Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 3
11/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.42
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Union Berlin Rest
6 days
FC Schalke 04 Rest
6 days
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04: the result in context
FC Schalke 04 beat Union Berlin 3-1 in the Bundesliga on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.31
X25%3.60
237%2.93
Double Chance
1X63%1.40
X262%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.49
No43%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.19 = 2.77
Over 1.575%1.19
Over 2.556%1.65
Over 3.536%2.54
Under 1.525%4.55
Under 2.544%2.27
Under 3.564%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.566%1.53
Over 9.555%1.93
Over 10.548%2.43
Under 8.534%2.35
Under 9.545%1.77
Under 10.552%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.547%1.56
Over 4.528%2.13
Under 3.553%2.25
Under 4.572%1.66
Match Events
21'Dejan Ljubičić INJunior Dina Ebimbe out
25'Robin Gosens
45'Aljoscha KemleinFoul
45'Aljoscha Kemlein INAndrás Schäfer out
45'Livan Burcu INMarin Ljubičić out
46'Adil AouchicheAssist: Junior Chukwubuike Adamu
46'Goal confirmedAdil Aouchiche
74'Marin LjubičićDissent
76'Emmanuel Latte Lath INTim Skarke out
78'Felix UduokhaiFoul
80'Robin Gosens INMaximilian Wöber out
80'Kenan Karaman INEdin Džeko out
80'Junior Chukwubuike Adamu INHwang Hee-Chan out
85'Michel Aebischer INJanik Haberer out
90+1'Woo-Yeong Jeong INRobert Skov out
90+4'Adil Aouchiche INJanik Bachmann out
90+6'Tim SkarkeAssist: Tom Rothe
90+9'Loris KariusTime wasting
90+13'Maximilian WöberAssist: Hwang Hee-Chan
Lineups
Union BerlinFC Schalke 04
3-4-2-1Coach: M. MuslićAvg ratingAvg rating
1F. Rønnow
18J. Juranović
14L. Querfeld
2F. Uduokhai
15T. Rothe
6A. Kemlein
20M. Aebischer
9L. Burcu
8R. Khedira
11J. Woo-Yeong
29E. Latte Lath
1L. Karius
5T. Becker
25N. Katić
4H. Kuruçay
21D. Ljubičić
23S. El-Faouzi
13S. Tanaka
8R. Gosens
19K. Karaman
24A. Aouchiche
20J. AdamuUnion Berlin Substitutes
24R. Skov90+1'for Woo-Yeong Jeong
21T. Skarke76'for Emmanuel Latte Lath90+6'
13A. Schäfer45'for Aljoscha Kemlein
31M. Raab
27M. LjubiÄiÄ45'for Livan Burcu74'
19J. Haberer85'for Michel Aebischer
49Linus Guther
28C. Trimmel
4Z. Van Den Bosch
FC Schalke 04 Substitutes
39M. Wöber80'for Robin Gosens90+13'
43M. Ayhan
14J. Bachmann90+4'for Adil Aouchiche
33Vitalie Becker
29J. Dina Ebimbe21'for Dejan Ljubičić
10E. Džeko80'for Kenan Karaman
7Hwang Hee-Chan80'for Junior Chukwubuike Adamu
22K. Müller
38L. Vozar
Match Stats
Union BerlinFC Schalke 04 66%Ball Possession34%
4Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal10
5Shots off Goal6
17Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box8
7Blocked Shots3
11Fouls10
3Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves7
505Total Passes265
378Passes Accurate152
75%Pass Accuracy57%
Team Comparison
Union BerlinFC Schalke 041702Elo Rating 1691
0.61Attack 0.62
1.15Defense 2.24
19%Hit Rate 14%
11.2Shots per Game 10.3
2.9Shots on Target 2.7
3.7Corners per Game 4.0
3.1Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Union Berlin- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Schalke 04- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Union Berlin1Wins · 25%Draws375%
FC Schalke 040Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
19/02/2023Union BerlinFC Schalke 0400
27/08/2022FC Schalke 04Union Berlin16
13/02/2021Union BerlinFC Schalke 0400
18/10/2020FC Schalke 04Union Berlin11
Recent Form
Union Berlin2W3D5L
05/09/2026
Bayer LeverkusenUnion BerlinUnion Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin40
L29/08/2026Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt33
D23/08/2026Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin24
W15/08/2026Union Berlin
Ipswich
Union BerlinIpswich24
L09/08/2026Union Berlin
Aris
Union BerlinAris32
W02/08/2026Union Berlin
Cagliari
Union BerlinCagliari22
D01/08/2026
Dynamo DresdenUnion Berlin
Dynamo DresdenUnion Berlin21
L18/07/2026
FC AarauUnion Berlin
FC AarauUnion Berlin21
L17/07/2026
FC WinterthurUnion Berlin
FC WinterthurUnion Berlin11
D12/07/2026
FC Carl Zeiss JenaUnion Berlin
FC Carl Zeiss JenaUnion Berlin20
LFC Schalke 045W1D4L
05/09/2026FC Schalke 04
Bayern München
30/08/2026FC Schalke 04Bayern München00
D
FC AugsburgFC Schalke 0430
L24/08/2026
Hallescher FCFC Schalke 042252
W16/08/2026FC Schalke 04
Real Madrid
FC Schalke 04Real Madrid03
L08/08/2026FC Schalke 04
Atalanta
FC Schalke 04Atalanta03
L01/08/2026
Hessen KasselFC Schalke 04
Hessen KasselFC Schalke 0405
W25/07/2026FC Schalke 04
Fagiano Okayama
FC Schalke 04Fagiano Okayama31
W22/07/2026
Metalist 1925 KharkivFC Schalke 04
Metalist 1925 KharkivFC Schalke 0402
W19/07/2026
Erzgebirge AueFC Schalke 04
Erzgebirge AueFC Schalke 0424
W11/07/2026
FC GuterslohFC Schalke 04
FC GuterslohFC Schalke 0421
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | WDDWW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | LLWDW |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDDWD |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | LWLDL |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | WWLLW |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 | WLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | 25:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 20:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 16:13 | 10 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 14:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 6:16 | 9 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 6:18 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 11:22 | 3 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Bundesliga matches
- Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig 05/09/26
- SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg 05/09/26
- Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 06/09/26
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg 06/09/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 12/09/26
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart 12/09/26
- SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 12/09/26
- FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen 12/09/26
About the Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 forecast
The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Union Berlin and FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, Union Berlin (17th) and FC Schalke 04 (16th) are level on 6 points. League goal record so far: Union Berlin 6-18, FC Schalke 04 4-7. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.