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal8
11Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots6
9Fouls12
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
324Total Passes525
245Passes Accurate452
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
1620Elo Rating 1685
1.00Attack 1.54
1.40Defense 0.57
0%Hit Rate 14%
11.7Shots per Game 17.0
4.7Shots on Target 5.4
4.8Corners per Game 6.4
2.1Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus
2W3D5L
10/10/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Energie Cottbus
31
L
03/10/2026
Lech PoznanEnergie Cottbus
22
D
20/09/2026
Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli
11
D
13/09/2026
Karlsruher SCEnergie Cottbus
03
W
05/09/2026
VfL WolfsburgEnergie Cottbus
44
D
29/08/2026
Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth
34
L
22/08/2026
Energie CottbusFC Augsburg
02
L
16/08/2026
Arminia BielefeldEnergie Cottbus
30
L
09/08/2026
Energie CottbusHannover 96
31
W
01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
24
L
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
8W2D0L
10/10/2026
1. FC NürnbergVfL Wolfsburg
44
D
02/10/2026
1. FC NürnbergFC Ingolstadt 04
31
W
19/09/2026
Karlsruher SC1. FC Nürnberg
01
W
11/09/2026
1. FC NürnbergHannover 96
21
W
05/09/2026
Holstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
29/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
41
W
22/08/2026
FC Viktoria Köln1. FC Nürnberg
4151
W
15/08/2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
24
W
09/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergDynamo Dresden
30
W
01/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergOviedo
21
W

Referee Profile

Felix Bickel73 matches

4.54Cards per match
4.37Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felix Bickel4.54
Other referees4.79

4.54 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.79).

Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1091023:8+1528WWDWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1063124:13+1121WLDDW
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1054125:14+1119WDWDW
41. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern105329:7+218LWWDW
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1052321:13+817DWLWD
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1043317:18-115LDLDD
7Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1042416:15+114WLWWD
8FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1026212:12012LDDWD
9SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1033413:16-312WLWLD
10VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1032514:17-311LWLDD
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum103258:11-311WDLLL
12Hannover 96Hannover 961032510:16-611WLDLW
13Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1032513:21-811WLWLL
14Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1024418:20-210LDDLD
15Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1031616:18-210LWLWL
16SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98102359:19-109DDLWL
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1015410:12-28LWDLD
18Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1022612:20-88LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1023:828
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1024:1321
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1025:1419
41. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern109:718
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1021:1317
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1017:1815
7Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1016:1514
8FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1012:1212
9SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1013:1612
10VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1014:1711
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum108:1111
12Hannover 96Hannover 961010:1611
13Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1013:2111
14Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1018:2010
15Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1016:1810
16SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98109:199
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1010:128
18Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1012:208
PromotionRelegation

About the Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd and Energie Cottbus 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Energie Cottbus 18-20, 1. FC Nürnberg 24-13. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Energie Cottbus have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.