Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction

BundesligaGermany Germany · Regular Season - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Union Berlin
BayArena, Leverkusen·Robin Braun, Germany 05/09/2026
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
4-0
Finished
Union BerlinUnion Berlin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 3.5
1.91
SignalNEUTRALModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Bayer Leverkusen Rest
7 days
Union Berlin Rest
7 days

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: result, form and history

Bayer Leverkusen beat Union Berlin 4-0 in the Bundesliga on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Bayer Leverkusen tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.7 for Union Berlin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.44
X
22%4.85
2
15%6.02
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
37%2.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
88%1.56
No
12%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 1.38 = 3.46
Over 1.5
95%1.11
Over 2.5
82%1.42
Over 3.5
64%2.10
Under 1.5
5%6.00
Under 2.5
18%2.80
Under 3.5
36%1.76
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.9 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.40
Over 9.5
57%1.71
Over 10.5
47%2.11
Under 8.5
35%2.67
Under 9.5
43%2.04
Under 10.5
53%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.86
Over 4.5
27%2.80
Under 3.5
54%1.91
Under 4.5
73%1.39

Match Events

1'E. FernandezAssist: M. Gutierrez
4'Felix UduokhaiFoul
28'F. MedinaAssist: M. Gutierrez
47'Zeno Van Den BoschFoul
48'P. SchickAssist: J. Quansah
61'Miguel GutiérrezTime wasting
63'A. Kemlein INJ. Haberer out
63'M. Aebischer INJeong Woo-Yeong out
63'E. Latte Lath INT. Skarke out
66'I. MazaAssist: P. Schick
67'M. Tillman INM. Diaby out
67'P. Schick INC. Kofane out
71'F. Medina INL. Bade out
71'E. Fernandez INR. Andrich out
74'J. Juranovic INC. Trimmel out
79'L. Burcu INA. Schafer out
83'M. Gutierrez INLucas out
88'Ibrahim MazaArgument

Lineups

Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Coach: Carles Martinez
Union Berlin
4-3-1-2Coach: Mauro Lustrinelli
Avg rating7.54
Avg rating6.48
M. Flekken6.91M. Flekken
J. Quansah7.24J. Quansah
E. TapsobaC7.512E. Tapsoba
F. Medina8.32F. Medina
M. Gutierrez9.03M. Gutierrez
A. Garcia8.524A. Garcia
E. Fernandez8.06E. Fernandez
A. Moreira6.99A. Moreira
M. Tillman7.210M. Tillman
I. Maza9.330I. Maza
P. Schick7.714P. Schick
F. Ronnow6.71F. Ronnow
J. Juranovic5.918J. Juranovic
Z. Van Den Bosch5.24Z. Van Den Bosch
F. Uduokhai6.92F. Uduokhai
T. Rothe6.015T. Rothe
M. Aebischer6.320M. Aebischer
A. Kemlein6.96A. Kemlein
L. Burcu6.99L. Burcu
R. KhediraC6.58R. Khedira
E. Latte Lath6.529E. Latte Lath
M. Ljubicic6.927M. Ljubicic

Bayer Leverkusen Substitutes

28J. Blaswich
17Lucas83'for M. Gutierrez6.9
5L. Bade71'for F. Medina7.3
15T. Oermann
7J. Hofmann
8R. Andrich71'for E. Fernandez6.7
19M. Diaby67'for M. Tillman6.6
22V. Boniface
35C. Kofane67'for P. Schick6.7

Union Berlin Substitutes

31M. Raab
28C. Trimmel74'for J. Juranovic6.9
17D. Kohn
14L. Querfeld
13A. Schafer79'for L. Burcu6.3
19J. Haberer63'for A. Kemlein6.7
11Jeong Woo-Yeong63'for M. Aebischer6.7
24R. Skov
21T. Skarke63'for E. Latte Lath6.3

Match Stats

Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
64%Ball Possession36%
11Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots5
10Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
11Fouls12
3Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves6
579Total Passes324
521Passes Accurate260
90%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1938Elo Rating 1702
2.72Attack 0.61
2.27Defense 1.15
100%Hit Rate 19%
21.1Shots per Game 11.2
9.1Shots on Target 2.9
6.4Corners per Game 3.7
1.6Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+236 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.46 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
Union BerlinUnion Berlin1Wins · 10%
2.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga21/02/2026
Union BerlinBayer Leverkusen
10
Bundesliga04/10/2025
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
20
Bundesliga12/04/2025
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
00
Bundesliga30/11/2024
Union BerlinBayer Leverkusen
12
Bundesliga06/04/2024
Union BerlinBayer Leverkusen
01
Bundesliga12/11/2023
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
40
Bundesliga29/04/2023
Union BerlinBayer Leverkusen
00
Bundesliga06/11/2022
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
50
Bundesliga08/01/2022
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
22
Bundesliga14/08/2021
Union BerlinBayer Leverkusen
11

Recent Form

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
7W1D2L
29/08/2026
SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen
32
L
22/08/2026
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen
04
W
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
W
12/08/2026
Nottingham ForestBayer Leverkusen
21
L
08/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla
21
W
01/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenRot-Weiß Essen
30
W
29/07/2026
Bayer LeverkusenGenk
40
W
25/07/2026
Kickers OffenbachBayer Leverkusen
13
W
18/07/2026
SF BaumbergBayer Leverkusen
07
W
16/05/2026
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
11
D
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2W4D4L
29/08/2026
Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
33
D23/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin
24
W
15/08/2026
Union BerlinIpswich
24
L
09/08/2026
Union BerlinAris
32
W
02/08/2026
Union BerlinCagliari
22
D
01/08/2026
Dynamo DresdenUnion Berlin
21
L
18/07/2026
FC AarauUnion Berlin
21
L
17/07/2026
FC WinterthurUnion Berlin
11
D
12/07/2026
FC Carl Zeiss JenaUnion Berlin
20
L
09/07/2026
Chemnitzer FCUnion Berlin
11
D

Referee Profile

Robin Braun122 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robin Braun4.82
Other referees4.53

4.82 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.53).

Cards come from 106 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München752025:6+1917WWDWW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund752012:4+817WDDWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg741216:9+713LLWDW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen741216:12+413LWWWD
5RB LeipzigRB Leipzig740320:11+912WLWLW
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen733115:14+112WDDWD
7FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05731316:13+310LWLWL
8SV ElversbergSV Elversberg731312:15-310LWLDL
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg723217:13+49DLDLD
101899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim730414:1409WWLLW
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV73046:16-109LWWWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln72238:11-38DLWLD
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0772236:9-38WDLWL
14Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78LWLDW
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart720510:13-36LLWLL
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0471334:7-36DLLDW
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin71336:18-126DDWLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach710611:22-113WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bayern MünchenBayern München725:617
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund712:417
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg716:913
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen716:1213
5RB LeipzigRB Leipzig720:1112
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen715:1412
7FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05716:1310
8SV ElversbergSV Elversberg712:1510
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg717:139
101899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim714:149
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV76:169
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln78:118
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0776:98
14Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt710:178
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart710:136
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0474:76
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin76:186
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach711:223
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

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About the Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin in the Bundesliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Bayer Leverkusen are 4th in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin sit 17th, 7 points behind. League goal record so far: Bayer Leverkusen 16-12, Union Berlin 6-18. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bayer Leverkusen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.