Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg Prediction
Germany · Round of 64CupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rest
8 days
SC Freiburg Rest
2 days
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg: the result in context
SC Freiburg beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-1 in the DFB Pokal on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: SC Freiburg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
12%7.50
X23%5.25
275%1.33
Double Chance
1X25%3.20
X298%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.65
No48%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 2.35 = 3.37
Over 1.584%1.11
Over 2.551%1.40
Over 3.529%2.01
Under 1.516%5.85
Under 2.549%2.72
Under 3.571%1.73
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
18'Lucas HölerAssist: Patrick Osterhage
23'Yuito SuzukiFoul
60'Eric Hottmann INJordi Paulina out
60'Sascha Risch INSteven Van Der Sloot out
69'Vincenzo Grifo INDerry Scherhant out
69'Yuito Suzuki INIgor Matanović out
71'Matthias ZimmermannFoul
71'Igor MatanovićAssist: Derry Scherhant
72'Marcel Benger INPhilipp Förster out
72'Yassine Bouchama INMiguel Fernandes Gonçalves out
74'Lukas Kübler
76'Fabian SchleusenerAssist: Matthias Zimmermann
80'Jordy MakengoAssist: Igor Matanović
81'Jan-Niklas Beste INCyriaque Irié out
81'Jordy Makengo INChristian Günter out
82'Andreas Müller INAnas Slimani out
87'Lucas Höler INKeisuke Goto out
90+4'Igor MatanovićAssist: Cyriaque Irié
Lineups
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian SchusterAvg ratingAvg rating
22L. Lord
25M. Zimmermann
15T. Oberdorf
16M. Benger
3D. Heintz
28S. Risch
5Y. Bouchama
6A. Müller
C8J. Hendrix
24F. Schleusener
9E. Hottmann
1M. Backhaus
17L. Kübler
28M. Ginter
3P. Lienhart
33J. Makengo
6P. Osterhage
C8M. Eggestein
19J. Beste
14Y. Suzuki
32V. Grifo
9L. HölerFortuna Düsseldorf Substitutes
2Steven Van Der Sloot60'for Sascha Risch
27Jordi Paulina60'for Eric Hottmann
10Philipp Förster72'for Marcel Benger
18Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves72'for Yassine Bouchama
34Anas Slimani82'for Andreas Müller
1Lasse Riess
44Elias Egouli
14Jomaine Consbruch
38Elias Arden
SC Freiburg Substitutes
31Igor Matanović69'for Yuito Suzuki71'90+4'
7Derry Scherhant69'for Vincenzo Grifo
30Christian Günter81'for Jordy Makengo
22Cyriaque Irié81'for Jan-Niklas Beste
42Keisuke Goto87'for Lucas Höler
21Florian Müller
29Philipp Treu
43Bruno Ogbus
16Yannick Engelhardt
Match Stats
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg 45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots17
2Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal5
3Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots2
15Fouls4
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
417Total Passes507
342Passes Accurate417
82%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg1562Elo Rating 1850
1.22Attack 1.43
1.38Defense 0.90
19%Hit Rate 36%
12.0Shots per Game 15.0
3.0Shots on Target 4.1
4.8Corners per Game 6.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.37 goals
Game State Tendencies
Fortuna Düsseldorf- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
SC Freiburg- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Fortuna Düsseldorf0Wins · 0%Draws00%
SC Freiburg1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
29/10/2025Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg13
Recent Form
Fortuna Düsseldorf6W0D4L
15/08/2026Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hoffenheim II
Fortuna DüsseldorfHoffenheim II02
L07/08/2026
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Düsseldorf
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Düsseldorf21
L25/07/2026Fortuna Düsseldorf
Borussia Dortmund
Fortuna DüsseldorfBorussia Dortmund21
W18/07/2026
Lask LinzFortuna Düsseldorf
Lask LinzFortuna Düsseldorf20
L15/07/2026Fortuna Düsseldorf
Ružomberok
Fortuna DüsseldorfRužomberok20
W09/07/2026
BenrathFortuna Düsseldorf
BenrathFortuna Düsseldorf112
W08/07/2026
SC St. TönisFortuna Düsseldorf
SC St. TönisFortuna Düsseldorf05
W03/07/2026
MonheimFortuna Düsseldorf
MonheimFortuna Düsseldorf06
W17/05/2026
SpVgg Greuther FürthFortuna Düsseldorf
SpVgg Greuther FürthFortuna Düsseldorf30
L10/05/2026Fortuna Düsseldorf
SV Elversberg
Fortuna DüsseldorfSV Elversberg31
WSC Freiburg6W1D3L
20/08/2026
MotherwellSC Freiburg
MotherwellSC Freiburg13
W15/08/2026SC Freiburg
Crystal Palace
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace20
W08/08/2026SC Freiburg
Strasbourg
SC FreiburgStrasbourg20
W24/07/2026SC Freiburg
Derby
SC FreiburgDerby31
W20/05/2026SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
SC FreiburgAston Villa03
L16/05/2026SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig41
W10/05/2026
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg32
L07/05/2026SC Freiburg
SC Braga
SC FreiburgSC Braga31
W03/05/2026SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
SC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg11
D30/04/2026SC BragaSC Freiburg
SC BragaSC Freiburg21
LReferee Profile
3.86Cards per match
3.74Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.86 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).
Cards come from 133 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 64
Round of 32
Waldhof Mannheim00
1. FC Kaiserslautern01
Preußen Münster1
Karlsruher SC2SC St. Tönis0
Eintracht Frankfurt11
SV Wehen0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Erzgebirge Aue0
1899 Hoffenheim4
MSV Duisburg1SV Elversberg3
Hemelingen1
Hannover 969
Lüneburger SK Hansa0
Werder Bremen3
Eintracht Trier0RB Leipzig6
TSV 1860 München0
Holstein Kiel2
SSV Jeddeloh5
1. FC Heidenheim2
Bahlinger SC0
1. FC Magdeburg4
Westfalia Rhynern0
Dynamo Dresden6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1
SV Darmstadt 982
Krieschow0
FSV Mainz 059
Schott Mainz0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Phönix Lübeck2
SC Paderborn 074
Rot-Weiß Essen2
FC St. Pauli0
Altglienicke25VfL Wolfsburg26
Verl0Hamburger SV3
Würzburger Kickers1
1. FC Köln2
HEBC0Borussia Dortmund5
VfL Osnabrück1
Bayern München4Rot-Weiß Essen1RB Leipzig2SSV Jeddeloh0
Hertha BSC2Bayern München61. FC Magdeburg1Waldhof Mannheim001. FC Kaiserslautern01Preußen Münster1Karlsruher SC2SC St. Tönis0Eintracht Frankfurt11SV Wehen0Bayer Leverkusen4Erzgebirge Aue01899 Hoffenheim4MSV Duisburg1SV Elversberg3Hemelingen1Hannover 969Lüneburger SK Hansa0Werder Bremen3Eintracht Trier0RB Leipzig6TSV 1860 München0Holstein Kiel2SSV Jeddeloh51. FC Heidenheim2Bahlinger SC01. FC Magdeburg4Westfalia Rhynern0Dynamo Dresden6FC Carl Zeiss Jena1SV Darmstadt 982Krieschow0FSV Mainz 059Schott Mainz0Borussia Mönchengladbach5Phönix Lübeck2SC Paderborn 074Rot-Weiß Essen2FC St. Pauli0Altglienicke25VfL Wolfsburg26Verl0Hamburger SV3Würzburger Kickers11. FC Köln2HEBC0Borussia Dortmund5VfL Osnabrück1Bayern München4Explore more predictions
This match
More DFB Pokal matches
- FC Viktoria Köln vs 1. FC Nürnberg 22/08/26
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Arminia Bielefeld 22/08/26
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum 23/08/26
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin 23/08/26
- Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 24/08/26
- VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 27/10/26
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Augsburg 27/10/26
- Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt 27/10/26
About the Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg forecast
As a knockout tie in the DFB Pokal, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About DFB Pokal
More DFB Pokal fixtures and forecasts are on the DFB Pokal Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Fortuna Düsseldorf and SC Freiburg have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.