SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction

SC Freiburg
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Werder Bremen
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg·Daniel Siebert, Germany 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.05
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+13.2%
SC Freiburg Rest
2 days
Werder Bremen Rest
8 days

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: result, form and history

SC Freiburg beat Werder Bremen 4-1 in the Bundesliga on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

SC Freiburg have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. SC Freiburg tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.2 for Werder Bremen.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.85
X
13%3.70
2
13%4.15
Double Chance
1X
87%1.22
X2
25%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.63
No
51%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.41 + 0.82 = 3.23
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.75
Over 3.5
35%2.80
Under 1.5
17%4.17
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.59
Over 9.5
53%1.98
Over 10.5
37%2.52
Under 8.5
37%2.22
Under 9.5
47%1.79
Under 10.5
63%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
57%1.74
Over 4.5
36%2.47
Under 3.5
43%1.98
Under 4.5
64%1.47

Match Events

29'Y. SuzukiAssist: J. Beste
45'I. MatanovicAssist: M. Ginter
46'J. Beste INC. Irie out
46'S. Lynen IND. Stalmach out
48'Y. Suzuki
48'L. ReisFoul
55'Y. SuzukiAssist: I. Matanovic
61'J. Njinmah INS. Musah out
61'N. Fullkrug INC. Itten out
69'P. Lienhart INM. Rosenfelder out
69'L. Kubler INP. Treu out
73'I. Matanovic INL. Holer out
76'D. StalmachAssist: M. Grull
79'Y. Suzuki INK. Goto out
84'L. Reis INE. Dinkci out
84'M. Grull INP. Covic out
88'K. GotoRoughing

Lineups

SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian Schuster
Werder Bremen
4-3-3Coach: Daniel Thioune
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.51
Mio Backhaus5.91M. Backhaus
Lukas Kübler7.617L. Kübler
Matthias Ginter7.328M. Ginter
Philipp Lienhart7.73P. Lienhart
Jordy Makengo6.933J. Makengo
Maximilian EggesteinC6.98M. Eggestein
Yannick Engelhardt6.216Y. Engelhardt
Jan-Niklas Beste7.219J. Beste
Yuito Suzuki9.514Y. Suzuki
Derry Scherhant7.27D. Scherhant
Igor Matanović9.331I. Matanović
Karl Hein5.91K. Hein
Mick Schmetgens5.933M. Schmetgens
Amos Pieper6.35A. Pieper
Marco FriedlC6.232M. Friedl
Olivier Deman5.92O. Deman
Chuki6.220Chuki
Senne Lynen6.314S. Lynen
Ludovit Reis6.915L. Reis
Justin Njinmah6.911J. Njinmah
Niclas Füllkrug6.310N. Füllkrug
Marco Grüll7.917M. Grüll

SC Freiburg Substitutes

21Florian Müller
29Philipp Treu69'for L. Kubler6.5
37Maximilian Rosenfelder69'for P. Lienhart6.2
27Berkay Yılmaz
30Christian Günter
32Vincenzo Grifo
22Cyriaque Irié46'for J. Beste6.7
9Lucas Höler73'for I. Matanovic6.7
42Keisuke Goto79'for Y. Suzuki88'6.5

Werder Bremen Substitutes

30Alexander Schlager
22Julián Malatini
7Samuel Mbangula
24Patrice Čović84'for M. Grull6.5
23Dariusz Stalmach46'for S. Lynen76'8.0
18Eren Dinkçi84'for L. Reis6.3
38Paul Erevbenagie
29Salim Musah61'for J. Njinmah6.3
26Cédric Itten61'for N. Fullkrug6.3

Match Stats

SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots5
13Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
487Total Passes432
435Passes Accurate372
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1845Elo Rating 1747
1.63Attack 2.37
0.58Defense 0.73
41%Hit Rate 37%
15.6Shots per Game 15.3
3.5Shots on Target 7.8
6.4Corners per Game 4.2
1.7Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Werder BremenWerder Bremen1Wins · 10%
2.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga07/02/2026
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
10
Bundesliga20/09/2025
Werder BremenSC Freiburg
03
Bundesliga21/02/2025
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
50
Bundesliga05/10/2024
Werder BremenSC Freiburg
01
Bundesliga27/01/2024
Werder BremenSC Freiburg
31
Bundesliga26/08/2023
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
10
Bundesliga16/04/2023
Werder BremenSC Freiburg
12
Bundesliga22/10/2022
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
20
Bundesliga13/02/2021
Werder BremenSC Freiburg
00
Bundesliga17/10/2020
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
11

Recent Form

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
8W0D2L
27/08/2026
SC FreiburgMotherwell
41
W
23/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
15
W
20/08/2026
MotherwellSC Freiburg
13
W
15/08/2026
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace
20
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
W
24/07/2026
SC FreiburgDerby
31
W
20/05/2026
SC FreiburgAston Villa
03
L
16/05/2026
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
41
W
10/05/2026
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg
32
L
07/05/2026
SC FreiburgSC Braga
31
W
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
5W2D3L
22/08/2026
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen
03
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
24
W
25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
20
W
22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
20
W
18/07/2026
Verden 04Werder Bremen
26
W
16/05/2026
Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund
02
L
09/05/2026
1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen
10
L
02/05/2026
Werder BremenFC Augsburg
13
L
26/04/2026
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
11
D

Referee Profile

Daniel Siebert259 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Siebert4.50
Other referees4.20

4.50 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).

Cards come from 244 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München752025:6+1917WWDWW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund752012:4+817WDDWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg851218:10+816WLLWD
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig850322:11+1115WWLWL
5Werder BremenWerder Bremen843117:14+315WWDDW
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen841318:16+213LLWWW
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg841316:16013WLWLD
8FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05831417:17010LLWLW
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg823318:15+39LDLDL
10VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart830514:15-19WLLWL
111899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim830514:16-29LWWLL
12SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0782336:9-39DWDLW
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV73046:16-109LWWWL
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln72238:11-38DLWLD
15Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78LWLDW
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0481344:9-56LDLLD
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin71336:18-126DDWLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach811611:22-114DWLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga table

SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen are close in the Bundesliga table, 3rd and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: SC Freiburg 18-10, Werder Bremen 17-14. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.