Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.54
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-0.2%
Hertha BSC Rest
9 days
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rest
9 days
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: the result in context
Hertha BSC beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Hertha BSC had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Hertha BSC have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.54
X19%4.60
219%5.00
Double Chance
1X81%1.16
X238%2.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.42
No37%2.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 1.08 = 3.04
Over 1.585%1.10
Over 2.566%1.36
Over 3.545%1.89
Under 1.515%6.50
Under 2.534%3.05
Under 3.555%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.570%1.32
Over 9.558%1.64
Over 10.547%1.98
Under 8.530%3.00
Under 9.542%2.20
Under 10.553%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.565%-
Over 4.546%-
Under 3.535%-
Under 4.554%-
Match Events
60'Linus Jasper GechterFoul
62'Goal cancelledOmar Sillah
64'Jan Luca Schuler INGustaf Nilsson out
64'Oluwaseun Adewumi INFarid Alfa-Ruprecht out
65'Mads Valentin PedersenAssist: Josip Brekalo
66'Shinta Karl Appelkamp INFaton Ademi out
72'Julian EitschbergerFoul
75'Sacha Banse INJordan Siebatcheu out
76'Mads Valentin Pedersen INDeyovaisio Zeefuik out
80'Paul SeguinAssist: Josip Brekalo
81'Lukas Reich INAaron Keller out
81'Omar Sillah INDennis Srbeny out
81'Ole Pohlmann INOlgherto Balliu out
87'Kevin Sessa INPascal Klemens out
87'Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson INSoufian gouram out
90'Jannis HeuerAssist: Aaron Keller
Lineups
Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
4-2-3-1Coach: H. VogelAvg ratingAvg rating
35M. Gersbeck
2J. Eitschberger
44L. Gechter
27N. Kolbe
22M. Pedersen
30P. Seguin
8K. Sessa
19O. Adewumi
23J. Þorsteinsson
7J. Brekalo
18L. Schuler
1F. Hellstern
2L. Reich
22J. Heuer
34H. Aron Blank
23J. Dehm
6S. Bansé
13P. Will
30F. Klaus
8S. Appelkamp
10O. Pohlmann
42O. SillahHertha BSC Substitutes
20Farid Alfa-Ruprecht64'for Oluwaseun Adewumi
43T. Goller
33S. Gouram87'for Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
17S. Grønning
41P. Klemens87'for Kevin Sessa
21Boris Manuzah Lum
9G. Nilsson64'for Jan Luca Schuler
47Selim Telib
42D. Zeefuik76'for Mads Valentin Pedersen
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Substitutes
37F. Ademi66'for Shinta Karl Appelkamp
28D. Arifi
9J. Siebatcheu75'for Sacha Banse
11A. Keller81'for Lukas Reich
29K. Keresztes
39C. Ortag
7D. Srbeny81'for Omar Sillah
21M. Wallentowitz
45Olgherto Balliu81'for Ole Pohlmann
Match Stats
Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth 42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks12
2Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots17
10Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal9
12Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls8
1Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves8
339Total Passes450
261Passes Accurate370
77%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth1752Elo Rating 1570
1.38Attack 0.96
2.69Defense 1.50
81%Hit Rate 23%
22.1Shots per Game 13.7
6.3Shots on Target 3.4
7.4Corners per Game 7.1
1.2Cards per Game 0.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+182 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Hertha BSC- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Hertha BSC5Wins · 63%Draws112%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%3.4Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
88%3+ goals7 of 8
Previous meetings
10/05/2026Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth21
12/12/2025SpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC33
04/05/2025Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth10
07/12/2024SpVgg Greuther FürthHertha BSC21
11/02/2024SpVgg Greuther FurthHertha Berlin12
26/08/2023Hertha BerlinSpVgg Greuther Furth50
12/02/2022SpVgg Greuther FurthHertha Berlin21
17/09/2021Hertha BerlinSpVgg Greuther Furth21
Recent Form
Hertha BSC8W2D0L
02/10/2026
FC AugsburgHertha BSC
FC AugsburgHertha BSC22
D29/09/2026
Hertha ZehlendorfHertha BSC
19/09/2026Hertha ZehlendorfHertha BSC13
W
Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC12
W13/09/2026
VfL OsnabrückHertha BSC
VfL OsnabrückHertha BSC13
W06/09/2026Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg21
W28/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigHertha BSC
22/08/2026Eintracht BraunschweigHertha BSC35
W
FC SaarbrückenHertha BSC2141
W15/08/2026Hertha BSC
1. FC Heidenheim41
W07/08/2026
VfL BochumHertha BSC
VfL BochumHertha BSC01
W31/07/2026
1. FC KölnHertha BSC
1. FC KölnHertha BSC22
DSpVgg Greuther Fürth3W3D4L
01/10/2026
VfB StuttgartSpVgg Greuther Fürth
18/09/2026VfB StuttgartSpVgg Greuther Fürth50
LSpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg11
D12/09/2026VfL BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth11
D06/09/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Heidenheim
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Heidenheim01
L29/08/2026
Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth
23/08/2026Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth34
WSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum12
L15/08/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg24
L09/08/2026
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth11
D18/07/2026
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth23
W11/07/2026
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth13
WReferee Profile
3.88Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.85 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).
Cards come from 213 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | +11 | 21 | WLDDW |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | +11 | 19 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 17 | DWLWD |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 | LDLDD |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | WLWLD |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 | LWLDD |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 | WDLLL |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 | WLWLL |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 10 | LDDLD |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 | LLWDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 12:20 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More 2. Bundesliga matches
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 09/10/26
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus 10/10/26
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 10/10/26
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg 10/10/26
- VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld 11/10/26
- FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC 11/10/26
- Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg 16/10/26
- Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 16/10/26
About the Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth forecast
The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga table
In the 2. Bundesliga table, Hertha BSC are 1st and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Hertha BSC 23-8, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 13-16. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.