FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

FC Augsburg
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
WWK Arena, Augsburg·Robin Braun 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.47
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
FC Augsburg Rest
7 days
Union Berlin Rest
7 days

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: result, form and history

FC Augsburg and Union Berlin drew 1-1 in the Bundesliga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. FC Augsburg tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.7 for Union Berlin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.75
X
26%4.15
2
25%4.23
Double Chance
1X
75%1.24
X2
50%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.44
No
36%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.27 = 2.81
Over 1.5
82%1.11
Over 2.5
61%1.46
Over 3.5
42%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
39%2.72
Under 3.5
58%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.31
Over 9.5
52%1.57
Over 10.5
41%1.96
Under 8.5
37%2.87
Under 9.5
48%2.26
Under 10.5
59%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.68
Over 4.5
49%2.23
Under 3.5
33%2.17
Under 4.5
51%1.61

Match Events

12'Calvin Marc Brackelmann INJeffrey Gouweleeuw out
19'Felix Uduokhai
25'Livan Burcu INLeopold Querfeld out
31'Janik HabererFoul
36'Leopold QuerfeldFoul
45'Tim Skarke INMekhi Gray out
63'Juma BahSerious foul
71'Han-Noah MassengoAssist: Fabian Rieder
72'Marius Wolf INRobin Fellhauer out
72'Arijon Ibrahimovic INMert Kömür out
74'Janik Haberer
76'Woo-Yeong Jeong INOliver Burke out
77'Mekhi GrayFoul
89'Han-Noah Massengo INUchenna Ogundu out
89'Anton Kade INRodrigo Ribeiro out
90+5'Michel Aebischer INAljoscha Kemlein out

Lineups

FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Baum
Union Berlin
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Lustrinelli
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.34
F. Dahmen6.61F. Dahmen
Abdulay Bah6.235A. Bah
C. Matsima6.95C. Matsima
C. Brackelmann6.42C. Brackelmann
M. Wolf7.227M. Wolf
H. Massengo8.14H. Massengo
F. Rieder7.732F. Rieder
Hennes Behrens6.516H. Behrens
A. Kade6.430A. Kade
A. Ibrahimović6.221A. Ibrahimović
M. Gregoritsch6.711M. Gregoritsch
F. Rønnow6.81F. Rønnow
J. Haberer6.419J. Haberer
Z. Van Den Bosch6.24Z. Van Den Bosch
F. Uduokhai5.62F. Uduokhai
T. Rothe6.215T. Rothe
A. Schäfer6.413A. Schäfer
R. Khedira6.18R. Khedira
Jeong Woo-Yeong6.611J. Woo-Yeong
M. Aebischer5.820M. Aebischer
Livan Burcu6.39L. Burcu
T. Skarke6.621T. Skarke

FC Augsburg Substitutes

7Seol Young-Woo
37T. Schnitzer
9Rodrigo Ribeiro89'for Anton Kade6.5
39U. Ogundu89'for Han-Noah Massengo6.6
22N. Labrović
10M. Kömür72'for Arijon Ibrahimovic6.3
14Y. Keitel
6J. Gouweleeuw12'for Calvin Marc Brackelmann6.8
19R. Fellhauer72'for Marius Wolf6.7

Union Berlin Substitutes

28C. Trimmel
31M. Raab
14L. Querfeld25'for Livan Burcu36'6.8
27M. Ljubičić
29E. Latte Lath
17D. Köhn
6A. Kemlein90+5'for Michel Aebischer
32M. Gray45'for Tim Skarke77'6.5
7O. Burke76'for Woo-Yeong Jeong6.7

Match Stats

FC AugsburgUnion Berlin
69%Ball Possession31%
5Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
27Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal1
15Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box3
12Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots4
10Fouls9
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
603Total Passes316
520Passes Accurate224
9Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1780Elo Rating 1677
2.50Attack 0.39
0.70Defense 0.44
27%Hit Rate 17%
19.9Shots per Game 11.7
6.5Shots on Target 2.6
5.9Corners per Game 3.7
1.9Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+102 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Union BerlinUnion Berlin2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga16/05/2026
Union BerlinFC Augsburg
40
Bundesliga15/01/2026
FC AugsburgUnion Berlin
11
Bundesliga17/05/2025
FC AugsburgUnion Berlin
12
Bundesliga15/01/2025
Union BerlinFC Augsburg
02
Bundesliga12/04/2024
FC AugsburgUnion Berlin
20
Bundesliga25/11/2023
Union BerlinFC Augsburg
11
Bundesliga06/05/2023
FC AugsburgUnion Berlin
10
Bundesliga09/11/2022
Union BerlinFC Augsburg
22
Bundesliga05/02/2022
FC AugsburgUnion Berlin
20
Bundesliga11/09/2021
Union BerlinFC Augsburg
00

Referee Profile

Robin Braun122 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robin Braun4.82
Other referees4.53

4.82 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.53).

Cards come from 106 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München752025:6+1917WWDWW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund752012:4+817WDDWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg851218:10+816WLLWD
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig850322:11+1115WWLWL
5Werder BremenWerder Bremen843117:14+315WWDDW
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen841318:16+213LLWWW
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg841316:16013WLWLD
8FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05831417:17010LLWLW
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg823318:15+39LDLDL
10VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart830514:15-19WLLWL
111899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim830514:16-29LWWLL
12SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0782336:9-39DWDLW
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV73046:16-109LWWWL
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln72238:11-38DLWLD
15Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78LWLDW
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0481344:9-56LDLLD
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin71336:18-126DDWLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach811611:22-114DWLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Augsburg and Union Berlin in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, FC Augsburg are 9th and Union Berlin 17th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Augsburg 18-15, Union Berlin 6-18. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Augsburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.