SC Freiburg vs Motherwell Prediction
World · Play-offs
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.70
SignalNEUTRALModel72%SurpriseHighGap+0.6%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseHighGap+5.4%
SC Freiburg Rest
4 days
Motherwell Rest
6 days
SC Freiburg vs Motherwell: result, form and history
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 4-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 27 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: SC Freiburg had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Motherwell.
Referee Andrea Colombo averages 5.02 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
178%1.18
X10%7.00
212%12.17
Double Chance
1X88%1.03
X222%4.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes41%2.02
No59%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.8 + 0.6 = 3.40
Over 1.590%1.10
Over 2.563%1.42
Over 3.540%2.09
Under 1.510%5.75
Under 2.537%2.69
Under 3.560%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.7 = 8.9
Over 8.561%1.62
Over 9.542%2.05
Over 10.533%2.63
Under 8.539%2.11
Under 9.558%1.68
Under 10.567%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.7 = 4.5
Over 3.560%1.75
Over 4.542%2.04
Under 3.540%1.98
Under 4.558%1.72
Match Events
6'D. ScherhantAssist: M. Eggestein
22'E. LongeloAssist: I. Said
46'T. Maswanhise INT. Sparrow out
55'J. Knight-LebelHolding
57'J. Girdwood-ReichHolding
60'I. MatanovicAssist: D. Scherhant
63'C. IrieAssist: D. Scherhant
64'M. Rosenfelder INP. Lienhart out
64'Y. Suzuki INL. Holer out
65'I. Said INW. Vogt out
65'J. Hodge INO. Whyte out
66'S. Palmer-Houlden INR. Charles-Cook out
69'I. Matanovic INK. Goto out
69'D. Scherhant INV. Grifo out
76'A. Lowry IND. Williams out
78'M. Ginter INB. Ogbus out
85'K. Goto
Lineups
SC FreiburgMotherwell
4-3-3Coach: Alfred JohanssonAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Backhaus
29P. Treu
28M. Ginter
37M. Rosenfelder
C30C. Günter
8M. Eggestein
16Y. Engelhardt
22C. Irié
14Y. Suzuki
7D. Scherhant
31I. Matanović
1A. Paulsen
3J. Girdwood-Reich
4J. Knight-Lebel
23E. Wilson
45E. Longelo
C8L. Fadinger
11A. Lowry
71J. Hodge
18T. Maswanhise
47S. Palmer-Houlden
19I. SaidSC Freiburg Substitutes
3Philipp Lienhart64'for M. Rosenfelder
9Lucas Höler64'for Y. Suzuki
21Florian Müller
24Jannik Huth
5Anthony Jung
17Lukas Kübler
27Berkay Yılmaz
33Jordy Makengo
43Bruno Ogbus78'for M. Ginter
19Jan-Niklas Beste
32Vincenzo Grifo69'for D. Scherhant
42Keisuke Goto69'for I. Matanovic85'
Motherwell Substitutes
7Tom Sparrow46'for T. Maswanhise
25Olly Whyte65'for J. Hodge
17Regan Charles-Cook66'for S. Palmer-Houlden
77Willy Vogt65'for I. Said
21Matty Connelly
2Stephen O'Donnell
27Mikey Booth
29Zander McAllister
20Dylan Williams76'for A. Lowry
9Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
15Eythor Bjørgolfsson
24Luca Ross
Match Stats
SC FreiburgMotherwell 70%Ball Possession30%
7Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
29Total Shots2
11Shots on Goal1
13Shots off Goal1
20Shots Inside Box1
9Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots0
6Fouls11
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
662Total Passes284
605Passes Accurate228
91%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
SC FreiburgMotherwell1845Elo Rating 1540
1.63Attack 1.07
0.58Defense 0.81
41%Hit Rate 0%
15.6Shots per Game 15.2
3.5Shots on Target 5.8
6.4Corners per Game 5.7
1.7Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+305 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.4 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
SC Freiburg- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Motherwell- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
SC Freiburg1Wins · 100%Draws00%
Motherwell0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
Recent Form
SC Freiburg7W1D2L
23/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC FreiburgMotherwellSC Freiburg
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg15
W20/08/2026MotherwellSC Freiburg13
W15/08/2026SC Freiburg
Crystal Palace
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace20
W08/08/2026SC Freiburg
Strasbourg
SC FreiburgStrasbourg20
W24/07/2026SC Freiburg
Derby
SC FreiburgDerby31
W20/05/2026SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
SC FreiburgAston Villa03
L16/05/2026SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig41
W10/05/2026
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg32
L07/05/2026SC Freiburg
SC Braga
SC FreiburgSC Braga31
W03/05/2026SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
SC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg11
DMotherwell4W2D4L
20/08/2026MotherwellSC FreiburgMotherwell
HJK HelsinkiMotherwell
FalkirkHJK HelsinkiMotherwell
HibernianMotherwell
HB TorshavnMotherwell
MotherwellSC Freiburg13
L16/08/2026
StenhousemuirMotherwell
13/08/2026StenhousemuirMotherwell1000
LMotherwellHJK Helsinki20
W09/08/2026MotherwellFalkirk00
D06/08/2026HJK HelsinkiMotherwell11
D02/08/2026HibernianMotherwell12
W30/07/2026HB TorshavnMotherwell03
W23/07/2026MotherwellHB Torshavn
MotherwellHB Torshavn20
W17/07/2026Motherwell
Genk
MotherwellGenk34
L05/07/2026
AarhusMotherwell
AarhusMotherwell40
LReferee Profile
5.02Cards per match
4.75Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.02 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.52).
Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Larne
Brighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
Hradec KrálovéSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
Pafos
Getafe
Tromso
HNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabag
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FF
Twente
FC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC BragaHibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol KostanayHJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea Cluj
Brann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
Aluminij
Vojvodina
Ajax
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
Paks
Panathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
Borac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ Cherkasy
Gent
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS KatowiceMotherwellHB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- SC Freiburg Predictions
- Motherwell Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the SC Freiburg vs Motherwell forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
SC Freiburg and Motherwell have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.