SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum Prediction

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth·Florian Lechner, Germany 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rest
8 days
VfL Bochum Rest
8 days

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum: the result in context

VfL Bochum beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 in the DFB Pokal on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

VfL Bochum have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.71
X
39%3.42
2
33%2.41
Double Chance
1X
67%1.51
X2
72%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.53
No
48%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.36 = 2.75
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
49%1.67
Over 3.5
28%2.62
Under 1.5
17%4.20
Under 2.5
51%2.10
Under 3.5
72%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'C. Rasmussen
36'O. Olsen INJ. Mbom out
57'K. Keresztes
61'P. Will
61'J. Mbom
63'B. Taz IND. Hanslik out
63'C. Rasmussen INA. Crimaldi out
64'P. Hofmann
68'J. Dehm INL. Reich out
68'O. Pohlmann INA. Keller out
74'M. Wittek INL. Sawas out
75'M. Pannewig INT. Meyer out
75'K. Keresztes INM. Dal out
77'M. DalAssist: L. Itter
80'E. Cokaj
84'S. Banse INO. Balliu out

Lineups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4-4-2Coach: Heiko Vogel
VfL Bochum
4-2-3-1Coach: Uwe Rosler
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.81
Florian Hellstern6.91F. Hellstern
Jannik Dehm6.223J. Dehm
Jannis Heuer7.522J. Heuer
Krisztián Keresztes6.329K. Keresztes
Luca Itter8.027L. Itter
Shinta Appelkamp6.78S. Appelkamp
Sacha Banse6.76S. Banse
Paul Will7.213P. Will
Ole Pohlmann6.910O. Pohlmann
Felix KlausC6.930F. Klaus
Dennis Srbeny6.97D. Srbeny
Timo HornC7.91T. Horn
Oliver Olsen6.313O. Olsen
Michael Steinwender7.615M. Steinwender
Karol Mets6.75K. Mets
Maximilian Wittek6.932M. Wittek
Enis Çokaj6.36E. Çokaj
Mats Pannewig7.224M. Pannewig
Koji Miyoshi6.523K. Miyoshi
Berkan Taz6.310B. Taz
Christian Rasmussen7.97C. Rasmussen
Philipp Hofmann7.333P. Hofmann

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Substitutes

43Silas Prüfrock
48Jakob Krautkramer
5Maxim Dal75'for K. Keresztes77'7.0
2Lukas Reich68'for J. Dehm6.6
17Noah König
21Mika Wallentowitz
45Olgherto Balliu84'for S. Banse
11Aaron Keller68'for O. Pohlmann7.0
28Doni Arifi

VfL Bochum Substitutes

8Jean-Manuel Mbom36'for O. Olsen61'6.3
19Daniel Hanslik63'for B. Taz6.7
37Alessandro Crimaldi63'for C. Rasmussen6.3
38Hugo Rolleke
4Yiğit Karademir
31Leon Sawas74'for M. Wittek6.2
40Aurel Wagbe
39Lasse Isbruch
34Tom Meyer75'for M. Pannewig6.5

Match Stats

SpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
65%Ball Possession35%
11Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box2
9Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
511Total Passes293
429Passes Accurate223
84%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL BochumVfL Bochum
1584Elo Rating 1631
1.13Attack 0.58
2.04Defense 1.61
27%Hit Rate 0%
13.9Shots per Game 15.6
4.4Shots on Target 4.8
7.1Corners per Game 5.8
1.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
VfL BochumVfL Bochum
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1Wins · 17%
Draws00%
VfL BochumVfL Bochum5Wins · 83%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga26/04/2026
VfL BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth
21
2. Bundesliga29/11/2025
SpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
03
Bundesliga05/03/2022
Vfl BochumSpVgg Greuther Furth
21
Bundesliga16/10/2021
SpVgg Greuther FurthVfl Bochum
01
2. Bundesliga06/03/2021
SpVgg Greuther FurthVfl Bochum
12
2. Bundesliga07/11/2020
Vfl BochumSpVgg Greuther Furth
02

Recent Form

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
5W1D4L
15/08/2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Nürnberg
24
L
09/08/2026
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
11
D
18/07/2026
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth
23
W
11/07/2026
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
13
W
08/07/2026
EltersdorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
03
W
05/07/2026
BayreuthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
10
L
26/05/2026
SpVgg Greuther FürthRot-Weiß Essen
20
W
22/05/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenSpVgg Greuther Fürth
10
L
17/05/2026
SpVgg Greuther FürthFortuna Düsseldorf
30
W
10/05/2026
Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth
21
L
VfL BochumVfL Bochum
5W3D2L
14/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Bochum
01
W
07/08/2026
VfL BochumHertha BSC
01
L
01/08/2026
VfL BochumSheffield Utd
00
D
25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
20
L
21/07/2026
SwanseaVfL Bochum
02
W
15/07/2026
AjaxVfL Bochum
11
D
11/07/2026
VfL BochumAntwerp
10
W
04/07/2026
Rot-weiss OberhausenVfL Bochum
23
W
17/05/2026
Karlsruher SCVfL Bochum
12
W
09/05/2026
VfL BochumHannover 96
11
D

Referee Profile

Florian Lechner120 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Florian Lechner4.49
Other referees4.63

4.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).

Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 64
Round of 32
Waldhof Mannheim00
1. FC Kaiserslautern01
After extra time
Preußen Münster1
Karlsruher SC2
SC St. Tönis0
Eintracht Frankfurt11
SV Wehen0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Erzgebirge Aue0
1899 Hoffenheim4
MSV Duisburg1
SV Elversberg3
Hemelingen1
Hannover 969
Lüneburger SK Hansa0
Werder Bremen3
Eintracht Trier0
RB Leipzig6
TSV 1860 München0
Holstein Kiel2
SSV Jeddeloh5
1. FC Heidenheim2
Bahlinger SC0
1. FC Magdeburg4
Westfalia Rhynern0
Dynamo Dresden6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1
SV Darmstadt 982
Krieschow0
FSV Mainz 059
Schott Mainz0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Phönix Lübeck2
SC Paderborn 074
Rot-Weiß Essen2
FC St. Pauli0
Altglienicke25
VfL Wolfsburg26
On penalties
Verl0
Hamburger SV3
Würzburger Kickers1
1. FC Köln2
HEBC0
Borussia Dortmund5
VfL Osnabrück1
Bayern München4
Waldhof Mannheim00
1. FC Kaiserslautern01
After extra time
Preußen Münster1
Karlsruher SC2
SC St. Tönis0
Eintracht Frankfurt11
SV Wehen0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Erzgebirge Aue0
1899 Hoffenheim4
MSV Duisburg1
SV Elversberg3
Hemelingen1
Hannover 969
Lüneburger SK Hansa0
Werder Bremen3
Eintracht Trier0
RB Leipzig6
TSV 1860 München0
Holstein Kiel2
SSV Jeddeloh5
1. FC Heidenheim2
Bahlinger SC0
1. FC Magdeburg4
Westfalia Rhynern0
Dynamo Dresden6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1
SV Darmstadt 982
Krieschow0
FSV Mainz 059
Schott Mainz0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Phönix Lübeck2
SC Paderborn 074
Rot-Weiß Essen2
FC St. Pauli0
Altglienicke25
VfL Wolfsburg26
On penalties
Verl0
Hamburger SV3
Würzburger Kickers1
1. FC Köln2
HEBC0
Borussia Dortmund5
VfL Osnabrück1
Bayern München4

About the SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum forecast

As a knockout tie in the DFB Pokal, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About DFB Pokal

More DFB Pokal fixtures and forecasts are on the DFB Pokal Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.