SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg·Robert Hartmann, Germany 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.54
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+12.6%
SV Elversberg Rest
7 days
Bayer Leverkusen Rest
7 days

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: result, form and history

SV Elversberg beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 in the Bundesliga on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%5.00
X
21%4.42
2
54%1.60
Double Chance
1X
47%2.30
X2
75%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.50
No
43%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.55 = 2.83
Over 1.5
79%1.14
Over 2.5
57%1.47
Over 3.5
36%2.15
Under 1.5
21%5.65
Under 2.5
43%2.65
Under 3.5
64%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.3 = 8.5
Over 8.5
58%1.50
Over 9.5
41%1.84
Over 10.5
27%2.32
Under 8.5
42%2.42
Under 9.5
59%1.88
Under 10.5
73%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
57%1.83
Over 4.5
35%2.54
Under 3.5
43%1.86
Under 4.5
65%1.46

Match Events

8'Lukas PetkovAssist: Francis Onyeka
9'Cole Campbell
29'Maximilian RohrFoul
41'Cole CampbellFoul
46'David MokwaAssist: Lukas Petkov
53'Ibrahim MazaFoul
55'Loic Bade INJarell Quansah out
55'Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo INFacundo Medina out
55'Lucas Vázquez INChristian Kofane out
65'Francis Onyeka INNoah Darvich out
65'Cole Campbell INMaurice Krattenmacher out
65'Malik Tillman INJonas Hofmann out
75'David Mokwa INLuca Schnellbacher out
75'Jan Gyamerah INLuca Sirch out
77'Patrik SchickAssist: Ibrahim Maza
78'Facundo MedinaFoul
82'Maximilian Rohr INFlorian Le Joncour out
85'Afonso Moreira INVictor Okoh Boniface out
89'Nicolas KristofTime wasting
90+1'Christian Kofane

Lineups

SV Elversberg
4-2-3-1Coach: Vincent Wagner
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Coach: Carles Martínez
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.49
N. Kristof6.220N. Kristof
J. Gyamerah6.530J. Gyamerah
L. Pinckert6.719L. Pinckert
M. Rohr6.131M. Rohr
L. Günther6.021L. Günther
F. Keidel6.343F. Keidel
Ł. Poręba6.68Ł. Poręba
L. Petkov7.625L. Petkov
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka7.340F. Onyeka
William Cole Campbell7.439W. Cole Campbell
D. Mokwa7.942D. Mokwa
M. Flekken5.81M. Flekken
Lucas Vázquez6.017L. Vázquez
L. Badé6.25L. Badé
E. Tapsoba6.512E. Tapsoba
Miguel Gutiérrez7.13M. Gutiérrez
E. Fernández6.56E. Fernández
Aleix García6.724A. García
I. Maza7.230I. Maza
M. Tillman6.310M. Tillman
Afonso Moreira5.59A. Moreira
P. Schick7.714P. Schick

SV Elversberg Substitutes

28T. Boss
6A. Condé
10Noah Darvich65'for Francis Onyeka6.2
9N. Futkeu
7M. Krattenmacher65'for Cole Campbell5.8
3F. Le Joncour82'for Maximilian Rohr6.4
2N. Mickelson
24L. Schnellbacher75'for David Mokwa5.9
26L. Sirch75'for Jan Gyamerah6.5

Bayer Leverkusen Substitutes

35Christian Kofane55'for Lucas Vázquez90+1'7.2
2F. Medina55'for Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo78'5.9
4J. Quansah55'for Loic Bade6.3
7J. Hofmann65'for Malik Tillman6.1
22V. Boniface85'for Afonso Moreira6.7
28J. Blaswich
44J. Belocian
13Arthur
8R. Andrich

Match Stats

SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen
33%Ball Possession67%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal13
8Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots4
18Fouls15
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
293Total Passes582
212Passes Accurate511
72%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1724Elo Rating 1908
1.74Attack 2.63
0.86Defense 1.61
44%Hit Rate 77%
14.6Shots per Game 20.3
4.8Shots on Target 8.1
7.7Corners per Game 7.5
1.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen1Wins · 50%
5.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

DFB Pokal29/10/2024
Bayer LeverkusenSV Elversberg
30
DFB Pokal30/07/2022
SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen
43

Recent Form

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
6W2D2L
22/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
13
W
15/08/2026
SV ElversbergLorient
41
W
08/08/2026
MallorcaSV Elversberg
11
D
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
W
25/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSV Elversberg
01
W
17/07/2026
FC Viktoria KölnSV Elversberg
21
L
11/07/2026
FC ThunSV Elversberg
11
D
04/07/2026
FC GießenSV Elversberg
05
W
17/05/2026
SV ElversbergPreußen Münster
30
W
10/05/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfSV Elversberg
31
L
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
7W1D2L
22/08/2026
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen
04
W
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
W
12/08/2026
Nottingham ForestBayer Leverkusen
21
L
08/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla
21
W
01/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenRot-Weiß Essen
30
W
29/07/2026
Bayer LeverkusenGenk
40
W
25/07/2026
Kickers OffenbachBayer Leverkusen
13
W
18/07/2026
SF BaumbergBayer Leverkusen
07
W
16/05/2026
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
11
D
09/05/2026
VfB StuttgartBayer Leverkusen
31
L

Referee Profile

Robert Hartmann138 matches

3.87Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Hartmann3.87
Other referees4.22

3.87 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 134 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München853027:8+1918DWWDW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund853014:6+818DWDDW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg851218:10+816WLLWD
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig850322:11+1115WWLWL
5Werder BremenWerder Bremen843117:14+315WWDDW
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen841318:16+213LLWWW
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg841316:16013WLWLD
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt832313:18-511WLWLD
9FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05831417:17010LLWLW
10FC AugsburgFC Augsburg823318:15+39LDLDL
11VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart830514:15-19WLLWL
121899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim830514:16-29LWWLL
131. FC Köln1. FC Köln82339:12-39DDLWL
14SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0782336:9-39DWDLW
15Hamburger SVHamburger SV83057:19-129LLWWW
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin81437:19-127DDDWL
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0481344:9-56LDLLD
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach811611:22-114DWLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, SV Elversberg (7th) and Bayer Leverkusen (6th) are level on 13 points. League goal record so far: SV Elversberg 16-16, Bayer Leverkusen 18-16. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.