SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
SC Paderborn 07 Rest
7 days
Hamburger SV Rest
7 days
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: the result in context
SC Paderborn 07 beat Hamburger SV 1-0 in the Bundesliga on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Hamburger SV had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for SC Paderborn 07.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.39
X26%3.65
231%2.80
Double Chance
1X69%1.42
X257%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.51
No37%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.29 = 2.86
Over 1.581%1.19
Over 2.560%1.62
Over 3.538%2.53
Under 1.519%4.53
Under 2.540%2.30
Under 3.562%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.4 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.44
Over 9.554%1.76
Over 10.543%2.17
Under 8.535%2.58
Under 9.546%1.98
Under 10.557%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.566%1.66
Over 4.547%2.15
Under 3.534%2.13
Under 4.553%1.62
Match Events
13'Fábio Vieira INOtto Emerson Stange out
45'Yussuf Poulsen INTerem Moffi out
45'Gabriel Vidović INTom Baack out
53'Shafiq NandjaFoul
58'Jano ter HorstFoul
62'Jano ter Horst INFelix Götze out
62'Steffen Tigges INMarvin Pieringer out
70'Laurin Ulrich INRayan Philippe out
71'Miro Muheim INAlbert Sambi Lokonga out
71'Bilal Nadir INAlbert Grönbaek out
79'Stefano Marino INSven Michel out
87'Albert Sambi LokongaTime wasting
88'Rayan PhilippeAssist: Felix Götze
89'Merlin PolzinDissent
89'Otto Emerson Stange INAlexander Rossing Lelesiit out
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV
3-5-2Coach: M. PolzinAvg ratingAvg rating
15N. Noll
21J. ter Horst
25T. Scheller
22M. Hansen
17L. Curda
28L. Ulrich
5S. Castañeda
40G. Vidović
23R. Obermair
30S. Marino
27S. Tigges
1D. Heuer Fernandes
43S. Nandja
33S. Bornauw
17W. Omari
7Z. El Ouahdi
5M. Adeline
4B. Nadir
28M. Muheim
3D. Møller Wolfe
15Y. Poulsen
20F. VieiraSC Paderborn 07 Substitutes
6T. Baack45'for Gabriel Vidović
20F. Götze62'for Jano ter Horst
11S. Michel79'for Stefano Marino
2Ruben Müller
9R. Philippe70'for Laurin Ulrich88'
18M. Pieringer62'for Steffen Tigges
1M. Schubert
3Jonah Benedict Sticker
38D. Zeitler
Hamburger SV Substitutes
38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit89'replaced by Otto Emerson Stange
19Otto Emerson Stange13'for Fábio Vieira89'for Alexander Rossing Lelesiit
12S. Tangvik
9T. Moffi45'for Yussuf Poulsen
6A. Sambi Lokonga71'for Miro Muheim87'
37L. Lemke
11A. Grønbæk71'for Bilal Nadir
48J. Bissi Mouelle
22Kofi Jeremy Amoako
Match Stats
SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV 62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
12Fouls15
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
532Total Passes333
447Passes Accurate240
15Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV1710Elo Rating 1697
1.22Attack 1.14
1.56Defense 1.47
44%Hit Rate 59%
15.1Shots per Game 12.0
4.5Shots on Target 3.5
5.1Corners per Game 4.0
0.8Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
SC Paderborn 07- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hamburger SV- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
SC Paderborn 074Wins · 40%Draws220%
Hamburger SV4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
02/03/2025SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV20
28/09/2024Hamburger SVSC Paderborn 0722
10/05/2024SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV10
09/12/2023Hamburger SVSC Paderborn 0712
05/05/2023Hamburger SVSC Paderborn 0722
30/10/2022SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV23
02/04/2022Hamburger SVSC Paderborn 0712
22/10/2021SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV12
30/01/2021Hamburger SVSC Paderborn 0731
28/09/2020SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV34
Recent Form
SC Paderborn 074W3D3L
17/10/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
VfB StuttgartSC Paderborn 07
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0722
D10/10/2026SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart02
L01/10/2026
DC UnitedSC Paderborn 07
20/09/2026DC UnitedSC Paderborn 0701
WSC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim31
W12/09/2026Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 0730
L05/09/2026SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg01
L29/08/2026FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 0700
D23/08/2026
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 0724
W08/08/2026Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0722
D01/08/2026
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 07
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 0702
WHamburger SV6W1D3L
17/10/2026Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart1899 HoffenheimHamburger SVHamburger SV
1. FC Köln
RB LeipzigHamburger SVHamburger SVFSV Mainz 05Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart10
W10/10/20261899 HoffenheimHamburger SV23
W04/10/2026Hamburger SV
FC Copenhagen
19/09/2026Hamburger SVFC Copenhagen20
WHamburger SV1. FC Köln21
W13/09/2026RB LeipzigHamburger SV50
L06/09/2026Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 0505
L29/08/2026Borussia DortmundHamburger SV20
L24/08/2026
VerlHamburger SV
VerlHamburger SV03
W15/08/2026
ToulouseHamburger SV
ToulouseHamburger SV12
W08/08/2026Hamburger SV
Lille
Hamburger SVLille22
DReferee Profile
4.30Cards per match
4.11Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.30 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).
Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | WDDWW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | LLWDW |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | LWLDL |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | WWLLW |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 | WLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | 25:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 20:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 16:13 | 10 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 14:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 6:16 | 9 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 6:18 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 11:22 | 3 |
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- Bayern München vs RB Leipzig 17/10/26
- Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg 18/10/26
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim 18/10/26
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 23/10/26
- RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg 24/10/26
- FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin 24/10/26
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen 24/10/26
- 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 24/10/26
About the SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV forecast
The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga table
Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn 07 are close in the Bundesliga table, 11th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: SC Paderborn 07 6-9, Hamburger SV 6-16. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.