Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh·K. Clancy 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+13.0%
Heart Of Midlothian Rest
2 days
Dundee Utd Rest
8 days

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd: result, form and history

Heart Of Midlothian beat Dundee Utd 4-0 in the Premiership on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Heart Of Midlothian have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Dundee Utd tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.0 for Heart Of Midlothian.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.73
X
26%3.94
2
26%4.33
Double Chance
1X
75%1.20
X2
52%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.64
No
45%2.14
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.07 = 2.79
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.67
Over 3.5
31%2.67
Under 1.5
21%4.30
Under 2.5
43%2.19
Under 3.5
69%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.1 = 10.4
Over 8.5
66%1.26
Over 9.5
60%1.47
Over 10.5
47%1.80
Under 8.5
34%3.28
Under 9.5
40%2.46
Under 10.5
53%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
47%1.62
Over 4.5
31%2.12
Under 3.5
53%2.12
Under 4.5
69%1.63

Match Events

4'T. RenaudAssist: C. Braga
11'D. BennieFoul
12'C. Miller(Penalty)
19'A. Ba-SyFoul
43'L. RoseFoul
46'E. Agyei INZ. Sapsford out
56'C. BragaAssist: S. Kerjota
60'D. Bennie INM. Merghem out
60'L. Rose INI. Metsoko out
64'A. Ba-Sy INP. Kabore out
64'T. Renaud INT. Magnusson out
67'J. McPakeAssist: C. Braga
72'J. McPake INR. Mato out
73'J. Altena INC. Borchgrevink out
73'J. Randall INN. Farrugia out
73'V. Sevelj INP. Camara out
84'C. Braga INJ. Wilson out

Lineups

Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Coach: Wouter Vrancken
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: Jim Goodwin
Avg rating7.18
Avg rating6.45
Beau Reus6.61B. Reus
Jordi Altena6.923J. Altena
Oisin McEntee7.36O. McEntee
Jamie McCart7.95J. McCart
Calvin Miller7.67C. Miller
Blair SpittalC7.616B. Spittal
Tom Renaud8.212T. Renaud
Sabah Kerjota7.329S. Kerjota
Cláudio Braga7.310C. Braga
Josh McPake8.515J. McPake
Amadou Ba-Sy6.777A. Ba-Sy
Jack James Walton6.71J. James Walton
Joshua Rawlins6.323J. Rawlins
Bert Esselink6.73B. Esselink
Michael Forbes6.218M. Forbes
William Ferry6.211W. Ferry
Vicko Ševelj6.35V. Ševelj
Dylan TaitC6.910D. Tait
Emmanuel Agyei6.212E. Agyei
Jesse Randall7.221J. Randall
Lachlan Rose6.015L. Rose
Daniel Bennie6.077D. Bennie

Heart Of Midlothian Substitutes

22Tomas Magnusson64'for T. Renaud6.6
11Pierre Landry Kaboré64'for A. Ba-Sy6.2
74Rogers Mato72'for J. McPake6.3
2Christian Borchgrevink73'for J. Altena6.7
30Ryan Fulton
24Michael John Kamara
78Laurent Mendy
19Severin Sabri Guendouz
21James Wilson84'for C. Braga

Dundee Utd Substitutes

9Zachary Sapsford46'for E. Agyei6.5
7Mehdi Merghem60'for D. Bennie6.7
93Idjessi Metsoko60'for L. Rose6.7
20Neil Farrugia73'for J. Randall6.3
30Jordan Amissah
4Iurie Iovu
6Ross Graham
8Panutche Camará73'for V. Sevelj6.3
14Julius Eskesen

Match Stats

Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
42%Ball Possession58%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal0
2Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots6
11Fouls11
4Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
351Total Passes494
272Passes Accurate401
77%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1661Elo Rating 1577
1.39Attack 1.87
0.52Defense 2.09
17%Hit Rate 63%
16.6Shots per Game 16.2
4.2Shots on Target 7.5
4.0Corners per Game 7.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Dundee UtdDundee Utd2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership31/01/2026
Dundee UtdHeart Of Midlothian
03
Premiership09/11/2025
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
11
Premiership10/08/2025
Dundee UtdHeart Of Midlothian
23
Premiership06/04/2025
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
01
Premiership05/01/2025
Dundee UtdHeart Of Midlothian
01
Premiership01/09/2024
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
01
Premiership04/02/2023
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
31
Premiership24/12/2022
Dundee UtdHeart Of Midlothian
22
Premiership14/08/2022
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
41
Premiership24/04/2022
Dundee UtdHeart Of Midlothian
23

Recent Form

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
3W1D6L
06/08/2026
BenficaHeart Of Midlothian
61
L
01/08/2026
AberdeenHeart Of Midlothian
21
L
28/07/2026
Heart Of MidlothianSturm Graz
02
L
24/07/2026
Raith RoversHeart Of Midlothian
01
W
21/07/2026
Sturm GrazHeart Of Midlothian
40
L
17/07/2026
Heart Of MidlothianRayo Vallecano
21
W
10/07/2026
LivingstonHeart Of Midlothian
21
L
16/05/2026
CelticHeart Of Midlothian
31
L
13/05/2026
Heart Of MidlothianFalkirk
30
W
09/05/2026
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
11
D
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
3W3D4L
31/07/2026
Dundee UtdRangers
11
D
25/07/2026
Salford CityDundee Utd
32
L
21/07/2026
Dundee UtdSpartans
40
W
18/07/2026
Dundee UtdArbroath
30
W
14/07/2026
MontroseDundee Utd
10
L
11/07/2026
Stirling AlbionDundee Utd
01
W
17/05/2026
ST MirrenDundee Utd
11
D
12/05/2026
Dundee UtdLivingston
00
D
09/05/2026
AberdeenDundee Utd
20
L
02/05/2026
KilmarnockDundee Utd
30
L

Referee Profile

K. Clancy173 matches

4.13Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

K. Clancy4.13
Other referees3.97

4.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
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About the Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd in the Premiership table

Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd are close in the Premiership table, 3rd and 5th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Heart Of Midlothian 24-17, Dundee Utd 16-16. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dundee Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.