Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Werder Bremen Rest
7 days
SC Paderborn 07 Rest
7 days
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: result, form and history
Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 drew 2-2 in the Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 5 previous meetings averaged 4.2 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%1.78
X26%4.15
226%4.20
Double Chance
1X74%1.22
X252%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.50
No37%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.36 = 2.88
Over 1.582%1.14
Over 2.563%1.50
Over 3.541%2.27
Under 1.518%5.25
Under 2.537%2.50
Under 3.559%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.562%1.53
Over 9.551%1.91
Over 10.540%2.40
Under 8.538%2.33
Under 9.549%1.85
Under 10.560%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.73
Over 4.543%2.20
Under 3.538%2.00
Under 4.557%1.62
Match Events
4'Stefano MarinoFoul
18'Stefano MarinoAssist: Steffen Tigges
30'Steffen Tigges
45'Iván San José Cantalejo INMitchell Weiser out
59'Niclas FüllkrugAssist: Eren Dinkci
63'Eren Dinkci INCédric Itten out
65'Niclas Füllkrug(Penalty)
66'Laurin Ulrich INTom Baack out
66'Stefano Marino INRayan Philippe out
75'Gabriel Vidović INRuben Müller out
75'Steffen Tigges INMarvin Pieringer out
79'Ludovit Reis INDariusz Stalmach out
86'Youri RegeerFoul
88'Youri Regeer INPaul Erevbenagie out
88'Mattes Hansen INJonah Sticker out
Lineups
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
3-1-4-2Coach: R. KettemannAvg ratingAvg rating
1K. Hein
13Arthur
5A. Pieper
32M. Friedl
2O. Deman
15L. Reis
44Y. Regeer
18E. Dinkçi
20C. San José
17M. Grüll
10N. Füllkrug
15N. Noll
21J. ter Horst
25T. Scheller
22M. Hansen
5S. Castañeda
17L. Curda
28L. Ulrich
40G. Vidović
23R. Obermair
30S. Marino
27S. TiggesWerder Bremen Substitutes
38P. Erevbenagie88'for Youri Regeer
26C. Itten63'for Eren Dinkci
30A. Schlager
33Mick Schmetgens
34D. Soylu
23Dariusz Stalmach79'for Ludovit Reis
4N. Stark
8M. Weiser45'for Iván San José Cantalejo
3O. Wójcik
SC Paderborn 07 Substitutes
9R. Philippe66'for Stefano Marino
18M. Pieringer75'for Steffen Tigges
1M. Schubert
3Jonah Benedict Sticker88'for Mattes Hansen
38D. Zeitler
2Ruben Müller75'for Gabriel Vidović
11S. Michel
29C. Lippmann
6T. Baack66'for Laurin Ulrich
Match Stats
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07 61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots11
11Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls14
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves9
628Total Passes399
536Passes Accurate317
13Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 071747Elo Rating 1700
2.37Attack 1.04
0.73Defense 1.87
37%Hit Rate 37%
15.3Shots per Game 16.2
7.8Shots on Target 5.2
4.2Corners per Game 5.0
1.4Cards per Game 1.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Werder Bremen- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SC Paderborn 07- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Werder Bremen2Wins · 40%Draws240%
SC Paderborn 071Wins · 20%
1Wins · 20%4.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5
Previous meetings
08/08/2026Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0722
30/10/2024SC Paderborn 07Werder Bremen01
19/10/2022SC Paderborn 07Werder Bremen5242
22/01/2022SC Paderborn 07Werder Bremen34
15/08/2021Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0714
Recent Form
Werder Bremen6W3D1L
09/10/2026
Borussia DortmundWerder BremenWerder Bremen
FC Augsburg
1. FC KölnWerder BremenWerder Bremen
RB Leipzig
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen22
D19/09/2026Werder BremenFC Augsburg32
W12/09/20261. FC KölnWerder Bremen11
D05/09/2026Werder BremenRB Leipzig31
W30/08/2026SC FreiburgWerder Bremen41
L22/08/2026
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen03
W08/08/2026Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0722
D01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen24
W25/07/2026Werder Bremen
VfL Bochum
Werder BremenVfL Bochum20
W22/07/2026Werder Bremen
Fagiano Okayama
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama20
WSC Paderborn 075W2D3L
10/10/2026SC Paderborn 07
VfB StuttgartSC Paderborn 07
1899 HoffenheimBorussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart02
L01/10/2026
DC UnitedSC Paderborn 07
20/09/2026DC UnitedSC Paderborn 0701
WSC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim31
W12/09/2026Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 0730
L05/09/2026SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg01
L29/08/2026FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 0700
D23/08/2026
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 0724
W08/08/2026Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0722
D01/08/2026
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 07
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 0702
W25/05/2026SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg2111
WReferee Profile
4.36Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.35 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).
Cards come from 134 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | WDDWW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | LLWDW |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | LWLDL |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | WWLLW |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 | WLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | 25:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 20:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 16:13 | 10 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 14:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 6:16 | 9 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 6:18 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 11:22 | 3 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
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This match
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- RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt 10/10/26
- 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 11/10/26
- SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 11/10/26
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln 16/10/26
- Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 17/10/26
- Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart 17/10/26
- FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 17/10/26
- SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg 17/10/26
About the Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, Werder Bremen are 6th and SC Paderborn 07 13th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Werder Bremen 15-14, SC Paderborn 07 6-9. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.