1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.29
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
1899 Hoffenheim Rest
2 days
Bayer Leverkusen Rest
2 days
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: result, form and history
1899 Hoffenheim beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 in the Bundesliga on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Bayer Leverkusen had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Bayer Leverkusen have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
125%3.11
X24%4.14
251%2.06
Double Chance
1X49%1.79
X274%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes81%1.29
No19%3.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.94 = 3.36
Over 1.587%1.06
Over 2.571%1.30
Over 3.552%1.75
Under 1.513%7.90
Under 2.529%3.53
Under 3.548%2.06
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.9 = 9.8
Over 8.562%1.35
Over 9.551%1.62
Over 10.540%2.00
Under 8.538%2.78
Under 9.549%2.17
Under 10.560%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.558%1.73
Over 4.539%2.26
Under 3.542%2.02
Under 4.561%1.59
Match Events
40'Equi FernándezDissent
41'Moussa Diaby INMalik Tillman out
45'Alexander PrassFoul
58'Patrik SchickDissent
64'Equi Fernández INRobert Andrich out
64'Nathan Tella INAfonso Moreira out
64'Jarell Quansah INLoïc Badé out
65'Adam Hložek INAndrej Kramarić out
67'Leon AvdullahuFoul
72'Wouter Burger INBambasé Conté out
75'Facundo MedinaFoul
77'Penalty confirmedFisnik Asllani
79'Andrej Kramarić(Penalty)
82'Adam DaghimDissent
84'Fisnik Asllani INRobin Hranáč out
84'Adam Daghim INMax Moerstedt out
84'Facundo Medina INJonas Hofmann out
89'Alexander PrassAssist: Andrej Kramarić
90'Carles Martínez NovellDissent
90+1'Alexander Prass
90+5'Max Moerstedt
Lineups
1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Coach: Carles MartínezAvg ratingAvg rating
1O. Baumann
34V. Coufal
5O. Kabak
28K. Machida
39M. Rots
7L. Avdullahu
18W. Burger
22A. Prass
10A. Hložek
14A. Daghim
11F. Asllani
1M. Flekken
4J. Quansah
12E. Tapsoba
2F. Medina
3M. Gutiérrez
24A. García
6E. Fernández
19M. Diaby
30I. Maza
23N. Tella
14P. Schick1899 Hoffenheim Substitutes
29Natnael Abraha
13Bernardo
20B. Conté72'for Wouter Burger
15V. Gendrey
2R. Hranáč84'for Fisnik Asllani
27A. Kramarić65'for Adam Hložek79'
32Cajetan Benjamin Lenz
9Max Moerstedt84'for Adam Daghim90+5'
37L. Philipp
Bayer Leverkusen Substitutes
10M. Tillman41'for Moussa Diaby
15T. Oermann
9Afonso Moreira64'for Nathan Tella
17Lucas Vázquez
7J. Hofmann84'for Facundo Medina
22V. Boniface
28J. Blaswich
5L. Badé64'for Jarell Quansah
8R. Andrich64'for Equi Fernández
Match Stats
1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen 42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
20Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal6
15Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
14Fouls6
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
359Total Passes509
279Passes Accurate432
78%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen1788Elo Rating 1908
2.15Attack 2.63
2.14Defense 1.61
59%Hit Rate 77%
15.0Shots per Game 20.3
5.5Shots on Target 8.1
7.4Corners per Game 7.5
3.8Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.36 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
1899 Hoffenheim- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bayer Leverkusen- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
1899 Hoffenheim3Wins · 30%Draws110%
Bayer Leverkusen6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%3.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10
Previous meetings
17/01/20261899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen10
23/08/2025Bayer Leverkusen1899 Hoffenheim12
02/02/2025Bayer Leverkusen1899 Hoffenheim31
14/09/20241899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen14
30/03/2024Bayer Leverkusen1899 Hoffenheim21
04/11/20231899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen23
11/02/20231899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen13
20/08/2022Bayer Leverkusen1899 Hoffenheim03
07/05/20221899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen24
15/12/2021Bayer Leverkusen1899 Hoffenheim22
Recent Form
1899 Hoffenheim4W0D6L
22/10/20261899 Hoffenheim
Lyon
Borussia Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
Beşiktaş1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
OFI1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
1899 HoffenheimLyon30
W18/10/2026Borussia Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim12
W15/10/20261899 HoffenheimBeşiktaş23
L10/10/20261899 HoffenheimHamburger SV23
L20/09/2026SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim31
L17/09/2026OFI1899 Hoffenheim20
L12/09/20261899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart21
W05/09/20261899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund23
L29/08/20261. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim32
L22/08/2026
Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim
Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim04
WBayer Leverkusen8W1D1L
22/10/2026OFIBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Lech PoznanBayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
FC AugsburgBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen
OFIBayer Leverkusen02
W18/10/2026Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg21
W15/10/2026Lech PoznanBayer Leverkusen04
W10/10/2026FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen34
W20/09/2026Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig20
W16/09/2026Bayer Leverkusen
Celje
12/09/2026Bayer LeverkusenCelje20
WFC AugsburgBayer Leverkusen22
D05/09/2026Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin40
W29/08/2026SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen32
L22/08/2026
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen04
WReferee Profile
4.50Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.50 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).
Cards come from 244 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27:8 | +19 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | +8 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | +11 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:14 | +3 | 15 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 13 | WLWLD |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | +3 | 9 | LDLDL |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 | DWDLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 15 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:19 | -12 | 7 | DDDWL |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 4 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 6:16 | 9 |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 11:22 | 4 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
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This match
More Bundesliga matches
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen 24/10/26
- 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 24/10/26
- SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV 24/10/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt 24/10/26
- SC Freiburg vs Bayern München 25/10/26
- SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 30/10/26
- Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart 31/10/26
- FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg 31/10/26
About the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, Bayer Leverkusen are 6th and 1899 Hoffenheim 11th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: 1899 Hoffenheim 14-16, Bayer Leverkusen 18-16. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.