Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund·Sven Jablonski 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Borussia Dortmund Rest
3 days
Eintracht Frankfurt Rest
7 days

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: the result in context

Borussia Dortmund beat Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 in the Bundesliga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Borussia Dortmund have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game. Borussia Dortmund tend to win more corners, 9.5 a game to 4.2 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.50
X
17%5.00
2
16%5.60
Double Chance
1X
84%1.15
X2
34%2.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.45
No
36%2.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.87 + 0.98 = 3.85
Over 1.5
91%1.08
Over 2.5
79%1.36
Over 3.5
65%1.93
Under 1.5
9%6.93
Under 2.5
21%3.14
Under 3.5
35%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.40
Over 9.5
53%1.75
Over 10.5
43%2.19
Under 8.5
36%2.64
Under 9.5
47%2.00
Under 10.5
57%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%2.20
Over 4.5
40%3.16
Under 3.5
41%1.62
Under 4.5
60%1.33

Match Events

58'Nnamdi CollinsFoul
63'Farès ChaïbiFoul
68'Marcel Sabitzer INCarney Chukwuemeka out
68'Daniel Svensson INMaximilian Beier out
68'Fábio Silva INEthan Nwaneri out
77'Jonathan Burkardt INAnsgar Knauff out
77'Younes Ebnoutalib INCan Yilmaz Uzun out
79'Felix Nmecha INJobe Bellingham out
80'Maximilian BeierAssist: Jobe Bellingham
84'Farès Chaïbi INLove Arrhov out
84'Noel Aseko INMario Götze out
87'Ritsu Doan INAyoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab out
90+2'Julian Ryerson INKouakou Joane Gadou out

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Coach: N. Kovač
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2Coach: A. Hütter
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.55
G. Kobel7.11G. Kobel
W. Anton6.83W. Anton
N. Schlotterbeck7.44N. Schlotterbeck
R. Bensebaïni7.35R. Bensebaïni
J. Ryerson6.426J. Ryerson
J. Veerman7.225J. Veerman
F. Nmecha6.98F. Nmecha
D. Svensson6.524D. Svensson
M. Sabitzer6.420M. Sabitzer
Fábio Silva7.221F. Silva
S. Guirassy6.09S. Guirassy
N. Atubolu7.11N. Atubolu
N. Collins6.434N. Collins
R. Koch6.94R. Koch
L. Brassier6.93L. Brassier
Elias Baum7.02E. Baum
R. Dōan6.520R. Dōan
N. Aséko Nkili6.615N. Aséko Nkili
R. Onyedika6.425R. Onyedika
F. Chaïbi6.28F. Chaïbi
Y. Ebnoutalib6.011Y. Ebnoutalib
J. Burkardt6.39J. Burkardt

Borussia Dortmund Substitutes

18E. Nwaneri68'for Fábio Silva7.0
33A. Meyer
39F. Mané
40S. Inacio
22Kouakou Joane Gadou90+2'for Julian Ryerson
44E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos
17C. Chukwuemeka68'for Marcel Sabitzer7.5
7J. Bellingham79'for Felix Nmecha7.0
14M. Beier68'for Daniel Svensson80'7.7

Eintracht Frankfurt Substitutes

42C. Uzun77'for Younes Ebnoutalib6.3
37J. Maluze
26K. Kosugi
7A. Knauff77'for Jonathan Burkardt6.8
40Kauã Santos
6O. Højlund
27M. Götze84'for Noel Aseko6.5
31L. Arrhov84'for Farès Chaïbi6.7
29A. Amaimouni87'for Ritsu Doan6.2

Match Stats

Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
59%Ball Possession41%
13Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots1
7Fouls12
1Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves4
479Total Passes357
384Passes Accurate270
11Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
1939Elo Rating 1729
1.01Attack 0.98
2.32Defense 1.09
50%Hit Rate 37%
16.3Shots per Game 12.3
5.9Shots on Target 5.4
9.5Corners per Game 4.2
1.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+210 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt1Wins · 10%
3.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga08/05/2026
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
32
Bundesliga09/01/2026
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund
33
DFB Pokal28/10/2025
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund
2141
Bundesliga17/01/2025
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund
20
Bundesliga24/08/2024
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
20
Bundesliga17/03/2024
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
31
Bundesliga29/10/2023
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund
33
Bundesliga22/04/2023
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
40
Bundesliga29/10/2022
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund
12
Bundesliga08/01/2022
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund
23

Referee Profile

Sven Jablonski188 matches

3.79Cards per match
3.68Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sven Jablonski3.79
Other referees4.25

3.79 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München752025:6+1917WWDWW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund752012:4+817WDDWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg741216:9+713LLWDW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen741216:12+413LWWWD
5RB LeipzigRB Leipzig740320:11+912WLWLW
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen733115:14+112WDDWD
7FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05731316:13+310LWLWL
8SV ElversbergSV Elversberg731312:15-310LWLDL
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg723217:13+49DLDLD
101899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim730414:1409WWLLW
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV73046:16-109LWWWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln72238:11-38DLWLD
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0772236:9-38WDLWL
14Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78LWLDW
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart720510:13-36LLWLL
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0471334:7-36DLLDW
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin71336:18-126DDWLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach710611:22-113WLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt forecast

The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd and Eintracht Frankfurt 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Borussia Dortmund 12-4, Eintracht Frankfurt 10-17. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.