Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

DFB PokalGermany Germany · Round of 32
CupKnockout
Holstein Kiel
1-1
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 0-0PEN 4-3
1899 Hoffenheim
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel·Bastian Dankert 28/10/2026
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
1-1
After Penalties
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseHighGap-1.2%
Holstein Kiel Rest
3 days
1899 Hoffenheim Rest
3 days

Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the result in context

Holstein Kiel beat 1899 Hoffenheim on penalties (4-3) after a 1-1 draw in the DFB Pokal on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

1899 Hoffenheim have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.8 goals a game. 1899 Hoffenheim tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 4.6 for Holstein Kiel.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%5.63
X
18%4.85
2
66%1.45
Double Chance
1X
34%2.63
X2
85%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.42
No
39%2.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 2.16 = 3.29
Over 1.5
87%1.07
Over 2.5
68%1.30
Over 3.5
49%1.81
Under 1.5
13%7.10
Under 2.5
32%3.25
Under 3.5
51%1.93
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'Adam Hložek
22'Goal cancelledTim Lemperle
23'Adrian KapralikAssist: Hiroki Sekine
33'Valentin Gendrey INVladimír Coufal out
41'Adam HložekFoul
42'Ivan NekićFoul
45'Wouter Burger INAdam Daghim out
45'Tim Lemperle INFisnik Asllani out
45+7'Wouter BurgerFoul
64'Adam Hložek INBambasé Conté out
65'Ikem Ugoh INGuillermo Balzi out
68'Leon AvdullahuFoul
74'Tim WalterDissent
76'Oliver BaumannDissent
90'Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen INGyan de Regt out
90'Kasper Davidsen INGiorgi Kvilitaia out

Extra Time0 - 0

95'Bambasé Conté INMats Rots out
103'Leon Parduzi INJohn Tolkin out
105+2'Koki MachidaFoul
106'Adrian KapralikFoul
115'Adrian Kapralik INFaride·Alidou out
117'Giorgi KvilitaiaDissent

Penalty Shootout4 - 3

1Giorgi Kvilitaia(Penalty missed)
1Andrej Kramarić(Penalty)
2Ivan Nekić(Penalty)
2Fisnik Asllani(Penalty)
3Guillermo Balzi(Penalty)
3Leon Avdullahu(Penalty missed)
4Gyan de Regt(Penalty)
4Alexander Prass(Penalty)
5Phil Harres(Penalty)
5Mats Rots(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Holstein Kiel
4-1-4-1Coach: T. Walter
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Ilzer
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.48
4141L. Rothenhagen
H. Sekine6.432H. Sekine
N. Madsen6.25N. Madsen
I. Nekić6.613I. Nekić
Leon Parduzi6.840L. Parduzi
J. Meffert6.728J. Meffert
A. Kaprálik7.020A. Kaprálik
I. Ugoh6.427I. Ugoh
K. Davidsen6.015K. Davidsen
J. Therkelsen6.710J. Therkelsen
P. Harres6.819P. Harres
L. Philipp7.037L. Philipp
V. Gendrey6.315V. Gendrey
R. Hranáč6.92R. Hranáč
K. Machida6.228K. Machida
Bernardo6.613Bernardo
L. Avdullahu6.97L. Avdullahu
W. Burger5.818W. Burger
A. Kramarić6.427A. Kramarić
A. Hložek7.510A. Hložek
A. Prass6.822A. Prass
T. Lemperle6.219T. Lemperle

Holstein Kiel Substitutes

17F. Alidou115'for Adrian Kapralik6.9
8G. Balzi65'for Ikem Ugoh6.2
11G. de Regt90'for Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen6.5
9G. Kvilitaia90'for Kasper Davidsen117'5.9
44Mark Richter Monserrat
47J. Tolkin103'for Leon Parduzi7.1
1T. Weiner
43T. Wiese
26D. Zec

1899 Hoffenheim Substitutes

39M. Rots95'replaced by Bambasé Conté6.3
32Cajetan Benjamin Lenz
5O. Kabak
14A. Daghim45'for Wouter Burger6.5
34V. Coufal33'for Valentin Gendrey6.1
20B. Conté64'for Adam Hložek95'for Mats Rots6.0
1O. Baumann76'
11F. Asllani45'for Tim Lemperle6.4
29Natnael Abraha

Match Stats

Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots0
15Fouls13
0Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves2
375Total Passes474
282Passes Accurate370
17Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
1626Elo Rating 1788
1.10Attack 2.15
2.42Defense 2.14
23%Hit Rate 59%
12.2Shots per Game 15.0
2.9Shots on Target 5.5
4.6Corners per Game 7.4
2.9Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.29 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim4Wins · 100%
4.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs29/07/2026
1899 HoffenheimHolstein Kiel
31
Bundesliga18/01/2025
Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim
13
Bundesliga24/08/2024
1899 HoffenheimHolstein Kiel
32
DFB Pokal26/10/2021
1899 HoffenheimHolstein Kiel
51

Recent Form

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
3W4D3L
25/10/2026
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
30
W16/10/2026
Holstein KielHertha BSC
00
D
09/10/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigHolstein Kiel
10
L
03/10/2026
Holstein KielViborg
31
W
19/09/2026
Holstein KielVfL Osnabrück
11
D13/09/2026
1. FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
10
L
05/09/2026
Holstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
30/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
20
L
22/08/2026
TSV 1860 MünchenHolstein Kiel
02
W
14/08/2026
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
22
D
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
4W0D6L
25/10/2026
1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
30
W22/10/2026
1899 HoffenheimLyon
30
W18/10/2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim
12
W15/10/2026
1899 HoffenheimBeşiktaş
23
L10/10/2026
1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
23
L20/09/2026
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
31
L17/09/2026
OFI1899 Hoffenheim
20
L12/09/2026
1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart
21
W05/09/2026
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
23
L29/08/2026
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
32
L

Referee Profile

Bastian Dankert158 matches

4.03Cards per match
3.87Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bastian Dankert4.03
Other referees4.16

4.03 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.16).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 64
Round of 32
Waldhof Mannheim00
1. FC Kaiserslautern01
After extra time
Preußen Münster1
Karlsruher SC2
SC St. Tönis0
Eintracht Frankfurt11
Hansa Rostock0
VfB Stuttgart4
SV Wehen0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Energie Cottbus0
FC Augsburg2
Erzgebirge Aue0
1899 Hoffenheim4
MSV Duisburg1
SV Elversberg3
FC Saarbrücken12
Hertha BSC14
On penalties
Hemelingen1
Hannover 969
Lüneburger SK Hansa0
Werder Bremen3
FC Viktoria Köln14
1. FC Nürnberg15
On penalties
Eintracht Trier0
RB Leipzig6
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach23
Arminia Bielefeld20
On penalties
TSV 1860 München0
Holstein Kiel2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1
VfL Bochum2
SSV Jeddeloh5
1. FC Heidenheim2
Bahlinger SC0
1. FC Magdeburg4
Westfalia Rhynern0
Dynamo Dresden6
Eintracht Braunschweig2
Union Berlin4
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1
SV Darmstadt 982
Krieschow0
FSV Mainz 059
Schott Mainz0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Fortuna Düsseldorf1
SC Freiburg5
Phönix Lübeck2
SC Paderborn 074
Rot-Weiß Essen2
FC St. Pauli0
Altglienicke25
VfL Wolfsburg26
On penalties
Verl0
Hamburger SV3
Würzburger Kickers1
1. FC Köln2
Hallescher FC20
FC Schalke 0423
After extra time
HEBC0
Borussia Dortmund5
VfL Osnabrück1
Bayern München4
Hamburger SV1
Eintracht Frankfurt3
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2
FC Augsburg4
Rot-Weiß Essen1
RB Leipzig2
VfL Bochum2
FSV Mainz 050
Borussia Dortmund3
Werder Bremen2
1. FC Köln5
Union Berlin0
Borussia Mönchengladbach2
Karlsruher SC0
SV Elversberg0
SV Darmstadt 982
Dynamo Dresden2
FC Schalke 040
SC Paderborn 070
VfB Stuttgart1
SC Freiburg3
VfL Wolfsburg2
SSV Jeddeloh0
Hertha BSC2
Hannover 960
1. FC Kaiserslautern2
Holstein Kiel14
1899 Hoffenheim13
On penalties
Bayern München6
1. FC Magdeburg1
Bayer Leverkusen5
1. FC Nürnberg2
Hamburger SV1
Eintracht Frankfurt3
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2
FC Augsburg4
Rot-Weiß Essen1
RB Leipzig2
VfL Bochum2
FSV Mainz 050
Borussia Dortmund3
Werder Bremen2
1. FC Köln5
Union Berlin0
Borussia Mönchengladbach2
Karlsruher SC0
SV Elversberg0
SV Darmstadt 982
Dynamo Dresden2
FC Schalke 040
SC Paderborn 070
VfB Stuttgart1
SC Freiburg3
VfL Wolfsburg2
SSV Jeddeloh0
Hertha BSC2
Hannover 960
1. FC Kaiserslautern2
Holstein Kiel14
1899 Hoffenheim13
On penalties
Bayern München6
1. FC Magdeburg1
Bayer Leverkusen5
1. FC Nürnberg2

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About the Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim forecast

As a knockout tie in the DFB Pokal, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About DFB Pokal

More DFB Pokal fixtures and forecasts are on the DFB Pokal Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.