Motherwell vs Falkirk Prediction

Motherwell
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Falkirk
Fir Park, Motherwell·C. Graham 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.41
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Motherwell Rest
2 days
Falkirk Rest
8 days

Motherwell vs Falkirk: the result in context

Motherwell and Falkirk drew 0-0 in the Premiership on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Falkirk have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee C. Graham averages 4.90 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.80
X
22%3.75
2
23%4.20
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
45%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.66
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.94 = 2.62
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
46%1.74
Over 3.5
24%2.80
Under 1.5
28%4.10
Under 2.5
54%2.08
Under 3.5
76%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
62%1.54
Over 9.5
50%1.91
Over 10.5
40%2.39
Under 8.5
38%2.30
Under 9.5
50%1.81
Under 10.5
60%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 3.1 = 5.4
Over 3.5
73%1.67
Over 4.5
54%2.10
Under 3.5
27%2.12
Under 4.5
46%1.65

Match Events

44'F. YeatsDelay of game
46'M. Booth INA. Lowry out
46'F. Yeats INC. Sibbald out
51'M. MoormannFoul
64'T. Sparrow INJ. Koutroumbis out
65'M. Moormann INJ. Girdwood-Reich out
65'B. KrauhausFoul
68'B. Parkinson INR. MacIver out
68'A. Doherty INP. McGovern out
75'L. FadingerFoul
76'E. Longelo INE. Wilson out
76'W. Vogt INR. Charles-Cook out
90+1'B. Krauhaus INJ. McMillan out

Lineups

Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: John McGlynn
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.60
Alex Paulsen6.91A. Paulsen
Tom SparrowC7.07T. Sparrow
Jamie Knight-Lebel7.54J. Knight-Lebel
Martin Moormann6.65M. Moormann
Emmanuel Longelo7.945E. Longelo
Oscar Priestman7.012O. Priestman
Lukas Fadinger6.78L. Fadinger
Willy Vogt6.377W. Vogt
Mikey Booth6.727M. Booth
Ibrahim Said6.919I. Said
Tawanda Maswanhise6.018T. Maswanhise
Scott Bain6.619S. Bain
Ryan Strain6.922R. Strain
Lewis Neilson6.915L. Neilson
Liam HendersonC7.35L. Henderson
Leon McCann7.23L. McCann
Finley Barbrook6.916F. Barbrook
Ben Krauhaus6.228B. Krauhaus
Aodhan Doherty5.947A. Doherty
Finn Yeats6.214F. Yeats
Ethan Ross7.023E. Ross
Ben Parkinson6.27B. Parkinson

Motherwell Substitutes

11Alex Lowry46'for M. Booth6.3
22Johnny Koutroumbis64'for T. Sparrow6.9
3Jake Girdwood-Reich65'for M. Moormann7.0
31Jack McConnell
21Matty Connelly
23Ewan Wilson76'for E. Longelo6.3
25Olly Whyte
24Luca Ross
17Regan Charles-Cook76'for W. Vogt6.7

Falkirk Substitutes

10Craig Sibbald46'for F. Yeats6.6
11Paul McGovern68'for A. Doherty6.3
9Ross Maclver68'for B. Parkinson6.2
1Nicky Hogarth
21Deniss Melniks
20Connor Allan
6Coll Donaldson
4Jack McMillan90+1'for B. Krauhaus
32Kalvin Bennett

Match Stats

MotherwellFalkirk
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots10
1Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots5
17Fouls16
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
571Total Passes405
479Passes Accurate302
84%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

MotherwellMotherwell
FalkirkFalkirk
1540Elo Rating 1573
1.07Attack 1.65
0.81Defense 2.33
0%Hit Rate 69%
15.2Shots per Game 14.2
5.8Shots on Target 5.3
5.7Corners per Game 5.3
1.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MotherwellMotherwell
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FalkirkFalkirk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

MotherwellMotherwell0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
FalkirkFalkirk3Wins · 75%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Premiership02/05/2026
FalkirkMotherwell
10
Premiership04/04/2026
MotherwellFalkirk
23
Premiership03/12/2025
FalkirkMotherwell
00
Premiership18/10/2025
MotherwellFalkirk
12

Recent Form

MotherwellMotherwell
4W2D4L
06/08/2026
HJK HelsinkiMotherwell
11
D
02/08/2026
HibernianMotherwell
12
W
30/07/2026
HB TorshavnMotherwell
03
W
23/07/2026
MotherwellHB Torshavn
20
W
17/07/2026
MotherwellGenk
34
L
05/07/2026
AarhusMotherwell
40
L
16/05/2026
HibernianMotherwell
01
W
13/05/2026
MotherwellCeltic
23
L
09/05/2026
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
11
D
02/05/2026
FalkirkMotherwell
10
L
FalkirkFalkirk
4W0D6L
01/08/2026
FalkirkST Mirren
02
L
25/07/2026
FalkirkStranraer
30
W
21/07/2026
Alloa AthleticFalkirk
4121
L
18/07/2026
FalkirkGenk
10
W
14/07/2026
FalkirkAyr Utd
01
L
11/07/2026
Edinburgh CityFalkirk
05
W
07/07/2026
Airdrie UnitedFalkirk
12
W
16/05/2026
FalkirkRangers
25
L
13/05/2026
Heart Of MidlothianFalkirk
30
L
09/05/2026
FalkirkHibernian
13
L

Referee Profile

C. Graham169 matches

4.90Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

C. Graham4.90
Other referees3.98

4.90 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1291227:10+1728LDWWW
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4FalkirkFalkirk1253415:12+318WWWWL
5DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1227:1028
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4FalkirkFalkirk1215:1218
5DundeeDundee1117:1317
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
PromotionRelegation

About the Motherwell vs Falkirk forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Motherwell and Falkirk in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Falkirk are 4th in the Premiership, while Motherwell sit 9th, 6 points behind. League goal record so far: Motherwell 14-20, Falkirk 15-12. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Falkirk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.